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Afghanistan Update

2 July 2008

No. 36: 13 June - 2 July 2008

If you would like to receive this update, please email basic-wash at basicint.org with the phrase "subscribe to Afghanistan Update" in the subject line. Feedback on format and content is also gladly received. In particular we are keen to hear feedback of how useful you find this update. Please contact Chris Lindborg by email at clindborg at basicint.org with comments or suggestions.

Previous editions of BASIC's Afghanistan Update are available here.

Summary:

  • International donors pledge over $20 billion in economic aid
  • NATO-Afghan joint offensive forces Taliban retreat after Kandahar jailbreak
  • Pakistan vows to prevent insurgent attacks launched from within its borders
  • Coalition death toll highest since 2001
  • Germany, United Kingdom to send additional troops
  • U.K. Special Forces find evidence of Iran supplying arms to Taliban
  • Holloway urges negotiations with Taliban

International donors pledge over $20 billion in economic aid
On 13 June, countries at the Paris Conference pledged over $20 billion in economic aid to Afghanistan over the next five years. Major contributors included the United States ($10.2 billion), the United Kingdom ($1.2 billion), Germany ($600 million), and Japan ($550 million). Though the contributions fell far short of the $50 billion goal set by President Karzai-to fund his Afghan National Development Strategy, they exceeded the expectations of many, including French Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner. Kouchner stated that the amount of funding pledged was 'beyond his dreams.' However, the donor countries conditioned the aid upon intensified efforts by the Karzai administration to tackle the corruption and drug trafficking which present obstacles to economic development in Afghanistan.

Karzai promised to battle corruption, but asked the international community to empathize with farmers of the poppy, noting that opium was their economic means of survival. He also asserted that the opium trade was a global-rather than regional-problem, as Western drug users consume the majority of the opium produced in Afghanistan. Some skepticism over Karzai's job performance has been growing among donors, many of whom believe that the president is focused on building political alliances for next year's election at the expense of implementing reforms.

NATO-Afghan joint offensive forces Taliban retreat after Kandahar jailbreak
A 19 June joint operation between Afghan soldiers and Canadian ISAF troops drove hundreds of Taliban fighters from Arghandab, a region outside of Kandahar. An Afghan Defense Ministry spokesman reported that 56 militants had been killed, but warned that the Taliban laid hundreds of landmines in the area. The NATO offensive follows a prison break at Kandahar's largest detention facility on 13 June. Taliban fighters used a truck bomb, suicide bombings, and rocket strikes to infiltrate the prison compound, freeing between 870-1,200 inmates, including 400 suspected militants. In response to the attack on the prison, President Hamid Karzai threatened to send Afghan troops over the border into Pakistan to engage the Taliban fighters involved in cross-border operations. Shah Mehmood Qureshi, Pakistan's foreign minister, criticized Karzai's statements, chastising potential Afghan incursions into Pakistan as a violation of both international law and his country's sovereignty.

Pakistan vows to prevent insurgent attacks launched from within its borders
On 28 June, Pakistani forces launched a major offensive against insurgents based around the Khyber Pass on the Pakistan-Afghanistan border. The insurgents had been threatening to take over the nearby provincial capital of Peshawar. As of 1 July, Pakistani officials were reporting the arrest of 18 insurgents, the destruction of several militant sites, as well as the uncovering of alleged torture centers. NATO and U.S. forces in the region also use the Khyber Pass as a key supply route. The offensive marked the first time that Pakistani security forces have conducted a major operation against insurgents in the Khyber area since the new government in Pakistan took power at the end of March.

After a top-level security meeting on 25 June, Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani forewarned that Pakistan would be willing to use more force against militants. The Prime Minister had been under pressure to take military action following a week of increased violence in the region, including the deaths of 37 people and the threat by Afghan President Karzai to attack militants inside of Pakistan. Prime Minister Gilani's response was also seen as part of an effort to ease the criticism toward the new government that had been emphasizing the use of peace deals to reduce the insurgent threat. U.S. officials in particular have been worried about the new government's approach and have in general expressed concerns about Pakistan's apparent reluctance to crack down more forcefully against Taliban and Al-Qaeda militants, who have operated in Afghanistan but have used Pakistan as a home base.

Coalition death toll highest since 2001
June became the deadliest month for coalition forces (including for U.S. forces) in Afghanistan since the country's invasion in late 2001. The death toll also exceeded the number of coalition deaths in Iraq for the second consecutive month, as NATO lost 49 troops from the ISAF. Of the 49 casualties, 23 were American soldiers and 13 were British soldiers. Most of the deaths occurred due to roadside bomb explosions during patrols or convoys. The cause of the spike in deaths is the combination of the recent ISAF troop increases and expanded areas of operation, and the Taliban's increased focus on using road side bombs-influenced by the success of this tactic in Iraq and Southern Afghanistan. Additionally, the United Nations reports that civilian deaths caused by IED detonations have increased dramatically.

Germany, United Kingdom to send additional troops
Germany pledged to contribute up to 1,000 additional troops to NATO's mission in Afghanistan. The soldiers will join the majority of Germany's 3,500 soldiers in the Northern part of the country. Their duties will consist of projects aimed at reconstructing the region's civil and military infrastructure. In addition to the new German soldiers, U.K. Defence Secretary Des Browne announced that Britain would send 230 more troops. The United Kingdom currently has 7,800 troops in Afghanistan. With anticipated adjustments, Britain will have a force number around 8,030 by spring 2009, as reported in The Guardian. The fresh soldiers are to increase security in Southern Afghanistan, and also serve as trainers for the Afghan police and other national security forces.

