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BASIC PAPERS

OCCASIONAL PAPERS ON INTERNATIONAL SECURITY POLICY

20 MAY 1997 • NUMBER 20 • ISSN 1353-0402


A New Strategic Concept for NATO

By Tasos Kokkinides, Alistair Millar, Daniel Plesch, and Kirsten Ruecker

The British American Security Information Council (BASIC) believes that NATO leaders meeting in Madrid in July 1997 should agree to a revision of the Alliance’s 1991 Strategic Concept, whether or not the Alliance decides to enlarge.

NATO leaders should instruct the North Atlantic Council in Permanent Session to revisit the Strategic Concept in light of the significant changes in European security.

The new Strategic Concept should be agreed to as soon as possible. To ensure maximum transparency, each NATO member should discuss the new strategy with the foreign and defence committees of the NATO 16 Parliaments. BASIC believes that the next round of NATO Ministerial Meetings, scheduled for December 1997 in Brussels, provides the ideal opportunity for the adoption of the new Strategic Concept.

What follows is BASIC’s recommended text.

Key Proposed Policy Changes
Note to the reader: Normal text is as appeared in the 1991 Strategic Concept, bold text is recommended changes.

  • The Alliance recognises the tensions that have been generated by its policy of enlargement. Measures to reduce such tensions will continue to have high priority on the Alliance’s agenda. The Alliance will continue to work to develop a structure of political, economic and security co-operation throughout Europe and the Atlantic community that will make further selective enlargement of the Alliance militarily unnecessary and politically irrelevant. [Strategic Concept, paragraph 2c]

  • Since 1991 new challenges have emerged in Europe resulting, principally, from the collapse of multi-ethnic states in Central and Eastern Europe. [paragraph 10]

  • The predominantly non-military nature of the new challenges in Europe means that there are profound limitations on what the Alliance can contribute. The Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), the European Union (EU), the United Nations (UN) and the Council of Europe have important roles to play in meeting the new security challenges in Europe and in most cases they are better equipped than the Alliance to do so. In particular, the Alliance takes note of the OSCE's stated objective of creating a common security space in Europe, free of dividing lines. [paragraph 10e]

  • Nevertheless, the principle of Alliance and the existence of the potential for the effective deployment of armed forces remain essential elements of European security. In these circumstances, NATO continues to update its purpose and to revise its concept of operations and its political and military structures. [paragraph 10g]

  • The Alliance’s new role in peace-keeping operations on behalf of the international community has been demonstrated by the success of the NATO-led mission to former Yugoslavia. The Alliance is prepared to continue to make its resources available to meet such challenges where appropriate. The on-going adaptation of the Alliance structures will help the Alliance to carry out the full range of its missions more effectively, including future IFOR-type operations. [paragraphs 10b, 10d]

  • Substantial progress in arms control has already enhanced stability and security far beyond the level achieved in 1991 by further lowering arms levels and increasing military transparency and mutual confidence (including the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC); the African Nuclear-Weapon-Free Zone Treaty (ANWFZ); the indefinite extension of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) and the accession of Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Ukraine to the Treaty as non-nuclear weapon states; the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT); the entry into force of START I; the implementation of the Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (CFE); and the removal of the vast majority of non-strategic nuclear weapons from Europe). The Alliance looks forward to the entry into force of the CTBT and START 2 at the earliest possible time. The implementation of existing agreements and the development of new agreements restricting weapons of mass destruction is of the utmost importance. [paragraph 4]

  • Implementation of the 1992 START II Treaty will lead to increased stability through substantial and balanced reductions in the field of strategic nuclear arms. Further far-reaching changes and reductions in the nuclear forces of the United States and the Russian Federation have been pursued following President Clinton’s initiative to de-target nuclear weapons and his recent decision to reduce dramatically the alert status of nuclear forces. [This is an initiative suggested by a number of non-governmental individuals and former government and military officials]. Retaining nuclear weapons on immediate alert is incompatible with strategic partnership with the Russian Federation. The agreed framework for START III will further reduce the nuclear danger by bringing the number of deployed strategic warheads to a total of 2000-2500 in phase A and to 1,000 in phase B. The Alliance welcomes the political declarations of France and the United Kingdom not to increase their nuclear forces and looks forward to unanimity amongst the five nuclear weapons states to enable the implementation of START III B. [paragraph 4a]

  • Nuclear deterrence is not an infallible system and is particularly unsuited to the real world environment of irrational actors and simple human and technical error. The supreme guarantee of the security of the Allies from nuclear attack will be the elimination of nuclear weapons. [paragraph 55]

  • The circumstances in which any use of nuclear weapons might have to be contemplated by the Alliance are therefore even more remote. The Alliance can therefore eliminate their remaining sub-strategic nuclear forces as part of a verifiable, irreversible and reciprocal process. The Alliance looks forward to these steps being taken unilaterally by the United States, Russia and France to eliminate all remaining sub-strategic nuclear weapons. [paragraph 57]

  • The on-going negotiations on the modernisation of the CFE will remove the Alliance's numerical superiority in all CFE-lim- ited conventional weapons systems, reduce the overall numbers of CFE-limited weapons throughout the CFE application area and strengthen verification procedures. The Alliance, together with its CFE Partners, will explore ways and means to extend the Treaty’s coverage so as to include new or expanded categories of conventional armaments and equipment and restrict the introduction of new weapon types and technologies. [paragraph 4b]

  • Destabilising concentrations of military forces exist in certain parts of Europe, particularly in its southeast corner. The Alliance will intensify its efforts to convince its members and partners alike that reductions in military holdings are essential for reducing the real or residual threats to peace. Allies and Partners alike will implement an appropriate mix of unilateral and multilateral steps to achieve this goal. [paragraph 4d]

  • The OSCE has become an organisation in its own right. The "Common and Comprehensive Security Model for Europe for the Twenty-First Century", agreed in Lisbon in December 1996, provides the framework for the future of European security. As agreed in Lisbon, the Alliance recognises that the OSCE plays a central role in achieving the goal of a common security space in Europe free of dividing lines, in which all States are equal partners. [paragraph 5]

  • The political approach to security has become the primary focus of the Alliance’s security policy. [paragraph 31]

  • The Alliance is one of the instruments available for conflict prevention and resolution. The OSCE and the EU have developed mechanisms which are more suited to tackling risks to European security. At their meeting in Lisbon in December 1996, Heads of State and Government from OSCE participating states reaffirmed the Organisation’s key role in fostering security and stability, and they decided to further enhance its efficiency as a primary instrument for early warning, conflict prevention, crisis management and post-conflict rehabilitation capabilities. In 1992, the Alliance offered to support OSCE peacekeeping activities, including by making available its resources on a case by case basis. The Alliance reaffirms its willingness to consider requests by the OSCE to make its military capabilities available and will jointly explore and develop with the OSCE the necessary modalities. [paragraph 32]

  • Pursuant to the "Scope and Parameters" Document adopted by all CFE States, the Alliance, together with its CFE Partners, will explore ways and means to extend the Treaty’s coverage so as to include new, or expanded, categories of conventional armaments and equipment and restrict the introduction of new weapon types and technologies. [paragraph 4]

