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BASIC RESEARCH REPORT
Questions
of Command and Control:
NATO Nuclear Sharing and the NPT
Chapter
One:
The Debate Over Nuclear Sharing Since 1995
“A
credible Alliance nuclear posture and the demonstration of
Alliance solidarity and common commitment to war prevention
continue to require widespread
participation by European Allies involved in collective defence
planning in nuclear roles, in peacetime basing of nuclear
forces on their territory and in command, control and consultation arrangements”. (Emphasis added)
NATO
Strategic Concept, Paragraph 63, April 1999.
The international
debate over NATO nuclear policy in general, and NATO nuclear
sharing arrangements in particular, has built steadily since 1995.
The non-proliferation implications of these arrangements have come
to disturb more and more states party to the Non-Proliferation
Treaty (NPT). Under NATO policy, the US presently deploys up to
180 nuclear weapons in Europe.
These weapons are intended for delivery by US aircraft, and by
aircraft belonging to NATO members which are non-nuclear-weapon
states (NNWS) during peacetime.
At the same time,
NATO members regard the NPT as the cornerstone of the
non-proliferation regime.
NATO states worked hard to achieve their goal of indefinite
extension of the NPT in 1995. They continue to emphasize the
importance of Treaty interpretations that do not allow loop-holes
through which proliferation might take place amongst other states.
All NATO members
are committed to exposing possible Treaty violations to
international criticism and sanction. There is also growing
support in NATO for decisive counter-action, including the
possibility of offensive military counter-proliferation
operations. NATO members clearly perceive a Treaty prohibiting
nuclear proliferation to be in their national interests.
Criticism of NATO
nuclear policy in general, and nuclear sharing in particular, has
been growing since the 1995 Review and Extension Conference of the
NPT. In papers and a research note, members of the Project on
European Nuclear Non-Proliferation (PENN) have provided evidence
that questions the compatibility of NATO nuclear sharing with the
commitments NATO’s member states entered into under Articles I
and II of the NPT. Evidence was made available in increasing
detail as more declassified and other historical documentation
emerged. This
evidence was used in 1995, and at the three Preparatory Committees
(PrepComs) for the 2000 Review Conference of the NPT (RevCon), to
question the NATO policy.
1.1
Nuclear Sharing Debates from 1995 to 1999: International
Concern Over Nuclear Proliferation in NATO
At the 1995 NPT
Review and Extension Conference, several State parties raised
serious concerns as to whether NATO nuclear sharing arrangements
comply with Articles I and II of the Treaty. During the debate
that ensued, NATO members proposed that the report of the
Conference endorse NATO nuclear sharing arrangements. NATO members
offered language stating that, “existing security arrangements
are implemented in full compliance with Articles I and II of the
treaty”, and that the “provisions of Articles I and II are
fully compatible with the commitment undertaken by State parties
in existing security arrangements.”
Mexico recorded
its reservations on the subject of nuclear sharing, asking for
clarification from NATO nations about allegations in reports by
Greenpeace and BASIC/CESD about NATO nuclear sharing. Both Belgium
and Germany responded that they had not breached the NPT and that
the allegations were groundless.
Nonetheless, the Non-Aligned Movement
later took up the Mexican concerns in language which was included
in the draft report from Main Committee I. The draft stated that:
5. The
Conference acknowledges the declarations by the nuclear-weapon
States that they have fulfilled their obligations under Article I,
[with exceptions noted by the international community. The
Conference underscores the need for nuclear-weapon States to
remain in full compliance with the letter and spirit of Article
I...]
Many other
non-NATO countries took a different perspective from NATO nations,
proposing that the Conference note that “among State parties
there are various interpretations of the implementation of certain
aspects of Articles I and II which need clarification”.
Another proposal was for language expressing “grave concern”
about NATO nuclear sharing and the Conference being “convinced
that such acts run counter to the spirit and letter of the
Treaty”.
Seven out of eight draft proposals for language highlighted the
fact that there is no joint interpretation of Articles I and II.
These proposals either called for clarification and additional
information or more generally reminded all State parties to ensure
that they live up to their commitments under Articles I and II.
The Conference
was unable to agree a text and the report of Main Committee was
never accepted by the Conference as whole. Indeed, the Conference
was never able to agree a review document, in part because of
disagreements between NNWS and nuclear-weapon states (NWS) on
Article I and Article II questions.
1.2
The 1997 PrepCom: NATO Expansion Prompts Concerns Over Nuclear
Strategy
The 1995 debate
on nuclear sharing was short and no agreement was reached. NATO
members hoped the question would simply not be raised again.
However, the compatibility of NATO nuclear sharing with Articles I
and II of the NPT caused serious debate at the 1997 PrepCom. PENN
members presented diplomats with a memorandum containing a series
of questions on NATO nuclear sharing, which was the basis for the
debate that took place at the PrepCom.
Furthermore, NATO
expansion prompted general concern about the NPT and NATO nuclear
policies and strategy. Belarus, China and Russia objected to NATO
enlargement. Belarus proposed a nuclear-weapon-free zone in
Central and Eastern Europe.
