AFGHANISTAN UPDATE
2 August 2007
No. 12: 26 July - 1 August 2007
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Previous editions of BASIC's Afghanistan Update are available here.
Summary:
- Second Korean hostage is killed as Taliban set 'final deadline'
- NATO to employ 'smaller bombs' to avoid civilian casualties;
Taliban fire heat-seeking missile at U.S. aircraft
- International forces, insurgents suffer losses during combat
in southern and eastern Afghanistan; suicide bombers attack Kabul,
Kondoz
- Political developments and deployment updates
The Taliban killed
a second South Korean hostage on Monday and have threatened
to kill more hostages if their demand
for the release of seven Taliban prisoners is not met by Wednesday
evening. The South Koreans were kidnapped on 19 July in Ghazni province,
and despite constant negotiations and several deadline extensions,
no peaceful resolution appears imminent. The use
of force to free the hostages has been raised as a possibility,
particularly since the Afghan
government has adamantly refused to capitulate to Taliban demands,
but a military operation is risky and the South Korean government
has said no
rescue attempt would be made without its approval. The kidnapping
incident has provoked outrage both within and outside Afghanistan,
as President Hamid Karzai described the abduction of the Korean
missionaries as "shameful,"
while senior political
and religious figures have decried the kidnapping as un-Islamic
and called for the hostages to be released immediately. Pope
Benedict XVI has also appealed to the Taliban for their release,
describing their captivity a "violation of human dignity." Meanwhile
the fate
of a German man and four of his Afghan colleagues taken hostage
on 18 July also hangs in the balance, and though negotiations
have continued they have thus far failed to secure freedom for him
or his fellow captives.
Civilians have suffered greatly from the insurgency-related violence
in 2007, and have been hard hit by aerial bombing in particular.
Continued incidents in which civilians have been killed by NATO
bombing - more than 50
are reported to have been killed by an airstrike in Helmand
last Friday - have prompted the alliance to consider using
smaller munitions in order to reduce the chance of killing non-combatants
accidentally. While international forces have vowed to reduce the
frequency of such incidents and have described existing engagement
procedures as adequate to the task, groups such as the Afghan Independent
Human Rights Commission and the United Nations remain
doubtful that a switch to lighter munitions will reduce non-combatant
casualties. Airpower remains a crucial asset for international
forces which the Taliban have struggled to account for. The Daily
Telegraph reported on Sunday that insurgents fired
a sophisticated heat-seeking SA-7 surface-to-air missile at a U.S.
aircraft in Nimruz province on 22 July. Although the pilots
of the C-130 transport aircraft successfully evaded the missile,
the acquisition of such weapons by the Taliban represents a significant
threat to international forces, which rely heavily on aircraft for
logistical and combat support.
Both security forces and insurgents have sustained casualties in
the last week as the NATO-led 'Operation Chakush' (Hammer) continues.
Up to 50
insurgents were killed during an engagement in Helmand on Friday,
while three
British soldiers have been killed in separate incidents in the
last week, bringing the total casualty
figure for U.K. personnel since 2001 to 68. Elsewhere, fighting
in the eastern province of Nuristan on Friday claimed
the lives of two U.S. soldiers and injured 13, while a suicide
bomber attacked a U.S. convoy in Kabul on Tuesday, wounding
three civilians and three soldiers. In northern Afghanistan a suicide
bomber attacked Afghan security forces in the city of Kondoz,
killing an intelligence official and wounding twelve other people,
including eight civilians. In a grisly end to another kidnapping
incident, the
bodies of four judges abducted last week were found in the Andar
district of Ghazni province. The Taliban claimed responsibility
for their execution, saying the victims had confessed to working
with the United States.
