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BASIC RESEARCH REPORT
Questions
of Command and Control:
NATO Nuclear Sharing and the NPT
Chapter
Two:
NATO Nuclear Sharing: What it is, and How it Came About
The
debate in the NPT over nuclear sharing makes a detailed
understanding of the nature of NATO’s nuclear sharing arrangements
essential.
2.1
Nuclear Sharing or Proliferation?
During
the late 1950’s and the early 1960’s, intense discussions were
held within NATO on what form of nuclear sharing to establish within
the Alliance. Some European allies – Germany among them –
pressed the US to allow them some kind of participation in nuclear
planning, decision-making, and command and control, since they
wanted a minimum of a strong say in decisions that could put the
very existence of their nations at stake. However, the declared NWS
wanted to limit access to nuclear weapons by other parties. As a
compromise, the system of “nuclear sharing” was established in
NATO in the mid-1960s, and its basic functions have remained
unchanged ever since.
As
early as 1964, a once top-secret description of US policy outlined
the consequence of deploying nuclear weapons on aircraft owned by
non-nuclear members of NATO. It read: “As
a result of NATO’s commitment to the nuclear mode of defence, the
non-nuclear NATO partners in effect become nuclear powers in time of
war”.
The
Nuclear Planning Group (NPG) was formed in 1966 to allow European
NATO allies participation in nuclear decision-making as well as in
discussions about the Alliance’s nuclear policy and doctrine. The
NPG’s “Political Principles”, last updated in 1992, contain
guidelines for nuclear planning, selective use of nuclear weapons
and major nuclear response, consultations, and considerations for
the employment of nuclear weapons.
European
NATO members were given a political role in decisions on the use of
nuclear forces under NATO command. However, they could not order
their use. The US National Command Authority (NCA) retains the
launch codes for use of US weapons in Europe and elsewhere. Thus the
US NCA has ‘positive control’ over all these weapons: they
cannot be armed without a US presidential decision.
In
peacetime, all US weapons strictly remain under custody of US
forces. However, in 1969, then Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff
General Earle G. Wheeler told the Senate Armed Services Committee
that: “All [nuclear] weapons in NATO with the exception, of
course, of those possessed by the British, are under our custody and
control at all times, and will remain so until there is a war, at
which time the President can
authorize the release of these weapons to our allies”.
(Emphasis added) In other words, once the President has given the
order to use nuclear weapons, control over some US nuclear weapons
can be handed over to non-nuclear NATO allies. After the order has
been given and the aircraft has taken off with one (or more) armed
weapon(s) on board, the weapon is no longer under national US
command and control. Instead, the allied pilot now has full control
over the weapon (or weapons) and has sole responsibility for
delivering the weapon to its (predetermined) target. This is a form
of nuclear proliferation, if under very special circumstances.
Through the nuclear sharing arrangements, allied pilots are fully
trained for nuclear missions, while training with dummy nuclear
warheads during peacetime.
2.2
Would Such a Step Violate the NPT?
“The
treaty deals only with what is prohibited, not with what is
permitted”.
The
“release” of US nuclear weapons to NATO allies would appear to
be inconsistent with Articles I and II of the NPT. However, NATO
members continue to argue that their nuclear sharing arrangements
are fully compatible with the Treaty. In fact, the argument about
whether NATO nuclear sharing arrangements are compatible with the
NPT dates back to the negotiation of the Treaty itself.
The
question of NATO nuclear sharing arrangements was at the center of
US-Soviet negotiations on Articles I and II of the NPT. Originally,
the US State Department discussed the creation of a Multilateral
Force (MLF) which would have involved some type of “joint
ownership, manning, and command of a NATO strategic force”.
The Soviets strongly opposed the MLF, but were quiet on the
question of nuclear sharing arrangements. It seems likely that there
are two reasons for this. First, the US threatened to give up
negotiating a NPT if the Soviet Union objected to nuclear sharing.