  • The United Nations Security Council has identified the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction as a threat to the peace. So too is their existence. Nuclear weapons make an unquantifiable contribution in rendering the risks of any aggression incalculable and unacceptable. They carry with them the catastrophic consequences of unpredictable and irrational action through a combination of human and technical fallibility naturally increased in crisis. The Alliance affirms that it will only use nuclear weapons in response to a nuclear attack. The Alliance attaches the highest priority to securing their global elimination in accordance with the legal obligations of member states and has accordingly created the High Level Task Force on Arms Control and Disarmament which will coordinate Alliance policy toward this end. The High Level Task Force will consist of two working groups. The first group will deal with weapons of mass destruction and the second group will deal with other threats to stability such as the transfer of military technologies, arms sales, and non-nuclear systems that are potentially destabilising. [paragraphs 39, 39a]

  • The Alliance will concentrate on developing its ability to carry out new roles and missions relating to conflict prevention and crisis management. The NATO-led mission in former Yugoslavia has demonstrated that Allied military forces can become an important instrument for peace enforcement, conflict resolution and post-conflict rehabilitation in Europe. The Alliance will utilise military forces from Partner countries by developing the Combined Joint Task Forces. [paragraph 41]


The Alliances New Strategic Concept

Agreed by the Heads of State and Government
participating in the meeting of the North Atlantic
Council in Rome on 7-8 November 1991
Brussels on . . . December 1997

Note to the reader: Plain text is NATO's current Strategic Concept agreed in 1991. Struck out text has been deleted because it has been overtaken by events or a policy change is being proposed. Bolded text is modernising language and is underlined where the most important changes in Alliance policy are recommended.

1. At their meetings in London in July 1990, Rome in November 1991 and Brussels in January 1994, NATO’s Heads of State and Government agreed on the need to transform the Atlantic Alliance to reflect the new, more promising, era in Europe. While reaffirming the basic principles on which the Alliance has rested since its inception, they recognised that the developments taking place in Europe would have a far-reaching impact on the way in which its aims would be met in future. The Strategic Concept agreed by the Alliance in November 1991 has been kept under review in the light of the continually improving political context in Europe. These improvements have allowed the Alliance to further revise its Strategic Concept, which In particular, they set in hand a fundamental strategic review. The resulting new Strategic Concept is set out below.

PART I - THE STRATEGIC CONCPET

The New Strategic Environment

2. There are no major inter-state conflicts in Europe. This situation is unprecedented in Europe as a whole and in Western Europe has not existed since the fall of the Roman Empire. The Alliance is determined to seize the moment and make the successes in arms control and confidence building more far reaching and permanent. Since 1989 1991, profound political changes have taken place in Central and Eastern Europe which have radically improved the security environment in which the North Atlantic Alliance seeks to achieve its objectives. The USSR no longer exists. The USSR’s former satellites have fully recovered their sovereignty. The Republics of the former Soviet Union and its Republics have become independent sovereign states and together with the nations of Central and Eastern Europe they continue to develop their democratic societies. are undergoing radical change. The three Baltic Republics have regained their independence.

2a. Former Soviet forces have left Hungary and Czechoslovakia and are due to have now completed their withdrawal from Poland and Germany by 1994 to the Russian Federation. All the countries that were formerly adversaries of NATO have dismantled the Warsaw Pact and rejected ideological hostility to the West. Many of these countries have expressed a strong desire to become members of the Alliance. They have, in varying degrees, embraced and begun to are implementing policies which are aimed at achieving pluralistic democracy, the rule of law, respect for human rights and a market economy. The political division of Europe that was the source of the military confrontation of the Cold War period has thus been overcome and will not be reestablished. NATO now meets and works with almost all the nations of Europe through the North Atlantic Cooperation Council and the Partnerships for Peace (PfP) programmes. The newly established Atlantic Partnership Council, and the signing of separate bilateral agreements between the Alliance and the Russian Federation and Ukraine is a mark of the mature co-operative relations between all European states and will further intensify contacts and promote security and stability throughout Europe. Following these major accomplishments the possibility of conflict has been greatly reduced and large-scale military confrontation in Europe has become implausible.

2b. At the 1994 Brussels Summit, the Alliance decided to enlarge, a decision which is likely to shape the future of European security. At the 1997 Madrid Summit, the Alliance took the next step by inviting X, Y and Z to begin accession negotiations to become members. By 1999, the Alliance’s 50th anniversary, these States will become members of the Alliance, subject to legislative approval.

2c. The Alliance recognises the tensions that have been generated by its policy of enlargement. Measures to reduce such tensions will continue to have high priority on the Alliance’s agenda. The Alliance will continue to work to develop a structure of political, economic and security co-operation throughout Europe and the Atlantic community that will make further selective enlargement of the Alliance militarily unnecessary and politically irrelevant.

3. In the West, there have also been significant changes. Germany has been united and remains a full member of the Alliance and of European institutions. The European Community has become the European Union. The fact that the countries of the European Community Union are working towards the goal of political and monetary union, including the development of a European security identity; and the enhancement of the role of the WEU, are important factors for European security. The strengthening of the security dimension in the process of European integration, and the enhancement of the role and responsibilities of European members of the Alliance are positive and mutually reinforcing. The development of a European security identity and defence role through the Combined Joint Task Force concept, which is separable but not separate from NATO, reflecteds in the strengthening of the European pillar within the Alliance, and will not only serve the interests of the European states but also reinforce the integrity and effectiveness of the Alliance as a whole.

4. Substantial progress in arms control has already enhanced stability and security far beyond the level achieved in 1991 by further lowering arms levels and increasing military transparency and mutual confidence (including the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC); the African Nuclear-Weapon-Free Zone Treaty (ANWFZ); the indefinite extension of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) and the accession of Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Ukraine to the Treaty as non-nuclear weapon states; the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT); the entry into force of START I; the implementation of the Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (CFE); and the removal of the vast majority of non-strategic nuclear weapons from Europe). through the Stockholm CDE agreement of 1986, the INF Treaty of 1987 and the CSCE agreements and confidence and security-building measures of 1990). The Alliance looks forward to the entry into force of the CTBT and START 2 at the earliest possible time. The implementation of existing agreements and the development of new agreements restricting weapons of mass destruction is of the utmost importance.

4a. Implementation of the 1991 START Treaty 1992 START II Treaty will lead to increased stability through substantial and balanced reductions in the field of strategic nuclear arms. Further far-reaching changes and reductions in the nuclear forces of the United States and the Soviet Union will be Russian Federation have been pursued following President Bush’s September 1991 President Clinton’s initiative to de-target nuclear weapons and his recent decision to reduce dramatically the alert status of nuclear forces.1 Retaining nuclear weapons on immediate alert is incompatible with strategic partnership with the Russian Federation. The agreed framework for START III will further reduce the nuclear danger by bringing the number of deployed strategic warheads to a total of 2000-2500 in phase A and to 1,000 in phase B. The Alliance welcomes the political declarations of France and the United Kingdom not to increase their nuclear forces and looks forward to unanimity amongst the five nuclear weapons states to enable the implementation of START III B.