In political developments, uncertainty again surrounds the position
of Afghan Foreign Minister, Dr. Rangeen Dadfar-Spanta. Dr. Dadfar-Spanta
faced
calls to resign in May following the deportation of thousands
of Afghan refugees from Iran, and though he survived that incident
there is continued pressure on President Karzai to remove the Foreign
Minister from his post. Tolo TV reported on Saturday that Dr. Dadfar-Spanta
had in fact made a decision to resign last week but had delayed
due to the death of former King Mohammed Zahir Shah, while Ariana
TV quoted Mohammad Yunos Qanuni, the Afghan parliament speaker,
on Monday as saying President Karzai had agreed to sack the embattled
Dr. Dadfar-Spanta. In other news, the Pajhwok News Agency reported
on Wednesday that the Afghan Minister for Information and Culture,
Abdol Karim Khorram, has asked Afghan media to consider "the national
interest" when covering the upcoming peace jerga to be held with
Pakistani officials in Kabul.
The leader of Britain's opposition Conservative party, David
Cameron, travelled to Afghanistan this week to meet with President
Karzai and, NATO officials and British forces. Stating that
"we cannot afford to fail," Cameron said that the international
community must do more to ensure success and should consider how
the international effort is led and coordinated. Britain has the
second largest contingent in the ISAF mission with 7,700 personnel
in Afghanistan, and more may yet be on the way. Air Chief Marshal
Sir Jock Stirrup said that British
responsibilities may expand in time and could require an increase
in force levels, and he expressed frustration with NATO allies
that would not commit further personnel or material resources to
the mission. Sir Jock's comments
were similar to those made by U.N. Special Representative for Afghanistan
Tom Koenigs, who said in an interview with Der Spiegel
on Tuesday that the international community must not "cave in to
the terrorist threat" posed by Taliban kidnappings and said that
the Afghan people wanted more, rather than fewer, international
forces to help provide security.
Cameron Scott
BASIC
Stories and Links:
Why Afghan opium output keeps growing, The Wall Street
Journal, 26/7 (subscription required)
http://users1.wsj.com/article/SB118540234513178143.html?mod=todays_asia_economy_and_politics
Afghanistan kidnaps force Korean rethink on missionary drive,
The Financial Times, 27/7
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/e9c43dae-3bd8-11dc-8002-0000779fd2ac,_i_rssPage=7f5f6b12-2f66-11da8b51-00000e2511c8.html
Sectarian bias is a blight on a rare Afghan good news story,
The Guardian, 27/7 http://www.guardian.co.uk/comment/story/0,,2135898,00.html
Tribal conflict in Afghanistan: Fighting for land and water,
The Economist, 28/7
http://www.economist.com/world/asia/displaystory.cfm?story_id=9558303
As the war against the Taliban continues to rage, what is life
in Afghanistan really like? The Independent, 28/7
http://news.independent.co.uk/world/asia/article2800654.ece
Taliban forces NATO to rethink its strategy, The Financial
Times, 31/7
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/3efb8cce-3e30-11dc-8f6a-0000779fd2ac,_i_rssPage=7f5f6b12-2f66-11da-8b51-00000e2511c8.html
Korean hostage crisis pressures US, Karzai, Asia Times
Online, 31/7
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Korea/IG31Dg03.html
Amid war, passion for TV chefs, soaps and idols, The
New York Times, 1/8
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/01/world/asia/01afghan.html?hp
Between allies and enemies, South Korean leader in a bind over
hostage crisis, The International Herald Tribune, 1/8
http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/08/01/asia/afghan.1-107047.php
Islamists want Pakistan province renamed "Afghania", Reuters,
1/8
http://www.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSISL2657120070801
Afghanistan: Taliban propaganda effective among Pashtoons,
Integrated Regional Information Networks, 1/8
http://www.reliefweb.int/rw/rwb.nsf/db900SID/SHES-75NMPR?OpenDocument
Analysis: What to do in Afghanistan? United Press International,
1/8
http://www.upi.com/International_Security/Emerging_Threats/Analysis/2007/08/01/analysis_what_to_do_in_afghanistan/3666
Editorials, Transcripts and Reports:
'Afghanistan needs more Western troops:" Interview with
U.N. Special Representative Tom Koenigs, Der Spiegel, 31/7
http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,497284,00.html
Cops or Robbers? The struggle to reform the Afghan National
Police, The Afghanistan Research and Evaluation Unit, 29/7
http://www.areu.org.af/index.php?option=com_docman&Itemid=&task=doc_download&gid=523
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