The decision in 1995 to extend
indefinitely the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) was taken
in an atmosphere of hopes and expectations that the
Treaty would be invigorated in many ways: accelerated
efforts towards nuclear disarmament, a strengthened
verification regime and expanded peaceful nuclear
co-operation. This Conference is to review achievements
since that time. My report to you today will focus on the
activities of the IAEA relevant to the implementation of
the Treaty.
VERIFICATION
Let me start with verification
issues. Successive NPT Conferences have rightly expressed
the conviction that IAEA safeguards play a key role in
the nuclear non-proliferation regime. This is because
States Party to the Treaty rely on Agency safeguards for
assurance of compliance by other Parties with their
nonproliferation obligations and for demonstration of
their own compliance.
A number of the Principles and
Objectives agreed in 1995 have a direct and significant
relevance to IAEA safeguards. It would be appropriate
therefore to review the status of these verification
related objectives and principles.
The Agency has continued, as
reaffirmed by the 1995 Conference to function as the
competent authority to verify and give assurance about
compliance with States' safeguards obligations under
Article III.1 of the Treaty. And the Agency has continued
to provide assurance that no nuclear material which has
been declared and placed under safeguards has been
diverted for any explosive purposes or for purposes
unknown.
On the conclusion of safeguards
agreements, I am pleased to report that a further 28
Treaty Parties have brought comprehensive safeguards
agreements into force since the beginning of 1995,
raising the overall total to 128. Unfortunately, however,
a large number of States Parties continue to be in
non-compliance with this Treaty obligation. The Agency is
making every effort to encourage the remaining 54 Parties
to conclude the required agreements. I therefore urge all
states concerned to conclude
and bring into force the required safeguards agreements
without delay.
With regard to the strengthening of
the effectiveness of safeguards and the implementation of
the decisions adopted by the Board of Governors in this
regard remarkable progress has been achieved. As we are
aware, the discovery of Iraq's clandestine nuclear
weapons programme was both a setback and a watershed for
the safeguards system. It jolted the international
community into urgently considering ways and means to
strengthen the safeguards system, in particular to equip
it with the ability to provide assurance, not only about
the non-diversion of nuclear material declared by the
State, the focus of the "traditional" system,
but also about the absence of undeclared nuclear material
ant activities.
Some of the strengthening measures
could be anchored to the Agency's existing authority
under the present safeguards agreements. Other important
measures, however, required additional legal authority,
and were the subject of a year long deliberation by the
Agency's Board of Governors. The result was the adoption
in May 1997 of a "Model Protocol Additional to
Safeguards Agreements". As stated in the Foreword to
the Model Protocol, it is to be the standard for
individual Additional Protocols to be concluded with
States with comprehensive safeguards agreements, in other
words all non-nuclear-weapon States party to the NPT. The
Foreword also requests all other States to conclude
protocols to contribute to the effectiveness and
efficiency of the system and to achieve universality.
This new Protocol gives the Agency
the means to provide credible and comprehensive
assurances of compliance with non-proliferation
commitments. To this end, the Additional Protocol
empowers the Agency to seek a broad range of information
about all aspects of a State's nuclear and nuclear
related activities. It also provides broader right of
access for Agency inspectors to nuclear and nuclear
related facilities and locations and contains new
administrative arrangements to improve the effectiveness
and efficiency of safeguards.
Under NPT safeguards agreements,
the Agency has the right and the obligation to ensure, so
far as it is able, that all nuclear material in all
peaceful nuclear activities
of the State is subject to safeguards, and that
safeguards are in fact applied to such material. The
Agency's obligation is thus not limited to nuclear
material actually declared by a State; it also extends to
that which is required to be declared. It is thus only in
respect of States which have both a comprehensive
safeguards agreement and an Additional Protocol in force
that the Agency will be able to implement fully the
safeguards required by Article III of the Treaty, and to
provide assurance not only of the non-diversion of
declared nuclear material, but also of the absence of
undeclared nuclear material and activities. The new Model
Additional Protocol is therefore fundamental to effective
verification by the Agency of compliance with
non-proliferation obligations provided for in the NPT.
Against this background, it is
disappointing that progress in signing and bringing
Additional Protocols into force has been slow. With
almost three years now having passed since the adoption
of the Model Protocol, only 44 non-nuclearweapon States
Parties to the NPT have concluded Additional Protocols
and only 9 such Additional Protocols have entered into
force. Of those Treaty Parties which have yet to conclude
Additional Protocols' 26 have nuclear facilities under
safeguards. I appeal to all non-nuclear-weapon States
Party to the NPT to conclude Additional Protocols at the
earliest possible date to enable the Agency to discharge
fully its responsibilities under Article III of the
Treaty.
The Secretariat continues to work
to develop modalities for the implementation of the Model
Additional Protocol and to help States in the process. A
priority area of work is to "integrate"
existing safeguards activities with the new strengthening
measures. The aim is to develop the optimal combination
of safeguards measures for a State as a whole. This
combination will enable the Agency to meet its safeguards
objectives with maximum effectiveness and cost
efficiency.
