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Afghanistan Update

30 July 2008

No. 38: 17-30 July 2008

If you would like to receive this update, please email basic-wash at basicint.org with the phrase "subscribe to Afghanistan Update" in the subject line. Feedback on format and content is also gladly received. In particular we are keen to hear feedback of how useful you find this update. Please contact Chris Lindborg by email at clindborg at basicint.org with comments or suggestions.

Previous editions of BASIC's Afghanistan Update are available here.

Summary:

  • U.S. missile strike in Pakistan draws heavy criticism
  • Levels of violence remain high throughout Afghanistan
  • NATO to send additional troops to Afghanistan's volatile south
  • Germany resistant to increasing troop deployments
  • Obama visits Afghanistan
  • French aid workers seized in Central Afghanistan

U.S. missile strike in Pakistan draws heavy criticism
On 28 July, a U.S. Predator drone fired a missile that reportedly killed at least 6 people at a madrasa in the South Waziristan region of Northwest Pakistan. A Pakistani security official said that Abu Khabab al-Masri, an Egyptian chemist and al-Qaeda bomb maker, might have been the intended target of the attack. Two days later, officials verified that al-Masri was among those killed. Prior to al-Masri's death, the United States had offered $5 million for information leading to his capture. The United States has launched controversial attacks into Pakistan in the past, including an airstrike last month which resulted in the deaths of 11 Pakistani paramilitary troops and had damaging effects on U.S.-Pakistani relations (for more on this airstrike, see BASIC's 12 June Afghanistan Update).

In a meeting with President Bush on the night of the 28th, Pakistani Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani implored his American counterpart to refrain from launching "unilateral" strikes on Pakistan's territory. Gilani reminded Bush of Pakistan's commitment to fighting terrorism, stating that his government is "committed to fight against those extremists and terrorists who are destroying and making the world not safe." Bush told Gilani that the United States respects Pakistan's sovereignty and praised him for his dedication to fighting terrorism. When asked about the missile strike by CNN, Gilani said, "Basically Americans are a little impatient. Therefore in the future I think we'll have more cooperation on the intelligence side and we'll do the job ourselves."

Levels of violence remain high throughout Afghanistan
The situation on the ground in Afghanistan has continued to deteriorate, with high numbers of civilian, Afghan police/military, ISAF, and Taliban casualties in the last two weeks. On 19 July, two separate attacks occurred on NATO supply convoys. In Southern Afghanistan's Zabul province, Afghan troops killed 9 Taliban insurgents who ambushed a NATO convoy, while an International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) soldier was killed by a roadside bomb which struck a convoy in Kandahar. On 22 July, Afghan police reported that a joint operation between coalition forces and Afghan troops had resulted in at least 30 dead or wounded Taliban militants.

Taliban fighters attacked an Afghan army convoy on the highway between Kabul and Kandahar on 24 July. Afghan Defense Ministry officials reported that 34 or more militants were killed in the fighting, but did not release the number of casualties suffered by Afghan forces. On 25 July, a British dog handler and a trained explosives sniffing dog were killed by insurgent gunfire during a patrol in Southern Afghanistan. A Danish soldier also died in a separate incident in Helmand province when the armored vehicle he was traveling in struck a roadside improvised explosive device (IED). Several soldiers were wounded in both attacks. That same day, coalition airstrikes killed 40 militants in Ajristan, a district which is 124 miles southwest of Kabul and occupied by the Taliban.

On 28 July, Canadian troops opened fire on a speeding car in Kandahar, killing a two-year-old boy and his four-year-old sister. In the past, Taliban fighters have used civilian cars in suicide bombings. Canadian Defense Minister Peter MacKay said that the deaths of the two children were a "horrible circumstance" that resulted when a "horrible decision had to be taken."

The abovementioned events are only a few examples of the continuing violence in Afghanistan, where an estimated 2,700 people have died in the first seven months of this year. While most of the fighting continues to take place in Southern Afghanistan, this year has seen sharp increases in attacks throughout the country.

NATO to send additional troops to Afghanistan's volatile south
NATO countries pledged to send more troops to help Canadian forces in Southern Afghanistan. Canada currently has 2,500 troops-with a possible 200 more on the way-in Southern Afghanistan. The numbers and countries of origin of the newly committed troops were not released to the public, but Canadian Foreign Minister David Emerson said, "We are really talking about a significant increase in the contribution from other countries and that contribution has been forthcoming." Canadian officials have recently criticized their NATO allies for not doing enough to support operations in Southern Afghanistan. Canada was part of the initial invasion force in 2001.