4b. Also of great importance is the CFE, signed at the 1990 Paris Summit; the on-going negotiations on its modernisation its implementation will remove the Alliance’s numerical infsuperiority in key all CFE-limited conventional weapon systems, reduce the overall numbers of CFE-limited conventional weapon systems throughout the CFE application area and provide for effective strengthen CFE verification procedures. Pursuant to the "Scope and Parameters" Document adopted by all CFE States as agreed at the OSCE Lisbon Summit in December 1996, the Alliance, together with its CFE Partners, will explore ways and means to extend the Treaty’s coverage so as to include new or expanded categories of conventional armaments and equipment and restrict the introduction of new weapon types and technologies.

4c. All these developments will have also resulted in an unprecedented and increasing degree of military transparency in Europe, thus increasing predictability and mutual confidence. Such transparency would be further enhanced by the entry into force of the Treaty on achievement of an Open Skies regime. There are welcome prospects for further advances in arms control in conventional and nuclear forces, and for in particular the achievement of the ultimate goal of a global ban on chemical nuclear weapons, as well as restricting de-stabilising arms exports through enforceable Codes of Conduct on the Arms Trade and the proliferation of certain weapons technologies.

4d. Despite these developments, destabilising concentrations of military forces exist in certain parts of Europe, particularly in its southeast corner. The Agreement on Regional Stabilization, achieved at Dayton in November 1995, constitutes the first step towards the progressive demilitarisation of the region. The Alliance will encourage the implementation of all provisions contained in the Dayton Agreement and will intensify its efforts to convince its members and partners alike that reductions in military holdings are essential for reducing the real or residual threats to peace. The Allies will implement an appropriate mix of unilateral and multilateral steps to achieve this goal and encourage their Partners to do the same.

5. The OSCE CSCE process, which began , formerly the CSCE, in Helsinki in 1975, has already contributed significantly to overcoming the division of Europe. As a result of the Paris, Helsinki and Budapest Summits, it has become an organisation in its own right. The OSCE it now includes new institutional arrangements and provides a contractual framework for consultation and co-operation that can play a constructive role, complementary to that of NATO, the EU, the WEU and the Council of Europe and the process of European integration, in preserving peace. The OSCE’s "Common and Comprehensive Security Model for Europe for the Twenty-First Century", agreed in Lisbon in December 1996, provides the framework for the future of European Security. As agreed in Lisbon, the Alliance recognises that the OSCE plays a central role in achieving the goal of a common security space in Europe free of dividing lines, in which all States are equal partners.

6. The historic changes that have occurred in Europe, which have led to the fulfilment of a number of objectives set out in the Harmel Report, have significantly improved the overall security of the Allies. The monolithic, massive and potentially immediate threat which was the principal concern of the Alliance in its first forty years has disappeared. On the other hand, a great deal of uncertainty about the future and risks to the security of the Alliance remain.

7. The new Strategic Concept of 1991 lookeds forward to a security environment in which the positive changes of 1986-1991 referred to above have come would come to fruition. In particular, it assumed both the completion of the planned withdrawal of former Soviet military forces from Central and Eastern Europe and the full implementation by all parties of the 1990 CFE Treaty. These changes have occurred. In addition the dissolution of the USSR and the formation of the Commonwealth of Independent States, the introduction of the PfP and the conclusion of the several treaties controlling weapons of mass destruction have resulted in a further dramatic improvement in the security environment, unanticipated in 1991. These changes make possible further important changes by the Alliance. The implementation of the Strategic Concept will thus be kept under review in the light of the evolving security environment and in particular progress in fulfilling these assumptions. Further adaptation will be made to the extent necessary.


Security Challenges and risks

8. The security challenges and risks which NATO faces are different in nature from what they were in the past. The threat of a simultaneous, full-scale attack on all of NATO’s European fronts has effectively been removed and thus no longer provides the focus for Allied strategy. Particularly in Central Europe, The risk of a surprise attack no longer exists has been substantially reduced, and minimum Allied warning time has increased accordingly enormously. The reduction in nuclear alert status, in particular separation of warheads from missiles, will further increase stability in Europe.

9. In contrast with the predominant threat of the past, the risks to Allied security that remain are multi-faceted in nature and multi-directional, which makes them hard to predict and assess. NATO must be capable of responding to such risks if stability in Europe and the security of Alliance members are to be preserved. In 1991, the Alliance assessed that tThese risks could can arise in various ways. These assessed risks have been largely contained and reduced in the last seven years.

10. Risks to Allied security are less likely to result from calculated aggression against the territory of the Allies, but rather from the adverse consequences of instabilities that may arise from the serious economic, social and political difficulties, including ethnic rivalries and territorial disputes, which are faced by many countries in Central and Eastern Europe. The tensions which may result, as long as they remain limited, should not directly threaten the security and territorial integrity of members of the Alliance. They could, however, lead to crises inimical to European stability and even to armed conflicts, which could involve outside powers or spill over into NATO countries, having a direct effect on the security of the Alliance.

10a. Since 1991 new challenges have emerged in Europe resulting principally from the collapse of multi-ethnic states in Central and Eastern Europe. The wars in former Yugoslavia, Chechnya and Nagorno-Karabakh have demonstrated the fragility of the post-Cold War stability in parts of Europe. Nationalist forces are increasing and although they pose no military threat to Allied security, they nevertheless constitute a risk to European security. Other acute problems include the continuous violations of human rights, the lack of full democratisation, threats to independent media, electoral fraud, racism, chauvinism, xenophobia and anti-Semitism.

10b. The Alliance’s new role in peace-keeping operations on behalf of the international community has been demonstrated by the success of the NATO-led mission to former Yugoslavia. The Alliance is prepared to continue to make its resources available to meet such challenges where appropriate.

10c. However, the tragedy of the conflict in the former Yugoslavia leaves many lessons to be learned by all the nations and institutions of Europe. The slowness of the Alliance’s response, the conflicting views of member states and resulting uses and misuses of command, control and intelligence arrangements in pursuit of national interests, at a minimum, failed to live up to the Alliance’s mission in European security and resulted in unnecessary loss of life. On the ground in Bosnia, the Alliance has shown that, despite its considerable success, its member states have not made the political decision to assist in the apprehension of war criminals or the return of refugees.

10d. In Berlin in June 1996 the Alliance’s Ministers took a step forward in shaping new NATO missions such as the Implementation Force (IFOR) and Stabilisation Force (SFOR). The on-going adaptation of Alliance structures will give the Alliance the opportunity to carry out the full range of its missions more effectively, including future IFOR-type operations.

10e. However, the predominantly non-military nature of the new challenges in Europe means that there are profound limitations on what the Alliance can contribute. The OSCE, the EU, the UN and the Council of Europe have important roles to play in meeting the new security challenges in Europe and in most cases they are better equipped than the Alliance to do so. In particular, the Alliance takes note of the OSCE's stated objective of creating a common security space in Europe, free of dividing lines.

10f. The Alliance attaches great importance to the role of the OSCE as a primary instrument in preventive diplomacy, conflict prevention, post-conflict rehabilitation and regional co-operation. The Alliance supports the strengthening of the operational capabilities of the OSCE, including the development of its peacekeeping capabilities, as agreed at the OSCE Helsinki Summit in 1992. The Alliance re-affirms its willingness to consider requests by the OSCE to make Alliance military capabilities available for OSCE peacekeeping operations on a case-by-case basis.

