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AFGHANISTAN UPDATE

19 October 2007

No. 22: 12 - 18 October 2007

If you would like to receive this update, please email basic-wash at basicint.org with the phrase "subscribe to Afghanistan Update" in the subject line. Feedback on format and content is also gladly received. In particular we are keen to hear feedback of how useful you find this update. Please contact Chris Lindborg by email at clindborg at basicint.org with comments or suggestions.

NOTE: Starting with this edition, BASIC will release the Afghanistan Update on a bi-weekly schedule.

Previous editions of BASIC's Afghanistan Update are available here.

Summary:

  • More attacks kill Afghans near Pakistan border
  • Afghan Defense Minister unconvinced of Iranian involvement in arms supplies
  • U.S. Defense Department to alert National Guard for Afghanistan duty; German Bundestag approves mission extension even though public opinion down
  • Japan 'counter-terrorism' bill supporting Afghanistan mission moves forward
  • Canadian government advises stay until 2011; Prime Minister announces panel to explore future commitment
  • Poll shows Afghans want negotiations with Taliban; Guardian: U.K. government supports Afghan plan to divide Taliban

A bomber on a motorbike targeted Afghan police on 13 October in Spin Boldak, a city near the Pakistan border. The attack resulted in an explosion that killed eleven people. On 18 October, a roadside bomb killed four Afghan policemen in a remote area of Khost province, also close to the Pakistan border. Elsewhere, a suicide attacker killed his mother and two younger siblings when his vest, loaded with explosives, apparently detonated prematurely. The incident happened on 14 October in Uruzgan province. According to some press reports, the mother tried to stop her son from carrying out his plans.

While visiting the United States this past week, Afghan Defense Minister General Abdul Rahim Wardak said that it will take more time to determine whether Iran is supplying weapons to militants in Afghanistan. Head of the NATO-led International Security Assistance Force (ISAF), General Dan McNeill, said during a press conference on 18 October that ISAF had intercepted a weapons convoy last month that "clearly geographically originated from Iran." During his visit to Washington, D.C, General Wardak also appealed for more equipment for Afghan forces. On a related note, the Croatian newspaper Vjesnik (via BBC Monitoring International Reports) reported on 16 October that Croatia is donating 1,000 Kalashnikov rifles and 300,000 rounds of ammunition to Afghan security forces.

Concern and debates over coalition force contributions continued this past week. In an effort to bolster strained troops, the U.S. Defense Department will alert National Guard troops for duty in Afghanistan and Iraq. The German Bundestag recently approved the extension of its troop participation in ISAF and extended the deployment of six German Tornado aircraft. The extensions were made for one year. The decisions were taken despite a drop in German support for the Afghanistan mission. A poll published on 17 October by the Allensbach Institute (website in German) showed that since 2002, German public support for the Afghanistan mission has fallen from 51 percent to 34 percent. Another vote will be held later this month on whether to extend German participation in the U.S.-led Operation Enduring Freedom (OEF).

On 18 October, Japan's cabinet approved a counter-terrorism bill that would continue the controversial mission to fuel ships in support of the U.S.-led OEF. The renewal still needs to be approved by the parliament, where it is expected to encounter greater opposition. However, the bill includes changes to the current mission, such as the stipulation that Japanese ships would not be allowed to refuel vessels on military attack operations.

On 16 October, the Canadian government advised that its troops stay in Afghanistan until at least 2011 despite calls by opposition leaders for the removal of Canadian troops by February 2009, which is the deadline of the current commitment. Earlier in the week, Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper announced the appointment of a panel to examine his country's mission in Afghanistan. During the upcoming parliamentary session in Canada, the House of Commons will be called upon to vote on the renewal of the military mission past 2009.

U.K. Defence Secretary Des Browne chided unnamed allies for not "sharing the risks and costs of collective action" in Afghanistan (see column 708 of the U.K. House of Commons Hansard Debates here). His comments came in response to a question from Dr. Liam Fox, MP (Conservative-Woodspring), who wondered why some European countries were supporting a recently announced European Union mission to Chad when NATO has been pleading for more help in Afghanistan.

Several major Canadian news services commissioned a poll that was released on 18 October, which found that 74 percent of Afghans support negotiating with the Taliban in an effort to reduce conflict. The interviews were conducted in person between 17 and 24 September. The polling company, Environics Research, has more information on the methodology and poll results. The Guardian reported on 15 October that the U.K. Government is supporting the controversial plans of Afghan President Hamid Karzai to divide the Taliban by pushing its senior leaders and supporters to defect.

By Chris Lindborg and Candice Boyer, BASIC


Please note: BASIC does not necessarily endorse comments, editorials, or reports listed in this update.