China and Russia suggested that states with nuclear weapons
deployed outside their borders should withdraw all these weapons
to their own territory.
South Africa was
even more explicit. South African representatives expressed
concern “about the non-proliferation implications of the plans
for the expansion of NATO…. The planned expansion of NATO would
entail an increase in the number of non-nuclear-weapon States
which participate in nuclear training, planning decision-making
and which have an element of nuclear deterrence in their defence
policies.”
In 1997, the
prospect of the admittance of the Czech Republic, Hungary and
Poland to NATO and a resulting increase in the number of countries
eligible to participate in NATO nuclear sharing and nuclear policy
planning worried some NNWS. This concern made the question of NPT
compliance more relevant, despite assurances that NATO does not
intend to deploy nuclear weapons in the territory of new member
states.
NATO’s
strategy, last revised at the Washington Summit in April 1999,
requires the widespread participation of NNWS members in nuclear
sharing during peacetime, crisis and war. It still requires
several NNWS members to be prepared to take control of US nuclear
warheads in time of war.
In addition to
repeatedly stating that it does not intend to station nuclear
weapons on new members’ territory, NATO clarified in the
NATO-Russia Founding Act that it will not construct new nuclear
storage facilities in these countries. In the Founding Act, NATO
members reiterated the “three
no’s” in which they have “no intention, no plan and no
reason to deploy nuclear weapons on the territory of new
members”. This agreement, however,
is not legally binding. The US Administration points out that:
“NATO retains its right to modify its nuclear posture or policy
should circumstances warrant”.
The Czechs,
Hungarians and Poles have now joined the NATO Nuclear Planning
Group and its subordinate bodies and participate in nuclear
consultation during exercises and crisis.
The 1997 PrepCom
ended without any agreement on proposals on substantive issues
that could be passed on to the 1998 PrepCom or the 2000 RevCon.
1.3.
The 1998 PrepCom: First Proposals Tabled to End Nuclear
Sharing
The debate in
1997 was carried over and deepened at the 1998 PrepCom meeting.
The PENN publication, NATO
Nuclear Sharing and the NPT – Questions to be Answered, presented
historical evidence concerning nuclear sharing to diplomats for
the first time. This
report used declassified US documents to show why NATO needed to
be questioned over possible breaches of Articles I and II of the
NPT, and why further clarification was necessary as to whether
NATO nuclear sharing should be considered legal or illegal under
the NPT. Several countries used this information to question the
practice of nuclear sharing and make proposals to reconcile NATO
nuclear sharing with NPT Articles I and II. For example, the
113-member Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) proposed that the PrepCom
agree to the following:
The States
Parties agree that the strict observance of the terms of Article I
remains central to achieving the shared objectives of preventing
under any circumstances further proliferation of nuclear weapons
and preserving the Treaty’s vital contribution to peace and
security.
The working paper
called on NWS parties to the NPT to “reaffirm their commitments
to the fullest implementation” of Articles I and II, and
to
refrain from nuclear sharing with nuclear-weapons States, non
nuclear-weapon States, and States not party to the Treaty for
military purposes under any
kind of security arrangements.
(Emphasis added)
Criticism also
came from Egypt. While “certain interpretations of the NPT…
would have the Treaty apply only in times of peace,” Egypt
called for the 2000 Review Conference to clearly state that there
should be no exceptions allowed to Articles I and II, and that the
NPT is legally binding under all circumstances.
The contrast with NATO positions was sharp. As these
illustrations demonstrate, there is a clear need to reconcile NPT
obligations with NATO nuclear sharing.
As in 1997, the
1998 PrepCom ended without agreement on Article I and II issues,
or indeed any substantive questions.
1.4 The 1999 PrepCom: NATO Nuclear Sharing Under the Microscope
From the opening
day of the 1999 PrepCom, representatives of NATO nations felt
themselves under pressure. Challenging the basis of NATO nuclear
sharing, the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) for the second year in a
row submitted a Working Paper, which contained proposals for
review document language on Article I and II identical to the
previous year.
Algeria, backing
the NAM position, strongly criticized “[T]he very recent
adoption of the [NATO] Strategic Concept which reaffirms the
essential importance of nuclear weapons in security and the
preservation of peace, contradicting by word and deed the hopes
cherished by many countries”.
Mongolia warned that the Alliance’s new Strategic Concept could
provoke other nuclear weapon states to adopt similar policies
while NNWS might question the utility of the NPT.
The New Agenda
Coalition (NAC) for the first time joined the criticism of NATO
and nuclear sharing. In their statement to the general debate,
they criticized lack of progress to disarmament and the fact that
“.. the continued possession of nuclear weapons has been re-rationalised.
Nuclear doctrines have been reaffirmed”.
The NAC further emphasized that any loophole in Treaty
interpretation that might allow for nuclear sharing must be
closed, stating that “it must be stressed that all the articles
of the NPT are binding on all States Parties and at all times and
in all circumstances”.