10g. Nevertheless, the principle of Alliance and the existence of the potential for the effective deployment of armed force remain an essential element of European security. In these circumstances, the Alliance continues to update its purpose and to revise its concept of operations and its political and military structures.

11. In the particular case of the former Soviet Union, none of the conventional forces of the successor states pose a threat to Alliance members that cannot be more than adequately addressed by a reduced Integrated Military Structure. The Russian nuclear arsenal can only be compared to that of the United States and will be dramatically reduced under the START process. the risks and uncertainties that accompany the process of change cannot be seen in isolation from the fact that its conventional forces are significantly larger than those of any other European State and its large nuclear arsenal comparable only with that of the United States. These capabilities have to be taken into account Further major reductions in nuclear forces and conventional air and ground forces are essential if stability and security in Europe are to be preserved.

12. The Allies also wish to maintain peaceful and non-adversarial relations with the countries in the Southern Mediterranean and Middle East. The stability and peace of the countries on the southern periphery of Europe are important for the security of the Alliance, as the 1991 Gulf war has shown. The Alliance, through its dialogue initiated in December 1994, seeks to engage non-NATO Mediterranean countries in a mutually beneficial discussion which will strengthen security in the region. This is all the more so because of the build-up of military power and the proliferation of weapons technologies in the area, including weapons of mass destruction and ballistic missiles capable of reaching the territory of some member states of the Alliance.

12a. Despite the availability of these weapons technologies, the Alliance recognises that the threats posed by weapons of mass destruction and ballistic missiles cannot be mainly addressed by counterproliferation measures. The Alliance notes with satisfaction that there has been no significant increase in the quantity and quality of weaponry posing a threat to the Alliance since 1991, and affirms that in responding to the risks of proliferation, the principle objective of the Alliance is to prevent proliferation, or, if it occurs, to reverse it through diplomatic means. The Alliance will remain vigilant. The Alliance notes the successful contribution of political, diplomatic and economic measures implemented by the nations of the Alliance, through all European institutions, in ensuring that this risk has not materialised over the last seven years.

12b. The Alliance supports efforts that will address security issues along its southern flank, including the Mediterranean Forum, initiatives towards a Conference for Security and Co-operation in the Mediterranean, and bilateral and multilateral talks. The Alliance will consider ways and means to enhance its Mediterranean dialogue by including other countries from the region without duplicating similar initiatives by the OSCE and the EU.

12c. The Alliance has initiated a discussion in the Partnerships for Peace on a multi-lateral moratorium on transfers of weapons within the CFE Treaty-Limited Equipment (TLE) categories to all nations in the Middle East.

13. Any armed attack on the territory of the Allies, from whatever direction, would be covered by Articles 5 and 6 of the Washington Treaty, which places the right of self-defence within the authority of the UN Charter and the Security Council. However, Alliance security must also take account of the global context. Alliance security interests can be affected by other risks of a wider nature, including proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, disruption of the flow of vital resources and actions of terrorism and sabotage. Arrangements exist within the Alliance for consultation among the Allies under Article 4 of the Washington Treaty and, where appropriate, coordination of their efforts including their responses to such risks. However, the Alliance is convinced that other institutions must play the leading role in conflict prevention. Therefore, NATO actively supports collective security organisations, including the OSCE and the UN, in addressing these risks to European and global security. The Alliance has been supportive of this strategy in achieving the permanent NPT, the CTBT, the CWC and the ANWFZ.

14. From the point of view of Alliance strategy, these different risks have to be seen in different ways. In 1991, the Alliance based its strategy on the need to maintain the strategic balance in Europe. Even in a The non-adversarial and cooperative relationship which has been established with the Russian Federation Soviet military capability and build-up potential, including its nuclear dimension, still constitute the most significant factor of which the Alliance has to take account in maintaining the strategic balance in Europe. The end of East-West confrontation has, however, greatly reduced the risk of major conflict in Europe. requires the Alliance to abandon the need to maintain strategic balance in Europe. Russia’s conventional military capability and build-up potential has declined to the point where it cannot be considered a serious threat to the rest of Europe. On the other hand, there is a greater risk of different crises arising, which could develop quickly and would require a rapid response, but they will be likely to be of a lesser magnitude.


PART II - ALLLIANCE OBJECITVES
AND SECURITY FUNCTIONS

The purpose of the Alliance

15. Two conclusions can be drawn from this analysis of the strategic context. The first is that the new environment does not change the purpose or the security functions of the Alliance, but it does reduce substantially the resources that need to be devoted to fulfilling these purposes. rather underlines their enduring validity. The second, on the other hand, is that the changed environment offers new opportunities for the Alliance to frame its strategy within a broad approach to security by allowing the OSCE and other organisations to take leading roles in addressing the new non-military risks to security.

16. NATO’s essential purpose, set out in the Washington Treaty and reiterated in the London Declaration, is to safeguard the freedom and security of all its members by political and military means in accordance with the principles of the United Nations Charter. Based on common values of democracy, human rights and the rule of law, the Alliance has worked since its inception for the establishment of a just and lasting peaceful order in Europe. This Alliance objective remains unchanged. The Alliance intends to exercise its responsibilities with respect to its aforementioned values by inviting presentations and recommendations from the relevant bodies of the OSCE, the UN and the Council of Europe to the North Atlantic Council and Cooperation Council and the Atlantic Partnership Council. The Alliance welcomes the work conducted at the OSCE toward "A Common and Comprehensive Security Model for Europe for the Twenty-First Century" and is committed to assisting with concrete proposals towards concluding the OSCE’s work in this area. The Alliance intends to discuss the observation of OSCE-set standards for its values along with those it continues to set for military matters in order to play its full part in the prevention of the security risks from economic, social, political, ethnic and territorial factors.


The nature of the Alliance

17. NATO embodies the transatlantic politico-military link by which the security of North America is permanently tied to the security of Europe. Alliance members recognise that the transatlantic link should not rest solely on the military aspect, and recognise the OECD, the G7, the Atlantic Partnership Council and the OSCE as the appropriate avenues to strengthen transatlantic relations. The Alliance It is the practical expression of effective collective effort among its members in support of their common interests.

18. The fundamental operating principle of the Alliance is that of common commitment and mutual co-operation among sovereign states in support of the indivisibility of security for all of its members. Solidarity within the Alliance, given substance and effect by NATO’s daily work in both the political and military spheres, ensures that no single Ally is forced to rely upon its own national efforts alone in dealing with basic security challenges. Without depriving member states of their right and duty to assume their sovereign responsibilities in the field of defence, the Alliance enables them through collective effort to enhance their ability to realise their essential national security objectives. In the absence of a continuous process of arms control, membership in the Alliance would enable states to rely on far smaller forces for their defence than were they standing alone.

19. The resulting sense of equal security amongst the members of the Alliance, regardless of differences in their circumstances or in their national military capabilities relative to each other, contributes to overall stability within Europe and thus to the creation of conditions conducive to increased co-operation both among Alliance members and with others. It is on this basis that members of the Alliance, together with other nations, are able to pursue the development of cooperative structures of security for a Europe whole and free.