We expect the technical framework
for the implementation of integrated safeguards to be
completed by the end of 2001. Much preparatory work has
been done already, but the Secretariat has to move
forward with prudence as we gain experience with the new
measures under the Model Additional Protocol. In matters
of verification, efficiency should always be pursued, but
never at the cost of effectiveness.
The 1995 "Principles and
Objectives" stressed that fissile material
transferred from military use to peaceful nuclear
activities should, as soon as practicable, be placed
under IAEA safeguards. Since 1996, the Agency has been
engaged in consultations with the Russian Federation and
the USA regarding Agency verification of weapon origin
and other fissile material to be submitted by these two
States. These consultations have been examining the
legal, technical and financial aspects associated with
the verification of such material. I am pleased to say
that significant progress has been made both on the text
of the Model Verification Agreement, and on the
associated technical systems and equipment which will be
employed.
Of direct relevance to effective
verification are efforts to protect nuclear and
radioactive material against theft and other misuses, and
to prevent, detect and respond to illicit trafficking in
these materials. These are the objectives of the Agency's
programme for the security of nuclear and radioactive
material established in 1995. Elements of the programme
include information exchange, the provision of standards
and guides, and measures to help States control and
protect nuclear material and radioactive sources. On
physical protection, a 1998 review by the IAEA resulted
in strengthened guidelines on protecting nuclear
facilities and nuclear material in transport, use and
storage against sabotage.
The 1995 "Principles and
Objectives" reiterated the call of successive Review
Conferences that "every effort should be made to
ensure that the IAEA has the financial and human
resources necessary", inter alia, to meet its
safeguards responsibilities effectively. But despite
these calls, our safeguards mandate continues
increasingly to be underfunded. Despite the increase in
the amount of nuclear material under safeguards and the
complexity of nuclear facilities to be safeguarded, the
Agency's budget for safeguards has been almost frozen for
over a decade as a result of a policy of zero real
growth. Thus, while our regular budget for safeguards has
been at a level of roughly $82 million per year for the
last several years, our expenditure has averaged about
$95 million per year. This has inevitably led to
increasing reliance on extrabudgetary funding. In view of
the uncertainties surrounding the receipt, timing and
amount of extrabudgetary resources, reliance on such
resources inhibits proper planning and makes it difficult
for the Agency to fulfil its mandate in the most
effective and efficient way.
No review of the Agency's
verification activities would be complete without
reference to the two cases of non-compliance with the
respective NPT safeguards agreements, namely Iraq and the
Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK). With regard
to Iraq, the Agency has not been in a position since
December 1998 to implement its mandate under UN Security
Council Resolution 687 and related resolutions. And
although the Agency was able recently to inspect the
presence of the nuclear material subject to safeguards
which is still in Iraq, this inspection had a limited
objective and was in no way a substitute for our required
activities under the relevant Security council
resolutions. At present therefore, the Agency cannot
provide any assurance that Iraq is in compliance with its
obligations under those resolutions.
With regard to the
DPRK, there is
regrettably little to report since the 1995 NPT
Conference. The Agency remains unable to verify the
correctness and completeness of the DPRK's initial
declaration of its nuclear material subject to safeguards
and cannot, therefore, provide any assurance about
non-diversion. The DPRK remains in non-compliance with
its safeguards agreement, which remains valid and in
force. The DPRK, however, continues to accept IAEA
activities solely in the context of the "Agreed
Framework" which it concluded in October 1994 with
the United States of America. As requested by the
Security Council, the Agency is monitoring a
"freeze" of the DPRK's graphite moderated
reactors and related facilities under that agreement. The
degree of co-operation we receive from the DPRK continues
to be limited and is linked by the DPRK to its perception
of progress in implementing the Agreed Framework.
PEACEFUL NUCLEAR CO-OPERATION
Let me turn now to the question of
the peaceful applications of nuclear technology. States
Party to the NPT have committed themselves to promote
peaceful nuclear co-operation with each other, with
special regard for the needs of developing State Parties.
Among international organizations, the IAEA has been
recognized by previous Review Conferences as the
principal vehicle for the transfer of technology foreseen
in Article IV of the Treaty.
The major goal of the Agency's
technical co-operation activities has been to bring about
a tangible socioeconomic impact in the recipient States
by directly addressing their major sustainable
development priorities in a cost effective manner. The
technology pillar of the Agency's
programmecomprising power and non-power
applications, their safety related activities and the
transfer of these technologies remains crucial to
its Member States, particularly to developing countries.
Since the last Review Conference,
the Agency has continued to strengthen its technical
co-operation programme and activities. At the end of 1997
a new Technical Co-operation Strategy was adopted, with
emphasis on quality projects that are closely associated
with national development priorities, and are need
driven.
Technical Co-operation among
Developing Countries (TCDC) continues to be a key
strategy because it promotes the sustainability of
project activities by building self-reliance and mutual
interest among Member States.
The largest proportion of Agency
assistance, relates to non-power applications. For
instance, in 1999 about 85% of the Agency's technical
co-operation programme corresponded to projects in the
areas of human health, food and agriculture, water
resources management, environmental monitoring,
industrial uses and related radiation protection and
safety.