 

Stories and Links:

Afghanistan Seeks more help as violence soars, Kristin Roberts, Reuters via AlertNet, 18/10
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N18198862.htm

German defense minister opposes talks with Taliban, AFP via Middle East Times, 18/10
http://www.metimes.com/storyview.php?StoryID=20071018-082512-4384r

Merkel is aloof as German public wavers on troops in Afghanistan, Judy Dempsey, International Herald Tribune, 18/10
http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/10/18/europe/letter.1-154559.php?WT.mc_id=rssfrontpage

Opium funding up to 40 percent of Afghan unrest: U.S. general, AFP via Yahoo! News, 18/10
http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20071018/wl_sthasia_afp/afghanistanunrestnatodrugs_071018153822

Overhaul of Afghan Police is New Priority, David Rohde, The New York Times, 18/10
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/18/world/asia/18afghan.html

Poll shows Afghans want NATO troops to stay, Alan Freeman, The Globe and Mail, 18/10 http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20071018.wafghanpoll1810/BNStory/Front
Related poll information: 2007 Survey of Afghans, Environics Research, 18/10
http://erg.environics.net/media_room/default.asp?aID=653

Japan to alter support of U.S. in Afghanistan, AP via the International Herald Tribune, 17/10
http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/10/17/asia/tokyo.1-154075.php?WT.mc_id=rssfrontpage

Canadians caught in border violence, Omar El Akkad, The Globe and Mail, 15/10
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20071015.wafghanbombing15/BNStory/Afghanistan/home

U.K. backs plans to split Taliban from within, Julian Borger and Declan Walsh, The Guardian, 15/10
http://www.guardian.co.uk/afghanistan/story/0,,2191270,00.html

Afghanistan is 'going down fast,' Terry Friel, The Australian, 13/10
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,22575334-2703,00.html

Manley to head panel on future of Afghan mission, The Telegraph-Journal, 13/10
http://telegraphjournal.canadaeast.com/search/article/97379

Marines' Afghanistan Plan Sparks Debate; The Proposed Shift Could Undermine Strategy, Some Argue, Ann Scott Tyson, The Washington Post, 12/10
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/10/11/AR2007101100707.html?sub=AR

Romanians quietly in Afghanistan conflict, Matthew Fisher, CanWest News Service via The Vancouver Sun, 12/10
http://www.canada.com/vancouversun/news/story.html?id=4b2e160e-5e62-43a1-998c-0c6a04655929

Staying the Course: German Parliament Extends Afghanistan Troop Mandate, Der Spiegel, 12/10
http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/0,1518,511119,00.html


Editorials, Transcripts and Reports:

Afghanistan: Don't cave in to the Taliban, Amin Saikal, International Herald Tribune, Opinion, 18/10
http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/10/18/opinion/edsaikal.php?WT.mc_id=rssfrontpage

DoD News Briefing with Col. Chip Preysler from Afghanistan, News transcript, U.S. Department of Defense, Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense (Public Affairs), 17/10
http://www.defenselink.mil/transcripts/transcript.aspx?transcriptid=4062

The Struggle for Pashtunistan: The Afghan-Pakistan War, Anthony H. Cordesman, CSIS Report, 17/10
http://www.csis.org/media/csis/pubs/101607_pashtunistan.pdf

Don't Spray the Poppies, Re: ''Afghans Pressed by U.S. on Plan to Spray Poppies'' (front page, Oct. 8), Norine MacDonald, Letter to the Editor, The New York Times, 16/10
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/16/opinion/lweb16afghan.html

Iraq, Afghanistan, and Self-Inflicted Wounds: Strategic Lessons of Armed Nation Building, Anthony H. Cordesman, CSIS Report, 16/10
http://www.csis.org/component/option,com_csis_pubs/Itemid,131/&Itemid=72

West facing an emerging Taleban state, The New Zealand Herald, 16/10
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/section/2/story.cfm?c_id=2&objectid=10470095

Blame Hillier: Exclusive Excerpt: The inside story of one man's push for an Afghan mission, and a government that let itself be persuaded, Eugene Lang and Janice Gross Stein, McClean's, 15/10
http://www.macleans.ca/article.jsp?content=20071015_110199_110199&source=srch&page=2

Integrated political-military strategy needed to overcome violence, bring peace to Afghanistan, Special Representative tells Security Council, SC/9141, U.N. Security Council, via ReliefWeb, 15/10
http://www.reliefweb.int/rw/RWB.NSF/db900SID/KHII-7829KR?OpenDocument

Revitalizing U.S. Efforts in Afghanistan, Lisa Curtis and James Phillips, Backgrounder No. 2076, The Heritage Foundation, 15/10
http://www.heritage.org/Research/MiddleEast/bg2076.cfm

Canada fighting triple war, Michael Den Tandt, Editorial, The Sudbury Star, 12/10
http://www.thesudburystar.com/ArticleDisplay.aspx?e=730760&auth=Den+Tandt%2C+Michael

Coalition Warfare in Afghanistan: Burden-sharing or Disunity? Timo Noetzel, Sibylle Scheipers, Chatham House Briefing Paper, October 2007
http://www.chathamhouse.org.uk/publications/papers/view/-/id/552/

 

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