In 1999,
rhetorical criticism of NATO policy was translated for the first
time into action. Egypt
formally proposed that the Preparatory Committee of the 2000
Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) Review Conference adopt an
interpretation of the Treaty that would outlaw current NATO
practices and possible future European Union nuclear weapons
cooperation. Referring to Articles I and II of the NPT, which
prohibit the transfer of nuclear weapons from nuclear weapon
states to non-nuclear-weapon states, Egypt emphasized that:
Neither
Article I nor Article II suffer any exceptions.
Notwithstanding
the clear and unambiguous nature of Articles I & II of the NPT,
NATO’s so-called ‘Nuclear Sharing’ arrangements and its
concepts regarding nuclear deterrence, as reflected in its latest
declaration on the occasion of its fiftieth anniversary, raise
significant doubts over the extent of compliance of some NATO
members with the provisions of both of these Articles and the
extent of conformity and compatibility of commitments undertaken
by participants in such arrangements with the provisions of the
NPT.
Furthermore,
Egypt is concerned about proposals for a Europeanized nuclear
force based on the policy of ‘concerted deterrence’. These
questions need to be addressed by these nuclear and
non-nuclear-weapon States.
The
delegation of Egypt proposes that the PrepCom recommend that the
2000 Review Conference state in clear and unambiguous terms that
Articles I and II of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of
Nuclear Weapons allow for no
exceptions and that the NPT is binding on States Parties in
times of peace and in times of war alike.
Egypt’s
intimate involvement in the negotiations that created the
NPT in the 1960’s gives
particular weight to its concerns today. South Africa also made a
statement criticizing NATO policies and the revised Strategic
Concept adopted at the 1999 NATO Summit in Washington. This
recalled their earlier concerns “placed on record at the
previous two PrepComs about the non-proliferation implications of
an expanded NATO [] in the light of the outcome of the Washington
Summit which has, for the time being, left the policy of nuclear
sharing unchanged”.
The Chair carried
these concerns into the two draft working papers he presented to
PrepCom participants. The first stated that
7.
Reaffirmation by non-nuclear-weapon States Parties to the Treaty,
of their commitments to the fullest implementation of Article II
and to refrain from nuclear sharing with nuclear-weapon States,
non-nuclear-weapon States, and States not party to the Treaty for
military purposes under any kind of security arrangements.
The Chair’s
second draft statement included a paragraph which reads
8.
Affirmation that all the articles of the Treaty on the
Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons are binding on all States
Parties and at all times and in all circumstances.
The 1999 PrepCom
ended in acrimony, barely avoiding complete failure. In part, this
was because NATO members could not bring themselves to accept any
criticism of their policies and practices. In the end,
participants were only able to agree the minimum of procedural
points necessary to allow the 2000 Review Conference to take
place.
However, concern
in the NPT process over nuclear sharing spilled over in 1999 into
the United Nations. The New Agenda resolution, which passed the
First Committee and then General Assembly, includes as one of its
points the phrase, “Stressing that each article of the NPT is
binding on the respective States Parties at all times and in all
circumstances”, a clear reference to the debate over nuclear
sharing.
1.5
The US Rejection of Any Impropriety by NATO in Relation to the NPT
The debate over
nuclear sharing in the NPT forum, together with proliferation
concerns over NATO expansion, has forced alliance members and the
US in particular into a defensive position. US government members
have been obliged to answer criticism that they are promoting
proliferation through NATO policy.
Some NNWS have
argued that by tying new member states into nuclear planning and
deterrence, NATO is engaging in a form of nuclear proliferation. US Secretary of Defense
William Cohen responded to these criticisms by saying that
“there are no ‘Non-Proliferation Treaty problems associated
with NATO expansion.’” He went on to note that
since the new members are all signatories to the NPT, attempts by
these states to receive, manufacture or otherwise acquire nuclear
weapons, “would break their commitment to the NPT, whether they
were in NATO or not”.
In response to
the same question, US Secretary of State Madeleine Albright said
that the participation by NATO NNWS in the activities of the
Nuclear Planning Group:
[I]n no way
contravenes Article I of the NPT. This question of NPT Article I
and its impact on NATO nuclear forces was debated at length during
the negotiation of the NPT. All concerned accepted that the final
language of Article I would not preclude the type of nuclear
planning, basing, and consultative arrangements that have taken
place in NATO since NPT entry-into-force in 1970.
However, at the
time of signing the NPT, non-NATO signatories were not made aware
of the US interpretation (shared by NATO allies) preserving the
Alliance’s nuclear sharing arrangements and stating that the NPT
would not be controlling in time of war; neither were they made
aware of what exactly constitutes nuclear sharing. For example,
diplomatic sources have revealed that Sweden signed the NPT in
1968 with the assumption that other European powers would also
relinquish their programs for acquiring nuclear weapons. However, the US
interpretation that in wartime NATO allies could become
nuclear-weapon powers contravened Sweden’s (and probably other
nations’) basic reason for signing.
Go to Chapter
2
.
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