The fundametal tasks of the Alliance

20. The means by which the Alliance pursues its security policy to preserve the peace will continue to include the maintenance of a military capability sufficient to prevent war and to provide for effective defence; an overall capability to manage successfully crises affecting the security of its members; and the pursuit of political efforts favouring dialogue with other nations and the active search for a cooperative approach to European security, including in the field of arms control and disarmament.

21. To achieve its essential purpose, the Alliance performs the following fundamental security tasks:

I. To provide one of the indispensable foundations for a stable security environment in Europe, based on the growth of democratic institutions and commitment to the peaceful resolution of disputes, in which no country would be able to intimidate or coerce any European nation or to impose hegemony through the threat or use of force.

II. To serve, as provided for in Article 4 of the North Atlantic Treaty, as a transatlantic forum for Allied consultations on any issues that affect their vital interests, including possible developments posing risks for members’ security, and for appropriate coordination of their efforts in fields of common concern.

III. To deter and defend against any threat of aggression against the territory of any NATO member state.

IV. To preserve the strategic balance within Europe.

IV. To serve as a forum for co-operation between Allies and Partners.

22. Other European institutions such as the EUC, WEU and OCSCE also have roles to play, in accordance with their respective responsibilities and purposes, in these fields. The creation of a European identity in security and defence will underline the preparedness of the Europeans to take a greater share of responsibility for their security and will help to reinforce transatlantic solidarity. However the extent of its membership and of its capabilities gives NATO a particular position in that it can perform all four core security functions. NATO is the essential forum for consultation among the Allies and the forum for agreement on policies bearing on the security and defence commitments of its members under the Washington Treaty.

23. In defining the core functions of the Alliance in the terms set out above, member states confirm that the scope of the Alliance as well as their rights and obligations as provided for in the Washington Treaty remain unchanged.


PART III - A BROAD APPROACH TO SECURITY

Protecting peace in a new Europe

24. The Alliance has always sought to achieve its objectives of safeguarding the security and territorial integrity of its members, and establishing a just and lasting peaceful order in Europe, through both political and military means. This comprehensive approach remains the basis of the Alliance’s security policy.

25. But what is new is that, with the radical changes in the security situation, the opportunities for achieving Alliance objectives through political means are greater than ever before. It is now possible to draw all the consequences from the fact that security and stability have political, economic, social, and environmental elements as well as the indispensable defence dimension. Managing the diversity of challenges facing the Alliance requires a broad approach to security. This is reflected in three mutually reinforcing elements of Allied security policy; dialogue, co-operation, and the maintenance of a collective defence capability.

26. The Alliance’s active pursuit of dialogue and co-operation, underpinned by its commitment to an effective collective defence capability, seeks to reduce the risks of conflict arising out of misunderstanding or design; to build increased mutual understanding and confidence among all European states; to help manage crises affecting the security of the Allies; and to expand the opportunities for a genuine partnership among all European countries in dealing with common security problems.

27. In this regard, the Alliance’s arms control and disarmament policy contributes both to dialogue and to co-operation with other nations, and thus will continue to play a major role in the achievement of the Alliance’s security objectives. The Allies seek, through arms control and disarmament, to enhance security and stability at the lowest possible level of forces consistent with the requirements of defence. Thus, the Alliance will continue to ensure that defence and arms control and disarmament objectives remain in harmony.

28. In fulfilling its fundamental objectives and core security functions, the Alliance will continue to respect the legitimate security interests of others, and seek the peaceful resolution of disputes as set forth in the Charter of the United Nations. The Alliance will promote peaceful and friendly international relations and support democratic institutions. In this respect, it recognises the valuable contribution being made by other organizations such as the European Union Community and the OSCE, CSCE, and that the roles of these institutions and of the Alliance are complementary.


Dialogue

29. The new situation in Europe has multiplied the opportunities for dialogue on the part of the Alliance with the Soviet Union Russian Federation and the other countries of Central and Eastern Europe. The Alliance has established regular diplomatic liaison and military contacts with the countries of Central and Eastern Europe as provided for in the London Declaration. Since 1991 the Alliance will has further promoted dialogue through the North Atlantic Cooperation Council, the Partnership for Peace and the Atlantic Partnership Council. regular diplomatic liaison, including an intensified exchange of views and information on security policy issues. Through such means the Allies, individually and collectively, will seek to make full use of the unprecedented opportunities afforded by the growth of freedom and democracy throughout Europe and encourage greater mutual understanding of respective security concerns, to increase transparency and predictability in security affairs, and thus to reinforce stability. The military can help to overcome the divisions of the past, not least through intensified military contacts and greater military transparency. The Alliance’s pursuit of dialogue will provide a foundation for greater co-operation throughout Europe and the ability to resolve differences and conflicts by peaceful means.


Cooperation

30. The Allies are also committed to pursue co-operation with all states in Europe on the basis of the principles set out in the Charter of Paris for a New Europe. The Partnership for Peace programme, the Atlantic Partnership Council, the bilateral treaties with the Russian Federation and Ukraine, and the proposed coordinating structures with the OSCE, the EU and the Council of Europe ensure that the Alliance is engaging in systematic dialogue and developing concrete forms and mechanisms of co-operation with all European States. Allied forces have successfully co-operated with forces from Partner countries in former Yugoslavia ensuring the implementation of the provisions of the Dayton Agreement. Military exercises and seminars involving Partner countries have now become a permanent feature of European security co-operation. They will seek to develop broader and productive patterns of bilateral and multilateral co-operation in all relevant fields of European security, with the aim, inter alia, of preventing crises or, should they arise, ensuring their effective management. Such partnership between the members of the Alliance and other nations in dealing with specific problems will be an essential factor in moving beyond past divisions towards one Europe whole and free. This policy of co-operation is the expression of the inseparability of security among European states. It is built upon a common recognition among Alliance members that the persistence of new political, economic or social divisions across the continent could lead to future instability, and such divisions must thus be diminished.

30a. The Alliance will intensify its efforts to enhance co-operation between all European states through the strengthening of PfP and the Atlantic Partnership Council. At the Lisbon Ministerial Meeting in May 1997, the Alliance decided to develop PFP on the basis of transparency by making the Partnership more operational, by strengthening its political consultation element, taking full account of the respective activities of the OSCE, the EU and the WEU, and involving Partners more in operations planning and Partnership decision-making.

30b. In line with the OSCE’s declared goal of establishing a web of interlocking and mutually re-enforcing institutions in Europe and noting that adverse consequences may arise from duplication of functions, the Alliance will intensify efforts to strengthen dialogue and co-operation between all European institutions. In particular, the Alliance will structurally link the Atlantic Partnership Council to the OSCE, the EU and the Council of Europe. Such structural linkage will benefit all relevant organisations through the sharing of expertise and resources, and improve the capability of these organisations for rapid, coordinated and effective response to emerging causes of instability in Europe. Areas of co-operation could include: conflict prevention; peacekeeping; civil-military relations and the democratic control of the armed forces; and education programmes on human rights including minority rights.


