IRAN UPDATE
News and comment on the diplomatic movements
over Iran's nuclear programme
No. 79 - 2 February 2007
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SUMMARY
- UN Security Council Feb 21 deadline approaches
- 'Time-out' proposal from ElBaradei
- Iran ups tempo on nuclear programme
- US diplomatic pressure limited: Russia vows nuclear delivery to
Iran, Shell signs contract
- US Iraq forces to target Iranian agents; Iran suspected in GI
deaths
The UN Security Council
deadline for Iran to cease its enrichment activities arrives
later this month - 21 February. Iran's nuclear negotiator, Ali
Larijani
expressed optimism that a breakthrough was still possible. IAEA
head, Mohammed El Baradei, has asked for
restraint from both parties, suggesting that UN sanctions could
be dropped in return for Iran's suspension of uranium enrichment.
This received a positive response from Russia and several European
states, but US and UK diplomats were quick to pour cold water over
the suggestion.
Alaeddin Boroujerdi, the head of the Iranian parliament's
foreign affairs and national security committee, claimed that Iran
was in the process of finally installing the oft-discussed
3000 centrifuges, but his claim was denied
soon afterwards by the p. Iran is also reported to be expanding the
underground nuclear facility at Natanz, to enable the installation
of over
50,000 centrifuges and enrichment on an industrial scale.
The US has not succeeded in achieving a unity international
front. Russia has reaffirmed that it will deliver nuclear fuel for
the Bushehr plant in
March 2007. The White House was already said to be considering
sanctions
over Moscow's delivery of Tor M-1 surface to air missiles to Iran.
The US is also unhappy at an apparent reluctance
from allies to confront President Ahmadinejad. The Anglo-Dutch gas
and oil giant, Shell, has broken ranks and signed a preliminary
agreement over a £5bn
gas deal with Iran, countering a general trend of falling
foreign direct investment in response to greater commercial
risk.
Reports continue of military build-up and plans for action. A
third carrier group has been placed
on short notice to go out to the Gulf. President Bush authorized US
troops to
capture or kill Iranian operatives in Iraq. Iran has said that
it may yet respond to US hostilities against its representatives.
Seeking greater support on Capitol Hill this week for its assertive
policy with Iran, the US government is suggesting that Iranian
forces or elements trained by them killed five US soldiers in a
January 20th attack in Karbala.
Carlos Coke (BASIC)
STORIES AND LINKS
Iran installing 3,000 nuclear centrifuges, MP says, Reuters,
January 27 2007
An Iranian spokesman confirmed the installation of 3000
centrifuges.
http://today.reuters.com/news/articlenews.aspx?
type=newsOne&storyID=2007-01-27T173310Z
_01_L27922772_RTRUKOC_0_US-IRAN-NUCLEAR.xml
&WTmodLoc=Home-C2-TopNews-newsOne-4
Iran Official Denies Nuke Plant Reports, Guardian
http://www.guardian.co.uk/worldlatest/story/0,,-6376808,00.htmlv
Iran to start assembling centrifuges, IAEA says underground
facility would enrich uranium, Washington Post.com. January 27
2007
Iran is reported to expanding the Natanz facility to accommodate
over 50,000 centrifuges.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wpdyn/content/article/
2007/01/26/AR2007012601773_pf.html
Russia vows to keep schedule for Iran nuclear plant, Yahoo,
January 28 2007
Russia will deliver nuclear fuel for the Bushehr plant in March
2007.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070128/wl_mideast_afp/
irannuclearpolitics_070128181105;_ylt=
AlnzqcBiOT8K6DgYNzyNzWoUewgF;
_ylu=X3oDMTA2ZGZwam4yBHNlYwNmYw--
USA may impose sanctions on Russia for selling 29 Tor-M1
complexes to Iran, January 25 2007
Washington is angry with Russia's recent completion of missile
deliveries to Iran.
http://english.pravda.ru/world/americas/25-01-2007/86770-TorM1-0
Shell defies US pressure and signs £5bn Iranian gas
deal, The Guardian, January 29 2007
Shell's move runs counter to US attempts to isolate Iran.