And second, although the Soviets could not foresee circumstances in
which they would wish to create a Warsaw Treaty Oganisation (WTO)
MLF, the NATO nuclear sharing precedent might, if necessary, have
proved useful for the Soviets in the WTO context, as it made
possible similar arrangements within the WTO.
It is
likely that the widespread objections to the MLF and to nuclear
sharing arrangements in general led the US and its allies to observe
very tight secrecy when it came to the details of NATO’s sharing
arrangements. In some cases, NATO allies were even forbidden to
discuss these arrangements amongst themselves; only bilateral
discussions with US authorities were permitted.
In May
1966, President Lyndon Johnson was reported to have instructed the
State and Defense Departments “to seek new forms for nuclear
coordination within NATO that might be less objectionable to the
Soviets than an MLF”. The compromise language
for Articles I and II which was eventually agreed was intended by
the US to close the option of an MLF or any multilateral
nuclear-weapons entity, but not to preclude the existing NATO
sharing arrangements, including the newly formed NPG.
During
the negotiations, the US informed the Soviet Union that a Treaty
interpretation, indicating that allied consultation and
“two-key” arrangements would not be barred, was essential for
its allies. The Soviets were told that an interpretation to this
effect would be made public during Senate hearings on the Treaty.
They were told that if they publicly disagreed with this
interpretation, the US would have to reconsider its position of
support for the Treaty.
The
background of US opinions of Articles I and II were forwarded to
Secretary of Defense Clark Clifford prior to the NPG meeting at The
Hague on 18-19 April 1968. Under Secretary of State Nicholas
Katzenbach wrote: “I believe you should be familiar with the US
interpretations of Articles I and II of the Non-Proliferation Treaty
regarding alliance arrangements for nuclear defense. The FRG
[Federal Republic of Germany] has requested in particular that we
make it clear that the realization of the NPT will not affect the
work of the NPG”.
In other words, the US and its NATO allies did not expect their
mutual defense arrangements to be constrained by new treaty
commitments.
The
key document on the US interpretation of Articles I and II is
entitled Questions on the
Draft Non-Proliferation Treaty asked by US Allies together with
Answers given by the United States. (See Annex 1.) The Questions
and Answers document was enclosed with a letter from Secretary
of State, Dean Rusk, to President Johnson and thus is often referred
to as the Rusk letter. It was transmitted to the Senate on 9 July
1968, along with other relevant documents, for consideration during
the Senate ratification hearings on the NPT. According to available
documents, this was first time the US made public its interpretation
of the NPT, eight days after the NPT signing ceremony had taken
place, at which the first 56 nations had signed the Treaty.
The Questions
and Answers was designed to give an interpretation of the NPT
which allowed NATO nuclear sharing, based on the idea that the
Treaty dealt only with prohibited matters. They indicate four areas that
the Treaty “does not deal with” and therefore, in the US view,
does not prohibit.
The
first question asked what may and may not be transferred under the
Treaty. The US answered that the Treaty prohibits the transfer of
nuclear bombs, warheads or nuclear explosive devices, but “does
not deal with, and therefore does not prohibit, transfer of nuclear
delivery vehicles or delivery systems or control over them”.
This interpretation was intended to allow continued cooperation on
development of delivery systems and continued allied procurement of
missiles, artillery systems and aircraft capable of delivering US
nuclear weapons under NATO nuclear sharing arrangements.
The
second question asked
whether the treaty prohibits nuclear defense planning among NATO
members. The US position stated that the NPT “does not deal with
allied consultations and planning on nuclear defense so long as no
transfer of nuclear weapons or control over them results”.
This answer was designed to allow information exchange within
NATO’s system of nuclear sharing. This includes NNWS participation
in Programs of Cooperation, drafting target plans, obtaining
information about how different weapons would be used against
different targets, and other aspects of the work of the Nuclear
Planning Group, such as consultations on the use of nuclear weapons.