Collective Defence

31. The political approach to security will thus has become increasingly important the primary focus of the Alliance’s security policy. Nonetheless, the military dimension remains essential. The maintenance of an adequate military capability and clear preparedness to act collectively in the common defence remain central essential to the Alliance’s security objectives. Such a capability, together with political solidarity, is required in order to prevent any attempt at coercion or intimidation, and to guarantee that military aggression directed against the Alliance, however unlikely this may be, can never be perceived as an option with any prospect of success. It is equally indispensable so that dialogue and co-operation can be undertaken with confidence and achieve their desired results.


Management of crises and conflict prevention

32. In the new political and strategic environment in Europe, the success of the Alliance’s policy of preserving peace and preventing war depends even more than in the past on the effectiveness of preventive diplomacy and successful management of crises affecting the security of its members. The Alliance is one of the instruments available for conflict prevention and resolution. The OSCE and the EU have developed mechanisms which are more suited to tackling risks to European security. At their meeting in Lisbon in December 1996, Heads of State and Government from OSCE participating states reaffirmed the Organisation’s key role in fostering security and stability, and decided to further enhance its efficiency as a primary instrument for early warning, conflict prevention, crisis management and post-conflict rehabilitation capabilities. In 1992, the Alliance offered to support OSCE peacekeeping activities, including making available Alliance resources on a case by case basis. The Alliance reaffirms its willingness to contribute its resources and will jointly explore and develop with the OSCE the necessary modalities. Any major aggression in Europe is much more unlikely and would be preceded by significant warning time. Though on a much smaller scale, the range and variety of other potential risks facing the Alliance Europe are less predictable than before.

33. In these new circumstances there are increased opportunities for the successful resolution of crises at an early stage. The OSCE and the European Union are the main instruments for the prevention of crises in Europe. The Alliance will lend its assistance by providing expertise and resources on a case-by-case basis. The success of Alliance policy will require a coherent approach determined by the Alliance’s political authorities choosing and co-ordinating appropriate crisis management measures, in consultation with the OSCE and the EU, as required from a range of political and other measures, including those in the military field. Close control by the political authorities of the Alliance will be applied from the outset and at all stages. Appropriate consultation and decision making procedures are essential to this end.

34. The potential of dialogue and co-operation within all of Europe must be fully developed in order to help to defuse crises and to prevent conflicts since the Allies’ security is inseparably linked to that of all other states in Europe. To this end, the Allies will support the role of the OSCE CSCE process and its institutions. The OSCE can develop into a primary instrument for conflict prevention and resolution in Europe. Other bodies including the European Union, Community, Western European Union and United Nations may will also have an important role to play.


PART IV - GUIDELINES FOR DEFENCE

Principles of Alliance strategy

35. The diversity of challenges now facing the Alliance Europe thus requires a broad approach to security. The transformed political and strategic environment enables the Alliance to make further changes to a number of important features of its military strategy and to set out new guidelines, while reaffirming proven fundamental principles. At the London Summit, it was therefore agreed to prepare a new military strategy and a revised force posture responding to the changed circumstances.

36. Alliance strategy will continue to reflect a number of fundamental principles. The Alliance is purely defensive in purpose: none of its weapons will ever be used except in self-defence, or in peacekeeeping operations on behalf of the international community, and it does not consider itself to be anyone’s adversary. In the context of the on-going CFE modernisation talks, the Alliance will substantially reduce its armed forces to reflect the significant improvement in European security. Furthermore the Alliance will never use its weapons first. The Allies will maintain military strength capability adequate to convince any potential aggressor that the use of force against the territory of one of the Allies would meet collective and effective action by all of them and that the risks involved in initiating conflict would outweigh any foreseeable gains. The forces of the Allies must therefore be able to defend Alliance frontiers, to stop an aggressor’s advance as far forward as possible, to maintain or restore the territorial integrity of Allied nations and to terminate war rapidly by making an aggressor reconsider his decision, cease his attack and withdraw. The role of the Alliance’s military forces is to assure the territorial integrity and political independence of its member states, and thus contribute to peace and stability in Europe.

37. The security of all Allies is indivisible: an attack on one is an attack on all. Alliance solidarity and strategic unity are accordingly crucial prerequisites for collective security. The achievement of the Alliance’s objectives depends critically on the equitable sharing of roles, risks and responsibilities, as well as the benefits, of common defence. The presence of North American US conventional and US nuclear forces in Europe remains vital important to the security of Europe, which is inseparably linked to that of North America. As the process of developing a European security identity and defence role progresses, and is reflected in the strengthening of the European pillar within the Alliance, the European members of the Alliance will assume a greater degree of the responsibility for the defence of Europe.

38. The collective nature of Alliance defence is embodied in practical arrangements that enable the Allies to enjoy the crucial political, military and resource advantages of collective defence, and prevent the re-nationalisation of defence policies, without depriving the Allies of their sovereignty. These arrangements are based on an integrated military structure as well as on co-operation and co-ordination agreements. Key features include collective force planning; common operational planning; multinational formations; the stationing of forces outside home territory, where appropriate on a mutual basis; crisis management and reinforcement arrangements; procedures for consultation; common standards and procedures for equipment, training and logistics; joint and combined exercises; and infrastructure, armaments and logistics co-operation. To reflect the new political context in Europe and to reaffirm the indivisible nature of security between the members of the Alliance and other European States, the Alliance will increasingly extend its practical arrangements to all States participating in the Partnership for Peace and the Atlantic Partnership Council.

39. To protect peace and to prevent war or any kind of coercion, the Alliance will maintain for the foreseeable future an appropriate mix of nuclear and conventional forces based in Europe and kept up to date where necessary, although at a significantly reduced level significantly reduced conventional forces. Taking note of the North Atlantic Council statement of March 1997, the Alliance reiterates that in the current and foreseeable security environment, there is no need for permanent stationing of substantial combat forces in the territory of new member States. Both elements are essential to Alliance security and cannot substitute one for the other. Conventional forces contribute to war prevention by ensuring that no potential aggressor could contemplate a quick or easy victory, or territorial gains, by conventional means. Taking into account the diversity of risks with which the Alliance could be faced, it must maintain the forces necessary to provide a wide range of conventional response options. But the Alliance’s conventional forces alone cannot ensure the prevention of war. The United Nations Security Council has identified the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction as a threat to the peace. So too is the existence of these weapons. Nuclear weapons make an unquantifiable unique contribution in rendering the risks of any aggression incalculable and unacceptable. They also carry with them the catastrophic consequences of unpredictable and irrational action through a combination of human and technical fallibility naturally increased in crisis. The Alliance attaches the highest priority to securing their global elimination in accordance with the legal obligations of member states and has accordingly created the High Level Task Force on Arms Control and Disarmament which will coordinate Alliance policy toward this end. The Alliance agrees that a legally-binding instrument that it will never use nuclear weapons against non-nuclear-weapon states parties to the NPT would make an important contribution to international security. The Alliance affirms that it will only use nuclear weapons in response to a nuclear attack. In the immediate future, the Alliance looks forward to verifiable, reciprocal unilateral steps by the United States, the Russian Federation, the UK and France to eliminate all remaining sub-strategic nuclear weapons. Thus, they remain essential to preserve peace.

39a. The High Level Task Force will consist of two working groups. The first group will deal with weapons of mass destruction and the second group will deal with other threats to stability, such as the transfer of military technologies, arms sales, and non-nuclear systems that are potentially destabilising.