http://business.guardian.co.uk/story/0,,2001512,00.html
US accuses allies of dragging their feet over Iran, The
Times, January 31 2007
Washington is dismayed at the lack of co-operation from its allies
in punishing Iran.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,3-2575797,00.html
Nuclear plans in chaos as Iran leader flounders, The
Observer, January 28 2007
Iran's nuclear programme is said to be encountering major
technical difficulties.
http://observer.guardian.co.uk/world/story/0,,2000303,00.html
America 'Poised to strike at Iran's Nuclear Sites' from bases
in Bulgaria and Romania, January 28 2007
The report in the Glasgow Sunday Herald, anticipates a US attack
on Iran before the end of April.
http://www.commondreams.org/headlines07/0128-05.htm
UN nuclear chief calls for time out over Iran, Yahoo, January
26 2007
Mohammed El Baradei has called for calm over the US-Iran nuclear
crisis, suggesting that UN sanctions are dropped in return for
Iran's cessation of uranium enrichment.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070127/
wl_afp/irannucleariaeaelbaradei_070127021925
Troops authorized to kill Iranian operatives in Iraq,
Washington Post, January 26 2007
The circumstances under which this would happen however are
unclear.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wpdyn/content/article/2007/01/25/
AR2007012502199_pf.html
Iran may have trained attackers that killed 5 American
soldiers, US and Iraqis say, New York Times (fairuse), January 31
2007
Asserting a link between Iran and the deaths of the US servicemen
could boost domestic support for the Bush administration in
confronting Iran.
http://fairuse.100webcustomers.com/sf/nyt1_31_7.htm
Senators warn against conflict with Iran, Review Journal,
(AP), January 30th 2007
Democrat and Republican senators, including Presidential hopeful
Barak Obama, expressed concern over the hardening Bush
administration policy toward Iran.
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_IRAN?
SITE=NVLAS&SECTION=HOME&
TEMPLATE=DEFAULT
COMMENTARIES, EDITORIALS AND ANALYSIS
Iran's nuclear gamble, Sanam Vakil , Open Democracy,
February 1, 2007
Tehran's nuclear programme, regional profile and economic woes
have put its regime in a corner. Sanam Vakil suggests a way
out.
http://www.opendemocracy.net/democracy-iran_war/
iran_gamble_4305.jsp
The surge: Don't hold your breath, Asia Times.com, January 30
2007
The deployment of some 20,000 extra US troops to Iraq is partly
seen as a ill-fated attempt to counter Iranian influence.
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/IA30Ak03.html
On Iran, Bush faces haunting echo of Iraq, New York Times,
January 28 2007
President Bush's credibility has been so damaged by the Iraq war
that he faces an uphill struggle to convince the American political
elites and public that Iran represents a threat.
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/28/world/middleeast/28iran.html?
_r=1&hp&ex=1170046800&en=60f08fc4fca49c8b&ei=5094
&partner=homepage&oref=slogin
Bush is about to attack Iran: Why can't Americans see it?
January 29 2007
Paul Craig Roberts, Assistant Secretary of the US Treasury during
the Reagan years, despairs at the lack of attention being paid to
President Bush's perceived march to war.
http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?
context=viewArticle&code=%20RO20070127&articleId=4604
With Iran ascendant, US is seen at fault, MSNBC, January 30
2007
Iran's rise in the Middle East is not so much seen as an increase
in its capabilities, but more to do with the contraction of US
power.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/16877295/
Bush administration 'spoiling for a fight', The Guardian,
January 31 2007
Simon Tisdall outlines the various strands of President Bush's
'push back' against Iran.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/worldbriefing/story/0,,2002232,00.html
Israeli internal assessments of Iran belie threat rhetoric,
antiwar.com, January 31 2007
Despite publicly expressed fears equating Iran with Nazi Germany,
Israeli intelligence views the Iranian leadership as rational
decision makers.
http://www.antiwar.com/orig/porter.php?articleid=10435
Bullying Iran, New York Times Editorial, February 1
2007
George Bush's stance towards Iran is misreading Iranian politics
and could well take us to war.
http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/02/01/opinion/ediran.php
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