AFGHANISTAN UPDATE
31 August 2007
No. 16: 23 - 30 August 2007
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Summary:
- United Nations releases grim report on opium production
- Insurgent attacks at highest level since 2001 invasion; controversy
brews over incursions into Pakistan
- Taliban release South Korean hostages
- Policy decisions on Afghan police training and force deployments
- Poll results
Afghanistan is slated to have a record-breaking opium poppy crop,
according to the U.N. executive
summary of its survey on opium production. The results of the
survey, which were released on 27 August, cited progress in the
central and northern regions of Afghanistan, but highlighted the
explosive growth of the crop in the western and southern regions.
The flow of opium
from Afghanistan has been seen as a major problem in the United
Kingdom and critics are citing the survey as evidence of poor U.K.
policies at home and in Afghanistan, especially in Helmand
Province where U.K. forces have 7,000 troops deployed and opium
production has increased by almost 50 percent in 12 months.
U.S. officials reported that insurgent
attacks were at their highest level since the 2001 invasion
and numerous accounts of casualties have streamed out of Afghanistan
in the past week. U.S.-led
forces reportedly killed 100 'insurgents' in Kandahar after
they were ambushed and more
than 10 NATO troops have been killed in southern and eastern Afghanistan.
Among the coalition deaths, a
suicide bomber killed three American NATO soldiers who were
building a bridge in Paktia Province on 28 August. Also, a U.S.
Air Force bomb killed three British soldiers and injured two
who were on foot patrol in Helmand Province on 23 August. A British
soldier reportedly had called in support after being ambushed by
Taliban forces. NATO officials said that the bombing
would be investigated. Afghan elders and U.S. officials continued
to debate a recent incident in which 12
Afghan civilians died. U.S. and other NATO officials have said
that the deaths were the result of Taliban fire whereas Afghan representatives
have said that NATO airstrikes killed the civilians. Overall, NATO
has said that Taliban militants have been fabricating reports
of civilian casualties to discredit the coalition.
After NATO officials initially claimed that forces had permission
to conduct operations within Pakistan on 25 August, The Daily
Times (Pakistan) reported on 29 August that alliance officials
were apologizing for strikes inside Pakistan and that crossing
the border was a result of miscommunication. A controversy has brewed
in general over whether U.S.-led and NATO forces are allowed to
conduct military operations in Pakistan without the prior approval
of Pakistani authorities. Pakistani officials have repeatedly said
that they have not given permission for the forces to enter their
country, but according to the Associated Press, documents from the
United States have revealed that the U.S. military had a series
of contingencies drawn up in 2004 in which operations
in Pakistan would be allowed by U.S. authorities without prior
permission from Pakistan.
Several key developments transpired in the latest hostage crises.
The Taliban released
12 South Korean hostages on 29 August and the remaining
seven the next day. Originally the Taliban had captured 23 South
Koreans on 19 July 2007 and killed two of the hostages shortly afterward,
and released two more several weeks later. Some were criticizing
the recent negotiations, which included the South Korean government
reiterating plans to withdraw its 210 troops by the end of the year
and to restrict South Korean missionaries from entering Afghanistan.
The Taliban had wanted a prisoner exchange in addition to the commitment
to withdraw troops, but the Afghan government refused. Taliban spokesperson,
Qari Yousef Ahmadi, said that the deal will encourage them to take
more hostages in the future. A German hostage still in Taliban
custody, Rudolph
Blechschmidt, was shown on Afghanistan television on 23 August.
Taliban forces had captured the 62-year old engineer, and one other
German and four Afghan colleagues, on 18 July, a day before the
South Koreans were kidnapped. Al-Arabiya
described the newscast that also showed four Afghans. According
to the television station's presenter, Taliban forces are demanding
that Germany withdraw its 3,000 troops from Afghanistan in exchange
for releasing the hostages.
The United States, the European Union, and the United Nations agreed
on 27 August to standardize Afghan police training. The agreement
authorizes the coordination of training methods by various countries,
including the United States and Germany, under the authority of
the Kabul-based International Police Coordination Board Secretariat.
On 23 August, the International Herald Tribune reported on
the continuing problems
confronting EU police trainers, including lack of intelligence
information, due in part to problems with information sharing between
NATO and the EU. On 30 August, the International Crisis Group released
an extensive report with recommendations
for improving the training of Afghan police.
In other policy developments, on 29 August German Chancellor Angela
Merkel visited Japan and reiterated her wishes
for Japan to continue supporting security efforts for Afghanistan.