The Alliance's new force posture

40. At the London Summit, the Allies concerned agreed to move away, where appropriate, from the concept of forward defence towards a reduced forward presence, and to modify the principle of flexible response to reflect a reduced reliance on nuclear weapons. The changes stemming from the new strategic environment and the altered risks now facing the Alliance Europe enable significant further modifications to be made in the missions of the Allies’ military forces and in their posture.


The Missions of Alliance Military Forces

41. The 1991 New Strategic Concept affirmed that the Alliance’s military forces The primary role of Alliance military forces, is to guarantee the security and territorial integrity of member states., remains unchanged. This role remains important, but this role must it does not take account of the new strategic environment, in which a single massive and global threat does not exist has given way to diverse and multi-directional risks. The Alliance will concentrate instead on developing its ability to carry out new roles and missions relating to conflict prevention and crisis management. The NATO-led mission in former Yugoslavia has demonstrated that the Allied military forces can become an important instrument for peace-enforcement, conflict resolution and post-conflict rehabilitation in Europe. The Alliance will utilise military forces from Partner countries by further developing the Combined Joint Task Forces. Alliance forces have different functions to perform in peace, crisis and war.

42. In peace, the role of Allied military forces is to guard against risks to the security of Alliance members; to contribute towards the maintenance of stability and balance in Europe; and to ensure that peace is preserved. They can contribute to dialogue and co-operation throughout Europe by their participation in confidence-building activities, including those which enhance transparency and improve communication; as well as in verification of arms control agreements. Through the Partnership for Peace programme, Allied military forces have made a significant contribution towards improving confidence and understanding between Allied and non-Allied military forces. The Alliance is committed to enhance the PfP programme and its military forces will continue to support its activities. Allies could, further, be called upon to contribute to global stability and peace by providing forces for United Nations and OSCE missions.

43. In the event of crises which might lead to a military threat to the security of Alliance members, the Alliance’s military forces can complement and reinforce political actions within a broad approach to security, and thereby contribute to the management of such crises and their peaceful resolution. This requires that these forces have a capability for measured and timely responses in such circumstances; the capability to deter action against any Ally and, in the event that aggression takes place, to respond to and repel it as well as to reestablish the territorial integrity of member states.

44. While in the new security environment a general war in Europe has become highly unlikely, it cannot finally be ruled out. The Alliance’s military forces, which have as their fundamental mission to protect peace, have to provide the essential insurance against potential risks at the minimum level necessary to prevent war of any kind, and, should aggression occur, to restore peace. Hence the need for the capabilities and the appropriate mix of forces already described.


Guidelines for the Alliance's Force Posture

45. To implement its security objectives and strategic principles in the new environment, the organization of the Allies’ forces must be adapted to provide capabilities that can contribute to protecting peace, managing crises that affect the security of Alliance members, and preventing war, while retaining at all times the means to defend, if necessary, all Allied territory and to restore peace. The posture of Allies’ forces will conform to the guidelines developed in the following paragraphs.

46. The size, readiness, availability and deployment of the Alliance’s military forces will continue to reflect its strictly defensive nature and will be adapted accordingly to the new strategic environment including arms control agreements. The Alliance welcomes the integration of French and Spanish armed forces into the Allied military structures. This, together with introduction of the armed forces of new Alliance members X, Y and Z, represents a significant enhancement of Allied military capability which will be balanced by appropriate reductions to reflect the improved security situation in Europe. This means in particular:

a. that the overall size of the Allies’ forces, and in many cases their readiness, will be significantly reduced, following the CFE modernisation talks. The Alliance is prepared to take steps to this effect and will abide by this commitment irrespective of the number of new members that may join the Alliance in the future.

b. that the maintenance of a comprehensive in-place linear defensive posture in the central region will no longer be required. T the peacetime geographical distribution of forces will ensure a sufficient military presence throughout the territory of the Alliance. including where necessary forward deployment of appropriate forces. Major forward deployment in the northern, southern and central regions is no longer required. Regional considerations and, in particular, geostrategic differences within the Alliance will have to be taken into account, including the shorter warning times to which the northern and southern regions will be subject compared with the central region and, in the southern region, the potential for instability and the military capabilities in the adjacent areas.

47. To ensure that at this reduced level the Allies’ forces can play an effective role both in managing crises and in countering aggression against any Ally, they will require enhanced flexibility and mobility and an assured capability for augmentation when necessary. For these reasons:

a. Available forces will include, in a limited but militarily significant proportion, ground, air and sea immediate and rapid reaction elements able to respond to a wide range of eventualities, many of which are unforeseeable. They will be of sufficient quality, quantity and readiness to deter a limited attack and, if required, to defend the territory of the Allies against attacks, particularly those launched without long warning time.

b. The forces of the Allies will be structured so as to permit their military capability to be built up when necessary. This ability to build up by reinforcement, by mobilising reserves, or by reconstituting forces, must be in proportion to potential threats to Alliance security, including the possibility - albeit unlikely, but one that prudence dictates should not be ruled out - of a major conflict. Consequently, capabilities for timely reinforcement and resupply both within Europe and from North America will be of critical importance.

c. Appropriate force structures and procedures, including those that would provide an ability to build up, deploy and draw down forces quickly and discriminately, will be developed to permit measured, flexible and timely responses in order to reduce and defuse tensions. These arrangements must be exercised regularly in peacetime.

d. In the event of use of forces, including the deployment of reaction and other available reinforcing forces as an instrument of crisis management, the Alliance’s political authorities will, as before, exercise close control over their employment at all stages. Existing procedures will be reviewed in the light of the new missions and posture of Alliance forces.


Characteristics of Conventional Forces

48. It is essential that the Allies’ military forces have a credible ability to fulfil their functions in peace, crisis and war in a way appropriate to the new security environment. This will be reflected in force and equipment levels; readiness and availability; training and exercises; deployment and employment options; and force build-up capabilities, all of which will be adjusted accordingly. The conventional forces of the Allies will include, in addition to immediate and rapid reaction forces, main defence forces, which will provide the bulk of forces needed to ensure the Alliance’s territorial integrity and the unimpeded use of their lines of communication; and augmentation forces, which will provide a means of reinforcing existing forces in a particular region. Main defence and augmentation forces will comprise both active and mobilisable elements. Major reductions will be implemented in main defence forces.

49. Ground, maritime and air forces will have to co-operate closely and combine and assist each other in operations aimed at achieving agreed objectives. These forces will consist of the following:

a. Ground forces, which are essential to hold or regain territory. The majority will normally be at lower states of readiness and, overall, there will be a greater reliance on mobilization and reserves. All categories of ground forces will require demonstrable combat effectiveness together with an appropriately enhanced capability for flexible deployment.

b. Maritime forces, which because of their inherent mobility, flexibility and endurance, make an important contribution to the Alliance’s crisis response options. Their essential missions are to ensure sea control in order to safeguard the Allies’ sea lines of communication, to support land and amphibious operations, and to protect the deployment of the Alliance’s sea-based nuclear deterrent.

c. Air forces, whose ability to fulfil their fundamental roles in both independent air and combined operations - counter-air, air interdiction and offensive air support - as well as to contribute to surveillance, reconnaissance and electronic warfare operations, is essential to the overall effectiveness of the Allies’ military forces. Their role in supporting operations, on land and at sea, will require appropriate long-distance airlift and air refuelling capabilities. Air defence forces, including modern air command and control systems, are required to ensure a secure air defence environment.