The
third question was the most crucial one. It asked whether the Treaty
prohibits the deployment of US nuclear weapons on NNWS NATO allies
territory. In the US view, the NPT “does not deal with
arrangements for deployment of nuclear weapons within allied
territory as these do not involve any transfer of nuclear weapons or
control over them unless and until a decision were made to go to
war, at which time the treaty would no longer be controlling”.
This
answer, that the NPT “would no longer be controlling” once a
decision has been made “to go to war”, is crucial to the US
interpretation. The US definition of “control” over the weapons,
meaning that the weapons cannot be launched without a decision of
the US president, is also critical. Thus, “control” over US
nuclear weapons would only be transferred to NATO allies in the
event of war, when the US considered that the Treaty was no longer
binding.
However,
the implication of this interpretation is that the use of US nuclear
weapons by allied forces would be illegal under the NPT if the
Treaty was binding in wartime. Non-NATO diplomatic sources who
confirmed knowledge of the Nuclear Planning Group have also stated
that they knew nothing about nuclear sharing agreements at the time
of signing and ratifying the NPT. However, they did know of these
arrangements nearly 20 years later, when they included fresh
language to the effect that the NPT would be controlling “under
any circumstances” in the 1985 NPT Review Document. The formula
was intended to close the NATO nuclear sharing loophole, and to
ensure that all countries understood the NPT to be controlling at
all times.
Three
issues of political importance arise from the Questions
and Answers. The first issue is the question of which states
were informed of these interpretations of the draft NPT, how and
when they were informed, and whether they can be considered to have
consented to the US interpretations. The second issue results from
weaknesses in the US definition of “control”. The third concerns
the question of when the Treaty is considered to be
“controlling”.
2.3
1968: When Were UN Members Informed?
As
early as 1966 Leonard Meeker, Legal Adviser to the US Department of
State warned: “Should we
decide to leave the wartime exception implicit we would want to make
perfectly clear at Geneva what we were doing, lest we later be
accused of having negotiated a treaty under false pretenses”.
In
February 1969, eight months after the NPT signing ceremony, then
Deputy Director of the US Arms Control and Disarmament Agency (ACDA)
Adrian Fisher told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee that the Questions
and Answers “were made available to key members of the ENDC
[Eighteen Nation Disarmament Committee – the multilateral forum
conducting negotiations on the treaty]. They have now
been made available to all members of the UN, and an indication that
this is the way the United States proposed to proceed. There has
been no indication of objections”.
(Emphasis added) By depositing this statement in the US Senate
records, it was assumed to be known by all NPT signatories.
However, since even “key ENDC members”, such as the
Swedes, appear to have been unaware of the existence of the details
of NATO’s nuclear sharing arrangements, such as the Programs of
Cooperation, the value of the Questions and Answers to them would
have been limited. The US and its NATO allies were asking other
nations to sign the NPT knowing they would be unaware of NATO plans
to circumvent the Treaty, and making a pretense of informing of
NATO’s intentions with a somewhat cryptic set of reservations.
The Questions
and Answers had been shown to NATO allies in early April 1967,
13 days prior to tabling of the draft treaty text at the
Geneva-based ENDC. Therefore, NATO’s non-nuclear members were
informed in time to indicate their consent or dissent to the US NPT
interpretation. However, it appears, that with all likelihood they
were the only non-nuclear nations which were fully in a position to
do so at the time.
Despite
intensive efforts, the authors of this report were unable to obtain
evidence which demonstrated that the contents of the Questions
and Answers were
distributed to all UN members prior to 1 July 1968, when the first
56 nations signed the NPT or that the Questions
and Answers was made publicly available prior to 9 July 1968. In
a letter written by Under Secretary of State Nicholas Katzenbach to
the Secretary of Defense dated 10 April 1968, it was made clear that
it was deliberate policy to ensure the Rusk letter interpretations
should become available to other signatories only after the Treaty
was signed. “We do not believe it would be in our interest or that
of our allies to have a public discussion of the US interpretations
prior to the time when the NPT is submitted to the Senate for advice
and consent”.