Japan has conducted refueling in the Indian Ocean in support of
coalition missions. The Japanese operations are under special legislation
that expires in November and opposition leaders have threatened
to hold up a renewal decision in parliament. French President Nicholas
Sarkozy announced that France
will increase its troop contribution to Afghanistan operations by
150 trainers, adding to its current level of 1,000 troops. Canada's
Prime Minister, Stephen Harper, was under increasing pressure from
the Bloc Quebecois to establish
a deadline for Canadian troop withdrawal from Afghanistan. In
the United States, the Air
Force plans to deploy a new pilotless airplane to Afghanistan
this fall. Called the "Reaper," the aircraft will apparently have
the bombing power of an F-16 and be able to fly three times as fast
as its well-known predecessor, the Predator.
Angus-Reid
released the results of a poll on 27 August showing that 49%
of Canadians are skeptical
of the NATO mission in Afghanistan, while Europeans polled expressed
even higher rates of doubt: British (63%), French (63%), Italians
(66%) and Germans (69%). The poll was conducted in late July and
early August. In a separate poll, the think tank Lowy Institute
for International Policy asked Australians, "Should Australia
continue to be involved militarily in Afghanistan?" Forty-six
percent of respondents said "yes" and an equal percentage said "no."
The Institute conducted the poll during the last two weeks of May
and early June and released the results on 30 August. Australia
has about 1,000 troops in Afghanistan.
Please note: BASIC does not necessarily endorse comments, editorials,
or reports listed in this update.
Stories and Links:
Afghan police
Afghan police fight to survive, Jason Motlagh, Asia Times
Online, 29/08
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/South_Asia/IH29Df02.html
Afghan police training to be standardized, Judy Dempsey,
International Herald Tribune, 27/08
http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/08/27/asia/police.php
Letter from Germany: Bickering between NATO and EU hampers training
of Afghan police, Judy Dempsey, International Herald Tribune,
23/08
http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/08/23/europe/letter.php
Hostage crises
Korean hostages freed - at a cost, Jennifer Veale, Time,
29/08
http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,1657261,00.html?xid=feed-yahoo-full-world
German hostage in Afghanistan begs for his life, Al-Arabiya,
23/08
http://www.alarabiya.net/articles/2007/08/23/38196.html
Other
Into thin air: he's still out there. The hunt for bin Laden.
Evan Thomas, Newsweek, 03/09 issue
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/20430170/site/newsweek/page/0/
Britain hits low point in opium war, New Zealand Herald,
29/08
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/topic/story.cfm?c_id=195&objectid=10460429
Afghanistan 'at the Crossroads', Chuck Crumbo, The State
(Columbia, South Carolina), 26/08
http://www.thestate.com/sc-at-war/story/155972.html
Strategy that fails to win hearts and minds, Declan Walsh,
The Guardian, 25/08
http://www.guardian.co.uk/afghanistan/story/0,,2155942,00.html
Three British soldiers killed by bomb from American jet,
James Kirkup, The Scotsman, 25/08
http://news.scotsman.com/index.cfm?id=1350862007
Afghanistan: Return to the lair of bin Laden, Tom Coghlan,
The Daily Telegraph, 24/08
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/08/24/wafg124.xml
Editorials, Transcripts and Reports:
Opium
Drugs war: Eradication or legalisation? How to solve Afghanistan's
opium crisis [survey of expert opinion], Declan Welsh and Ian
Black, The Guardian, 29/08
http://www.guardian.co.uk/afghanistan/story/0,,2157915,00.html
Afghanistan Opium Survey 2007, Executive Summary, United
Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, August 2007
http://www.unodc.org/pdf/research/AFG07_ExSum_web.pdf
Press Release: http://www.unodc.org/unodc/press_release_2007_08_27.html
Opium Licensing in Afghanistan: Its Desirability and Feasibility,
Vanda Felbab-Brown, Brookings Institution Policy Paper, No. 1, August
2007
http://www.brookings.edu/fp/research/felbab-brown200708.htm
Other
Australia and the World: Public Opinion and Foreign Policy,
Lowy Institute for International Policy, 30/08
http://www.lowyinstitute.org/PublicationGet.asp?i=660
Reforming Afghanistan's Police, International Crisis Group
Report, 30/08
http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/index.cfm?id=5052&l=1
The Afghan War: Which Side is DOD On? Winslow Wheeler, Center
for Defense Information, 28/08
http://www.cdi.org/program/document.cfm?documentid=4072&programID=37&from_page=../friendlyversion/printversion.cfm
Afghanistan and Pakistan's problems preclude action on terror,
Amin Saikal, The Age (Melbourne, Australia), 27/08
http://www.theage.com.au/news/opinion/afghanistan-and-pakistans-problems-preclude-action-on-terror/2007/08/26/1188066941617.html
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