50. In light of the potential risks it poses, the proliferation of ballistic missiles and weapons of mass destruction should be given special consideration. Solution of this problem will require complementary approaches including, for example, export control, and missile defences. non-proliferation, arms control and disarmament measures.

51. Alliance strategy is not dependent on a chemical warfare capability. The Allies remain committed to the earliest possible achievement of a global, comprehensive, and effectively verifiable ban on all chemical weapons. But, even after implementation of a global ban, precautions of a purely defensive nature will need to be maintained. welcome the entry into force of the Chemical Weapons Convention.

52. In the new security environment and given the reduced overall force levels in future, the ability to work closely together, which will facilitate the cost effective use of Alliance resources, will be particularly important for the achievement of the missions of the Allies’ forces. The Alliance’s collective defence arrangements in which, for those concerned, the integrated military structure, including multinational forces, plays the key role, will be essential in this regard. Integrated and multinational European structures, as they are further developed in the context of an emerging European Defence Identity, will also increasingly have a similarly important role to play in enhancing the Allies’ ability to work together in the common defence. Allies’ efforts to achieve maximum co-operation will be based on the common guidelines for defence defined above. Practical arrangements will be developed to ensure the necessary mutual transparency and complementarity between the European security and defence identity and the Alliance.

52a. Agreement on the Combined Joint Task Force concept is an important development which will enhance the ability of the Alliance to perform its functions. By permitting a more flexible and mobile deployment of forces, including for new missions, this concept will facilitate the mounting of NATO contingency operations, the use of separable but not separate military capabilities in operations led by the OSCE and the WEU, and the participation of nations outside the Alliance in operations such as IFOR.

52b. The Alliance welcomes the recommendations of the Military Committee’s Long-Term Study on the adaptation of the Allied military command structure.

53. In order to be able to respond flexibly to a wide range of possible contingencies, the Allies concerned will require effective surveillance and intelligence, flexible command and control, mobility within and between regions, and appropriate logistics capabilities, including transport capacities. Logistic stocks must be sufficient to sustain all types of forces in order to permit effective defence until resupply is available. The capability of the Allies concerned to build-up larger, adequately equipped and trained forces, in a timely manner and to a level appropriate to any risk to Alliance security, will also make an essential contribution to crisis management and defence. This capability will include the ability to reinforce any area at risk within the territory of the Allies and to establish a multinational presence when and where this is needed. Elements of all three force categories will be capable of being employed flexibly as part of both intra-European and transatlantic reinforcement. Proper use of these capabilities will require control of the necessary lines of communication as well as appropriate support and exercise arrangements. Civil resources will be of increasing relevance in this context.

54. For the Allies concerned, c Collective defence arrangements will rely increasingly on multinational forces, complementing national commitments to NATO. Multinational forces demonstrate the Alliance’s resolve to maintain a credible collective defence; enhance Alliance cohesion; reinforce the transatlantic partnership and strengthen the European pillar. Multinational forces, and in particular reaction forces, reinforce solidarity. They can also provide a way of deploying more capable formations than might be available purely nationally, thus helping to make more efficient use of scarce defence resources. This may include a highly integrated, multinational approach to specific tasks and functions.


Characteristics of Nuclear Forces

55. The fundamental purpose of the nuclear forces of the Allies is political: to preserve peace and prevent coercion and any kind of war. They will continue to fulfil an essential role by ensuring uncertainty in the mind of any aggressor about the nature of the Allies’ response to military aggression. They demonstrate that aggression of any kind is not a rational option. However, nuclear deterrence is not an infallible system and is particularly unsuited to the real world environment of irrational actors and simple human and technical errors. The supreme guarantee of the security of the Allies from nuclear attack will be the elimination of nuclear weapons. is provided by the strategic nuclear forces of the Alliance, particularly those of the United States; the independent nuclear forces of the United Kingdom and France, which have a deterrent role of their own, contribute to the overall deterrence and security of the Allies.

56. A credible Alliance nuclear posture and the demonstration of Alliance solidarity and common commitment to war prevention continue no longer to requires widespread participation by European Allies involved in collective defence planning in nuclear roles, in peacetime basing of nuclear forces on their territory and in command, control and consultation arrangements. These military structures, created and implemented after 1967, were not needed in the first twenty years of the Alliance and are even less useful in the new security environment. Nuclear forces based in Europe and committed to NATO provide an essential political and military link between the European and the North American members of the Alliance. The Alliance will therefore maintain adequate nuclear forces in Europe. These forces need to have the necessary characteristics and appropriate flexibility and survivability, to be perceived as a credible and effective element of the Allies’ strategy in preventing war. They will be maintained at the minimum level sufficient to preserve peace and stability.

57. The Allies concerned consider that, with the radical changes in the security situation, including conventional force levels in Europe maintained in relative balance and increased reaction times, NATO’s ability to defuse a crisis through diplomatic and other means or, should it be necessary, to mount a successful conventional defence will has significantly improve. The circumstances in which any use of nuclear weapons might have to be contemplated by them are therefore even more remote. They can therefore eliminate their remaining significantly reduce their sub-strategic nuclear forces as part of a verifiable, irreversible and reciprocal process. The Alliance looks forward to steps being taken unilaterally by the United States, the Russian Federation, the UK and France to eliminate all remaining sub-strategic nuclear weapons. They will maintain adequate sub-strategic forces based in Europe which will provide an essential link with strategic nuclear forces, reinforcing the trans-Atlantic link. These will consist solely of dual capable aircraft which could, if necessary, be supplemented by offshore systems. Sub-strategic nuclear weapons will, however, not be deployed in normal circumstances on surface vessels and attack submarines. There is no requirement for nuclear artillery or ground-launched short-range nuclear missiles and they will be eliminated.


PART V - CONCLUSION

58. This Strategic Concept reaffirms the defensive nature of the Alliance and the resolve of its members to safeguard their security, sovereignty and territorial integrity. The Alliance’s security policy is based on dialogue; co-operation; and effective collective defence as mutually reinforcing instruments for preserving the peace. Making full use of the new opportunities available, the Alliance will maintain security at the lowest possible level of forces consistent with the requirements of defence. In this way, the Alliance is making an essential contribution to promoting a lasting peaceful order.

59. The Allies will continue to pursue vigorously further progress in arms control and confidence-building measures with the objective of enhancing security and stability. They will also play an active part in promoting dialogue and co-operation between states on the basis of the principles enunciated in the Paris Charter.

60. NATO’s strategy will retain the flexibility to reflect further developments in the politico-military environment, including progress in the moves towards a European security identity, and in any changes in the risks to Alliance security. For the Allies concerned, the Strategic Concept will form the basis for the further development of the Alliance’s defence policy, its operational concepts, its conventional and nuclear force posture and its collective defence planning arrangements.

1 This is an initiative suggested by a number of non-governmental individuals and former government and military officials.

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