U.K. Special Forces find evidence of Iran supplying arms to Taliban
British officials reported that they had discovered evidence that Iran is assisting Taliban insurgents in their fight against NATO troops stationed in Afghanistan. The documentation, obtained by British Special Forces operating near the Iran-Afghan border, cited the transfer of roadside bomb-making materials from Iran to Taliban fighters. Some fear that Tehran's actions could potentially spark a regional conflict. The news came days after British Prime Minister Gordon Brown moved to freeze the international assets of Bank Melli-Iran's largest bank-for Tehran's continuation of their nuclear program. Echoing the British concerns, NATO spokesman James Appathurai stated, "Weapons of Iranian origin have turned up in Afghanistan in significant numbers." Iran has denied any involvement in arming the Taliban, contending that the government supports all international efforts to combat terrorism.

Holloway urges negotiations with Taliban
At the 17 June Westminster Hall debate on Afghanistan, Adam Holloway, a Conservative member of the United Kingdom's House of Commons and a member of the Defence Select Committee, urged negotiation with the Taliban. In advocating this position, Holloway distanced himself from the leaders of the Conservative Party, while also criticizing the Brown administration. Holloway's statements came after the deaths of four more British soldiers, including the country's first female fatality.

Holloway argued that NATO lacks the capacity to stem Afghanistan's rampant drug trafficking and the increasing number of asymmetric attacks by the Taliban. He stressed that the members of the up-and-coming Taliban leadership were more radical than their predecessors and would be less willing to negotiate with NATO. In the past, Holloway has suggested a process of reconciliation via the incorporation of the Taliban back into the political system to give the group a stake in the country's future and an incentive not to engage in terroristic activities.

Stephen Herzog, Phil Maxon, Alessia Rinaldi, and Laura Spagnuolo, BASIC

 

Please note: BASIC does not necessarily endorse comments, editorials, or reports listed in this update.

Stories and Links:

NATO commander: ISAF needs more equipment rather than more troops, The Earth Times, 02/07
http://www.earthtimes.org/articles/show/216365,nato-commander-isaf-
needs-more-equipment-rather-than-more-troops.html

US-led troops in Afghan battle, Al Jazeera, 01/07
http://english.aljazeera.net/news/asia/2008/07/2008718821141485.html

Nearly 700 civilians die in 2008 Afghan violence, says UN, AFP, 30/06
http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5idqD6R2oLC5tEThkHIVKpgTLnzJg

Russia says Taliban influence in Afghanistan steadily growing, RIA Novosti, 26/06
http://en.rian.ru/russia/20080626/112224467.html

G-8 ministers urge neighbors to help Afghanistan, Cheragh Daily, 26/06
http://www.cheraghdaily.af/english/spip.php?article744

British soldier killed in Afghanistan, bringing death toll to 108, Tom Peterkin, Telegraph, 25/06
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/frontline/2191369/British-soldier-
killed-in-Afghanistan,-bringing-death-toll-to-108.html

UK 'unable to fight two wars at once', Press TV, 25/06
http://www.presstv.ir/Detail.aspx?id=61374§ionid=351020601

Afghanistan: up to 75 killed in weekend violence, Mark Tran, The Guardian, 23/06
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/jun/23/afghanistan.military

NATO says 6,000 troops urgently needed in Afghanistan, Reuters, 23/06
http://uk.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUKL2270089120080623

First British female victim as bomb kills four in Afghanistan, Richard Norton-Taylor and Declan Walsch, The Guardian, 19/06
http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2008/jun/19/military.afghanistan

Jihad in Afghanistan: Authorities Fear German Islamist About to Commit Attack, Der Spiegel, 16/06
http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,559707,00.html

Outgoing US commander blames Pakistan for spike in Afghan attacks, Daily Times Monitor, 16/06
http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2008%5C06%5C16%5Cstory_
16-6-2008_pg1_5

ISAF soldier killed, supply helicopter damaged in Afghanistan, Xinhua, 14/06
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2008-06/14/content_8364068.htm

Billions pledged in fresh aid, but Karzai told to fight corruption, Dawn, 13/06
http://www.dawn.com/2008/06/13/top8.htm

 

Commentary, Interviews, and Reports:

Afghanistan in top ten most corrupt nations, Quqnoos, 28/06
http://quqnoos.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=1006&Itemid=48

Firing blanks in Afghanistan, David Isenberg, Asia Times, 27/06
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/JF27Ak01.html

Afghanistan: A War That's Still Not Won, Aryn Baker and Kajaki Olya, Time, 26/06
http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1818181,00.html

Untangling Afghanistan, James Denselow, The Guardian, 19/06
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/jun/19/afghanistan

Further Congressional Action May Be Needed to Ensure Completion of a Detailed Plan to Develop and Sustain Capable Afghan National Security Forces, GAO Highlights on Afghan Security, 18/06
http://www.gao.gov/highlights/d08661high.pdf

U.S. Efforts to Develop Capable Afghan Police Forces Face Challenges and Need a Coordinated, Detailed Plan to Help Ensure Accountability, GAO Highlights - Testimony on Afghan Security, 18/06
http://www.gao.gov/highlights/d08883thigh.pdf

US Loses 4 Helicopter Engines Worth $13 Million, Jason Straziuso, The Huffington Post, 18/06
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/06/18/us-loses-4-helicopter-eng_n_107806.html

 

 

BASIC's work is made possible by the generous support of our donors: the Ploughshares Fund, the Ford Foundation, the Joseph Rowntree Charitable Trust, Polden Puckham Charitable Foundation, and Rockefeller Family & Associates.

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