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BASIC MEDIA RELEASE

Thursday 14 December 2006 - IMMEDIATE RELEASE

New Briefing UK Trident replacement:
too important to rush into

Government White Paper fails to address eight key questions on the timing of the decision

Full text of the briefing is available at: http://www.basicint.org/nuclear/beyondtrident/briefing01.pdf.

Paul Ingram, Senior Analyst at BASIC said: "Given the disadvantages of rushing this premature decision it is crucial that MPs seek answers to eight key questions not covered by the Government White Paper published on 4 December". These questions are:

  1. Why was the life expectancy of the Vanguard submarine reduced by five years earlier this year?
  2. Why were the Vanguard-class submarines apparently built to lower standards than the US Ohio-class submarines?
  3. Why is the same shipyard in line to receive the follow-on contract when it failed to produce a cost effective solution last time?
  4. Is a continuous-at-sea deterrent necessary at a time when even the Prime Minister agrees there is no major nuclear threat to our strategic interests?
  5. Why should a "minimum deterrent" require a new class of submarine, and why should this take 17 years to design and build?
  6. How much faith should MPs and the Government put in the judgment of BAE Systems' estimated lead-time for new submarines?
  7. Could a replacement submarine be purchased off the-shelf from the Americans at a lower cost and with a much reduced lead-time?
  8. Could a decision be made to invest in R&D while holding off on a 'main gate' decision until the next parliament, in order to allow time for:
    • a proper cost-benefit assessment based on a new Strategic Defence Review;
    • the Government to mount a new multilateral disarmament initiative in advance of the 2010 NPT Review Conference; and
    • a proper and informed public and parliamentary debate of ALL the options.

Ian Davis, Co-Executive Director of BASIC added: "The White Paper on Trident replacement raises more questions than it answers. MPs need to seek answers to those questions and hold the Executive to account. In particular, the ludicrously short timetable for reaching a decision should be challenged by Parliament. Far from being a lasting solution, a decision to replace at this stage would escalate the crisis in the nuclear non-proliferation regime and make a future world of 30-40 nuclear weapon states more likely."

For further information please contact:
Dr Ian Davis (Co-Executive Director) 0207 324 4685; mobile: 07887 782 389
Paul Ingram (Senior Analyst) 0207 324 4686; mobile 07908 708175

BASIC UK: The Grayston Centre, 2nd Floor, 28 Charles Square London N1 6HT, +44-(0)20-7324 4680
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