Germany resistant to increasing troop deployments
Germany is balking to calls from its NATO allies to increase its troop presence in Afghanistan. German Chancellor Angela Merkel had stated her intention to inform U.S. presidential candidate Barack Obama of the limits on German troop commitments during his visit to Berlin. Parliamentary mandates limit Germany to a contribution of 3,500 soldiers, though there are efforts under way to have the mandate increased to allow for 4,500. Most German soldiers are stationed in Northern Afghanistan, where they are engaged in CIMIC activities and are working to develop the country's infrastructure. Many politicians in the Bundestag and Bundesrat have expressed the view that the situation in Afghanistan would most likely improve through steps by the Karzai government to increase its transparency and effectiveness, rather than through the contribution of additional Bundeswehr forces.

Obama visits Afghanistan U.S. Democratic presidential candidate
Barack Obama visited Afghanistan on 19 July and met with Afghan President Hamid Karzai. During the visit, he was interview by CBS News and asserted that "[t]he Afghan government needs to do more, but we have to understand that the situation is precarious and urgent here in Afghanistan. And I believe this has to be our central focus, the central front on our battle against terrorism."

Later in a speech in Amman, Jordan, Obama stated, "If we responsibly end the war in Iraq, we can strengthen our military, step up our efforts to finish the fight against Al Qaeda and the Taliban in Afghanistan, and succeed in leaving Iraq to a sovereign government that can take responsibility for its own future. We must act now to reverse a deteriorating situation." In addition, in his speech in Berlin Obama urged European countries to step up their commitments to Afghanistan: "The Afghan people need our troops and your troops; our support and your support to defeat the Taliban and al-Qaeda, to develop their economy, and to help them rebuild their nation. We have too much at stake to turn back now."

Republican presidential candidate John McCain responded to Obama's remarks by linking the conflicts in Afghanistan and Iraq, stating that "[i]f we had lost the war in Iraq, we would have had much greater problems in Afghanistan. And also, the strategy that he said wouldn't work in Iraq is the same strategy we have to employ in Afghanistan. It's not just to increase the number of troops; it's secure and hold, it's a government that functions more effectively, it's taking on the narco-traffickers, it's the issue of Pakistan, which is of course the border area-it's uncontrolled. So it's got to be an overall strategy. And Senator Obama does not understand that, just like he didn't understand the situation in Iraq."

French aid workers seized in Central Afghanistan
Two French aid workers, working for the humanitarian organization Action contre la Faim (Action Against Hunger) were kidnapped by gunmen in the early hours of Friday 18 July. The incident occurred in Day Kundi, which is approximately 300 km west of Kabul. Reports indicate that armed men overpowered security guards, seized the two French nationals, and escaped via waiting vehicles. Immediately following the incident, crisis centers were set up by the French Ministry of Foreign and European Affairs in Paris and Kabul in order to obtain the release of the aid workers "as soon as possible."

Ten days later a spokesperson for the Afghan Interior Minister announced that the two remained in Afghanistan and were in good condition. The spokesperson also confirmed that the commander of a former armed faction had admitted responsibility for the kidnapping. The warlord, known as Sedaqat, had allegedly kidnapped the pair to show his anger with the provincial authorities, who he believed had sidelined him. There are no reports that any demands from the kidnappers have been received by authorities. The kidnapping of both local Afghans and foreign nationals has been rising rapidly in Afghanistan. In 2007, two other French aid workers were seized and released amid suspicions that a large ransom was paid to the kidnappers.

Stephen Herzog, Philip Maxon, and Jamie Wheeler, BASIC

 

Please note: BASIC does not necessarily endorse comments, editorials, or reports listed in this update.

 

Stories and Links:

Afghans say time for Pakistani action on militants, Reuters, 30/07 http://www.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSN2934241320080730? feedType=RSS&feedName=worldNews

CIA outlines Pakistan links with militants, Mark Mazzetti and Eric Schmitt, International Herald Tribune, 30/07 http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/07/30/asia/30pstan.php

US Senate panel OKs measure to triple Pakistan aid, International Herald Tribune via AP, 29/07
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2008/07/29/america/NA-US-Pakistan-Aid.php

Obama slams Pak for aiding Mujahideen against India, The Indian Express, 29/07 http://www.indianexpress.com/story/341612.html