Training is an important aspect of
the Agency's technical co-operation activities. In 1999,
the Agency organized over 200 training courses, workshops
and seminars in which more than 2300 scientists from
developing Member States participated. Over 1200
individuals received training under the Agency's
fellowship and scientific visitor programme. Moreover, we
delivered over $30 million worth of equipment and
supplies, and fielded over 1400 international experts.
All this represented an investment
of about $100 million in 1999. The dimension and
relevance of these co-operative activities can be better
appreciated when one realizes that Member States also
invested approximately an equivalent amount through
in-kind contributions to the implementation of the
projects.
Previous APT Review Conferences
have rightly emphasized the requirement that
international nuclear co-operation take place under an
appropriate international regime that ensures both the
peaceful and safe nature of such cooperation. During
the last five years the international nuclear safety
regime has been greatly strengthened.
In this context, a priority
objective of the Agency is to establish a comprehensive
and effective worldwide nuclear safety culture. The
achievement of such a culture will be aided by a
comprehensive set of international conventions
prescribing the basic legal norms for the safe use of
nuclear technology, by internationally accepted standards
and by the provision of assistance to States in their
implementation. The Agency is active on all these fronts.
The total volume of technical
assistance provided by the Agency is considerable, but
ensuring the predictability of resources remains a key
challenge. In the past decade, income as a percentage of
the target for the Technical Co-operation Fund has varied
widely. Last year, of the 130 Member States of the IAEA,
only 48 pledged 100% or more of their assessed target.
Regrettably, 57 Member States made no pledges whatsoever.
Of the fifteen major donors, only eight pledged in full.
Although from a strictly legal point of view
contributions to the Technical Co-operation Fund could be
described as "voluntary", I submit that in the
broader context of the NPT, contributions to this Fund
are more than simply "voluntary". They are
solemn obligations that need to be respected.
CONCLUSION
At the end of this review of Agency
activities under the NPT, a number of important points
are worth emphasizing.
First, the Agency will continue to
strive to strengthen its safeguards system in order to
provide credible assurance. However, without the
conclusion of the required safeguards agreements the
Agency cannot provide any assurances about
compliance by States with their non-proliferation
obligations. And without the Additional Protocol the
Agency can only provide limited
assurances that do
not adequately cover the absence of undeclared material
or activities.
Second, the Agency will continue to
strive to achieve maximum efficiency in its safeguards
operation, but in order to be able to perform its mandate
in an optimal manner its safeguards activities have to be
fully funded.
Third, the Agency's strengthened
system of safeguards ushers in a new era in the history
of NPT verification. It is a "smart"
non-discriminatory system that will strengthen the
non-proliferation regime. But should emphasize that
verification, no matter how good it is, cannot work in a
vacuum. It should continue to be supported by other
elements of the non-proliferation regime, notably:
effective physical protection and export control
arrangements; enforcement mechanisms; and above all
regional and global security arrangements and
accommodations. These elements are symbiotic in nature
and have to work together.
Fourth, international co-operation
in the peaceful uses of nuclear energy is a key component
of the NPT. It should continue to be honoured and
faithfully implemented, within an appropriate
verification and safety framework. The IAEA is the main
vehicle for promoting such co-operation and will do its
utmost to effectively perform this task. This, however,
requires that technical cooperation resources be
adequate, predictable and assured. To this end, all
States Party, particularly major donors, should pay their
target contributions in full and on time.
Fifth, although the NPT regime is
by no means a perfect regime, it is clearly the best we
have. We should therefore continue to cement it and build
upon it to curb the proliferation of nuclear weapons and
to underpin the safe transfer of peaceful nuclear
technology. In many respects the regime has been
strengthened. The verification system is now more
vigorous; the Security Council is now better placed to
exercise its role in prescribing compliance-inducing
measures in cases of violations; and the exporting States
are more conscious of the need to ensure that nuclear
related items will not be misused and will be subject to
IAEA inspectlon.
On the other hand, the nuclear
disarmament process has unfortunately continued to be
sluggish. And recent indications are worrisome. It should
also be noted that despite progress made in recent years
towards achieving universality of the regime, several
nuclear capable States still remain outside its bounds.
The regime, which has been
painstakingly constructed over three decades, should not
be allowed to unravel. Of crucial importance to that end
is an unequivocal commitment by all nations to the basic
tenets of the regime: universal adherence to the regime,
universal adherence to the new verification system,
fulfilment of the obligation to enhance peaceful nuclear
co-operation and transfer of technology, and above all
active negotiation towards nuclear disarmament. One
important and concrete step to this latter end would be a
comprehensive and in depth dialogue among the weapon
States on practical measures to gradually reduce the
number of, and move away from dependence on, nuclear
weapons for their defence strategies, and thus lead by
example. We mustas we severe recently reminded by
the International Court of Justice "bring to a
conclusion negotiations leading to nuclear disarmament in
all its aspects".
Security through understanding and
addressing insecurities, taking preventive measures,
developing co-operative security arrangements and
elaborating an effective system to ensure compliance is
ultimately the best disincentive against the acquisition
of nuclear weapons. For the sake of humanity, we must, sooner rather
than later, move in this direction.