Fisher
implies that the US was somewhat selective in revealing the details
of its interpretations. He told the Senate Foreign Relations
Committee that the Questions
and Answers document was “seen by the Soviets and key members
of the ENDC before it was made public and there was no objection. In
view of the fact it is public, and has been referred to on a public
hearing, I assume all countries in the world are on notice of our
intention”.
As a
consequence, states which were neither NATO members nor “key ENDC-members”
may have had no formal notification of the details of the US
interpretation prior to the publication of the US Senate hearings
covering NPT ratification at the earliest – considerably after
many states had signed the Treaty. It is highly likely, for example,
that Ireland (the country which proposed the UN resolutions that led
to the NPT) ratified the NPT on 1 July 1968 without prior
information on this interpretation. Indeed, diplomatic sources
involved at the time recall that the US deliberately acted to hide
the Questions and Answers
from members of the NAM until after the signing of the NPT.
In
effect, it is likely that those nations which sent representatives
to US Senate hearings on NPT ratification, and gathered the relevant
documents prior to or during the meeting, had access to the Rusk
letter once the US ratification process was underway. Those who did
not may have seen the document only after the proceedings of the
hearings were available in print.
Further,
an important omission in the process is that the US did not deposit
its interpretation when it signed the NPT. It is common practice for
states to deposit their reservations and interpretations about a
treaty upon submission of articles of ratification to the depositary
body or state. Eighteen countries did so prior to or upon signing
the NPT, some non-nuclear NATO members even referring indirectly to
the Questions and Answers. The US, however, did not deposit any
declaration, and consequently not informed additional countries of
its interpretation.
Therefore,
the question arises as to how non-NATO members could have given
informed consent to nuclear sharing arrangements, the details of
which remain classified to this day. Fisher admitted that even the
Soviets had not “indicated acquiescence or agreement because they
can’t be asked to agree about certain arrangements that we keep
secret”.
Back
in 1966, then US Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara had promised
that the US was willing, “to make every effort to explain both our
nonproliferation and our NATO nuclear sharing policies and to
demonstrate beyond any reasonable doubt that there is no conflict
between them”.
Neither the US nor NATO appears ever to have lived up to this
commitment. For non-NATO members it must have been difficult or even
impossible to judge or comment on the validity of US interpretations
concerning nuclear sharing.
Therefore,
in order to determine the validity of US interpretations and the
continuance of nuclear sharing under them, the US must state
publicly which governments were informed about the contents of the Questions
and Answers, and when they were informed. The question that
remains is whether State parties would have objected to signing the
NPT had they been aware of the full implications of the US
interpretation. Would the NPT be
the globally accepted treaty it is, if all nations would have been
fully aware of the US interpretations at the time they decided to
join the NPT?
2.4
What Constitutes Control?
“The
treaty should be void of any loop-holes which might permit nuclear
or non-nuclear powers to proliferate, directly or indirectly nuclear
weapons in any form”.
Principle
(a), UN General Assembly Resolution 2028 (XX), 19 November 1965.
In
1965, the United Nations General Assembly called for a
non-proliferation treaty that was “void of loop-holes”. However,
by interpreting the NPT as dealing “only with what is
prohibited” and not with what is allowed, the US introduced a
major loop-hole for nuclear sharing. This directly contradicts the
demand in the Treaty that it should be “In conformity with
resolutions of the United Nations General Assembly calling for the
conclusion of an agreement on the prevention of wider dissemination
of nuclear weapons”.
All US
administrations have consistently argued that NATO shared nuclear
command and control is legal because the US guarantees to maintain
positive control over all its nuclear weapons in peacetime.
It is
this interpretation that allows NATO NNWS to make every preparation
in peacetime for the employment of nuclear weapons during war.
Moreover, this interpretation introduces a loop-hole in the NPT that
others may follow. For example, Belarus, a former Soviet republic,
stated that the NPT was the “moral and legal guideline… that
finalized the political decisions” behind its renouncement of its
nuclear weapon regime.