NATO and smugglers gain from subsidised Pak diesel, Zafar Butta, Dawn, 29/07 http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2008%5C07%5C29%5
Cstory _29-7-2008_pg7_10

Four civilians killed by British soldiers in Afghanistan, Peter Walker, Guardian, 26/07
http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2008/jul/26/military.afghanistan1

German Minister Says Afghan Security Worse, Promises Support, Deutsche Welle, 26/07
http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,2144,3514924,00.html

Iraq war ties up troops, The Age, 25/07
http://www.theage.com.au/news/world/iraq-war-ties-up-troops/2008/07/24/ 1216492640990.html

Al-Qaeda member among 35 activists of banned extremist groups arrested: official, IRNA, 25/07
http://www2.irna.ir/en/news/view/menu-234/0807255241194217.htm

FACTBOX-Military deaths in Afghanistan, Reuters, 23/07 http://www.reuters.com/article/asiaCrisis/idUSL23991851

Bush law chief seeks conflict declaration on al Qaeda, China Daily via Reuters, 22/07
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/world/2008-07/22/content_6866863.htm

Gunmen kill Afghan spokesman, Press TV, 22/07
http://www.presstv.ir/Detail.aspx?id=64431§ionid= 351020403

Militants kill four Afghan police brothers, AFP, 19/07 http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20080722/wl_sthasia_afp/afghanistanunrest

French defence minister pledges Afghan support, AFP, 19/07
http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20080719/wl_sthasia_afp/
afghanistanunrestfrancenato_080719145926


US considers more troops for Afghanistan, Andrew Ward, Financial Times, 18/07 http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/cacb72f2-5485-11dd-ae9c- 000077b07658.html

Al-Qaida draws more foreign recruits to Afghan war, AP, 17/07
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5gqv2wf94O5DPAxxMjAGhRRNcuE1QD91VQ2P80

Raid on Afghan militant cell frees 15 hostages, AP, 17/07 http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/07/17/asia/afghan.php

 

Commentary, Interviews, and Reports:

Drilling in Afghanistan, Thomas Friedman, The New York Times, 30/07 http://www.nytimes.com/2008/07/30/opinion/30friedman.html?ref= todayspaper

Struggle ahead for Afghanistan, Paul Fitzgerald and Elizabeth Gould, Boston Globe, 30/07
http://www.boston.com/bostonglobe/editorial_opinion/oped/articles /2008/07/30/struggle_ahead_for_afghanistan/

Afghanistan: Not a Good War, Conn Hallinan, Foreign Policy in Focus, 30/07
http://www.fpif.org/fpiftxt/5423

Taliban's war of words undermines Afghanistan's nation building, Aunhoita Mojumdar, Christian Science Monitor, 29/07
http://www.csmonitor.com/2008/0730/p04s01-wosc.html

Opinion: More German Troops Can't Help Afghanistan, Peter Philipp, Deutsche Welle, 28/07
http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,2144,3518477,00.html

In Pakistan Mountains, Jihadis Train for War, Zahid Hussain, Wall Street Journal, 28/07
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121721032825288973.html?mod=
google news_wsj

Is Afghanistan a Narco-State?, Thomas Schweich, The New York Times, 27/07 http://www.nytimes.com/2008/07/27/magazine/27AFGHAN-t.html

Blackwater Mixes Business Glitz With Military Grit, CBS News via AP, 27/07 http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/07/27/ap/business/main4297658.shtml

Taliban Propaganda: Winning the War of Words?, Asia Report, 24/07
http://www.crisisgroup.org/library/documents/asia/south_asia/158_taliban
_propaganda_winning_the_war_of_words.pdf

Over and out: former para on why he quit the Army after Afghanistan, The Times, 20/07
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/article4364115.ece

Killing Friends, Making Enemies: The Impact and Avoidance of Civilian Casualties in
Afghanistan
, J. Alexander Thier and Azita Ranjbar, USIPeace Briefing, July
http://www.usip.org/pubs/usipeace_briefings/2008/afghanistan_casualties.PDF

Report on Progress toward Security and Stability in Afghanistan, U.S. Department of Defense, June http://www.defenselink.mil/pubs/Report_on_Progress_toward_Security_and_ Stability_in_
Afghanistan_1230.pdf

 

 

BASIC's work is made possible by the generous support of our donors: the Ploughshares Fund, the Ford Foundation, the Joseph Rowntree Charitable Trust, Polden Puckham Charitable Foundation, Rockefeller Family & Associates, and individual contributors to BASIC. We are grateful to all of them for their support.

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