However, Russia, with the acquiescence of Belarus, could reintroduce
nuclear weapons on the territory of Belarus for use by Belorussian
armed forces. China could decide to create nuclear sharing
arrangements with North Korea, or Pakistan (not an NPT party) could
do the same with Afghanistan, a NNWS party to the NPT. All this
would be consistent with the US interpretation of the Treaty,
supported by NATO allies. Simply put, NATO has established a pattern
it does not want others to emulate.
Even
the US definition of “control”
poses other questions with regard to the NPT: what precautions has
NATO taken to avoid a national pilot violating NATO orders after
take off? What if he were to execute a mission different from his
orders, such as a mission ordered by national rather than NATO
authorities? What precautions has NATO taken to ensure all pilots
return to their home base if a decision is taken to break-off
nuclear operations?
To
further complicate the situation: to whom would the control of
nuclear weapons be transferred when the decision is taken that NATO
would go nuclear? Earlier discussions have focused on the question
of whether loading a fully armed nuclear bomb onto an aircraft
piloted by a citizen of a NNWS would constitute a transfer of
control over the nuclear weapon to that NNWS. This question is
legitimate, but it is not the only question that needs to be
answered. In wartime, NATO’s national air force units would be
assigned to the Alliance, a multinational entity. The US
interpretation itself states that “the treaty would bar transfer
of nuclear weapons (including ownership) or control over them to any
recipient, including a multilateral entity”.
Yet no discussion has taken place as to whether a transfer of
nuclear weapons to a multinational entity, such as NATO, would be
legal under the NPT in wartime. This is why the wartime exclusion
question is of core importance.
2.5
Does the Treaty Apply in Time
of War?
The US
interpretation made public in the Rusk letter indicated that the
Treaty would not be binding once a decision had been made to “go
to war”. Internal US
interpretations at the time and statements by US officials indicate
that this was taken to mean ‘general war’. (See below)
The US
government was aware that NATO arrangements were in conflict with
Treaty provisions, so it had created a fallback position. During the
NPT negotiations, the US pushed strongly to include wording which,
in its interpretation, would make the Treaty invalid in times of
war. In a 1966 secret memorandum, Adrian Fisher explained how the US
should proceed with respect to this problem:
Under
these bilateral arrangements [within NATO], the US nuclear weapons
available for use by allied forces assigned to NATO in the event of
hostilities could, of course, be transferred to those forces in that
event. This would be justified under the Atomic Energy Act on the
ground that, when a war broke out, the President could exercise his
power, as Commander-in-Chief, without regard to the ban on transfer
contained in the Act. A
similar interpretation would make a non-proliferation treaty
inapplicable also. (Emphasis added)
The
purpose of such a treaty, as the preamble could be expected to
express it, would be to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons and,
by this measure among others, to avoid the outbreak of nuclear war
anywhere in the world. Thus the treaty has its application in time
and in a situation when no conflict has broken out and when it
continues to be possible to prevent such a conflict. Once general
hostilities involving nuclear weapons have occurred, however, the
point of prevention has been long passed, and the purpose of the
treaty can no longer be served. In such circumstances the treaty
would not apply, and a nuclear power would be free to transfer
nuclear weapons to an ally for use in the conflict”.
As a
result of the US position, the preamble of the NPT now states that
the general purpose of the Treaty is “to avert such a war”. It
does not, however, state that the Treaty is no longer controlling in
time of war.
During
negotiations in 1966 Leonard Meeker, Legal Adviser to the US
Department of State warned: “Should
we decide to leave the wartime exception implicit we would want to
make perfectly clear at Geneva what we were doing, lest we later be
accused of having negotiated a treaty under false pretenses”.
Despite
this, the US interpretation was expressed even in the Questions
and Answers in very general terms. On 11 July 1968, Dean Rusk
explained the US position further, stating: “I think... that this
is simply a recognition of what today is almost an element of
nature, and that is that, in a condition of general war involving
the nuclear powers, treaty structures of this kind that were
formerly interposed between the parties would be terminated or
suspended”.
Nonetheless,
the US administration did not provide a clear-cut definition of
‘general war’. Instead, Rusk simply gave an example of a
conflict that would not relieve the signatories of compliance: “At
the other extreme would be a limited, local conflict, not involving
a nuclear-weapon-state. In this case the treaty would remain in
force”.
The
concept of ‘general war’ is incorporated in the famous NATO
doctrine of ‘flexible response’, adopted in MC14/3 in December
1967. This paper, based on guidance issued by Ministers in May 1967
at the Defence Planning Committee, was the strategy in place during
the final stages of negotiation of the NPT, and indeed until 1991.
NATO regarded ‘general war’ as something unlikely because of the
NATO deterrent. However, this definition also revealed that general
war was now seen as a major conventional war leading to nuclear
attack, to deter which NATO could threaten a ‘general nuclear
response’.
[I]t
is unlikely that the Soviet Union will deliberately initiate a
general war or any other aggression in the
NATO area that involves a clear risk of escalation to nuclear
war.
Unlike
in earlier strategies, ‘general war’ and nuclear war are no
longer absolutely identical. This remains the case today. The US
definition of ‘general war’ has remained unchanged since at
least 1974. The DoD dictionary refers to ‘general war’ as
“Armed conflict between major powers in which the total resources
of the belligerents are employed and the national survival of a
belligerent is in jeopardy”.
There is no definition of ‘major powers’ given. From this it is
clear that a ‘general war’ can begin as conventional war, and
can become a nuclear war at NATO’s instigation. This was made
clear in MC14/3:
In
the event of a full-scale conventional aggression, indicating the
opening of general hostilities on any sector of the NATO area, the
forces of the Alliance should, if necessary, respond with nuclear
weapons on the scale appropriate to the circumstances.
The
term occurs, without explanation, in the 1991 NATO Strategic
Concept. Paragraph 43 reads: “While in the new security
environment a general war in Europe has become highly unlikely, it
cannot finally be ruled out”.
The
US and NATO should state publicly whether they still cling to the
concept of “general war”,
and if so, what its
definition of that concept is. Only this kind of transparency
will allow other NPT parties to understand in what circumstances
NATO views the Treaty as no longer binding, and whether they believe
that this is acceptable under the NPT. Unless this step is taken,
other countries will not know if and when NATO would, in effect,
create six new nuclear-weapon states.
This
issue concerned some diplomats in the 1980s as well. A more
restrictive interpretation that Articles I and II apply “under any
circumstances” was agreed by consensus in the Final Document of
the third NPT Review Conference in 1985. While this final consensus
statement is politically rather than legally binding, the 1985
wording was confirmed by the UN Security Council in its 1991
resolution on Iraq. The Gulf War was a regional conflict with the
potential for involving weapons of mass destruction.
The US
is the only country that has explicitly stated that, once a general
war has begun, it would no longer feel bound by the NPT. It has thus
created a loop-hole by which it could withdraw from the Treaty
without the three month notice period required by NPT Article X. In
addition, the US approach implicitly creates a loop-hole for NNWS
members of NATO to withdraw from the Treaty and receive US nuclear
weapons in the event of war.
Furthermore,
NATO is able to create the very conditions under which it would no
longer feel bound by the NPT. By retaining the option of first use
of nuclear weapons, the interpretation allows the US to decide
unilaterally when ‘general war’ has come and thus when it can
withdraw from its NPT commitments without prior notice. The first
use of nuclear weapons by the US and NATO during a conflict would
not occur “unless and until a decision were made to go to war”.
The US view is that “in such circumstances the treaty would not
apply, and a nuclear power would be free to transfer nuclear weapons
to an ally for use in the conflict”.
Go to Chapter
3
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