History of
National Missile Defense
The
1950s
1940
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2000
The
emergence of nuclear weapons in the 1940s and their attendant delivery systems in the
1950s, resulted in a drastic strategic reorientation on the part of defense planners. The sheer destructive power of these weapons meant
that an atomic war could result in the utter devastation of one or all participants. A massive nuclear surprise attack could swiftly
paralyze the enemy by destroying its retaliatory forces and cities.
The United States was able to translate its nuclear
monopoly during the early 1950s into substantial diplomatic leverage. However, as the Soviet Union swelled its nuclear
arsenal and launched Sputnik, the worlds first satellite, aboard a three-stage
missile, it achieved a nuclear weapon and technological parity with the United States.
The mutual vulnerability of both US and Soviet
nuclear forces fostered an unstable strategic relationship as each government adopted a
preemptive strike, use them or lose them posture. The development of second-strike capabilities
(hardened missile silos, submarine launched missiles) established a strategic context of
mutually assured destruction (MAD), whereby neither side could confidently launch a
first-strike that could completely destroy the enemys retaliatory nuclear forces,
and would therefore be subject to a devastating riposte.
MAD ensured that both parties would be sufficiently deterred from initiating a
nuclear exchange, thus restoring a measure of strategic stability. As Lawrence Freedman suggests, The basic
axioms of the nuclear age, therefore, were soon identified: the impossibility of
defence;
the hopeless vulnerability of the worlds major cities; the attraction of a sudden
attack; and the necessity of a capability for retaliation.
The
vulnerability of strategic nuclear forces to surprise attack compelled the further
development of anti-ballistic missile (ABM) defenses.
The US Army intensified work on the Nike-Zeus ABM system which was intended
primarily to protect land-based strategic forces. The
introduction of ABM defenses into the strategic nuclear context reinstated the possibility
of true first-strike capabilities in that a party could initiate a surprise first-strike
against the enemys strategic forces and with a fully developed ABM system could
protect against the enemys degraded retaliatory strike. Similar to a dynamic being seen today with the
National Missile Defense initiative, ABM development during the late 1950s was a source of
concern in that it unsettled the strategic stability created by the MAD context.
Lawrence Freedman, The Evolution of Nuclear Strategy (New
York: St. Martins Press, 1983), p. 44.
Timeline 1955
– Using an analog
computer, Bell Telephone Laboratories completes 50,000 simulated intercepts of ballistic
missile targets. These
simulations indicate that it is possible to hit a missile with another missile. Up to this point, a
number of scientists said that it was impossible to intercept missiles and likened such a
concept to hitting a bullet with another bullet. October 4, 1957
– The Soviet Union
launches Sputnik, the worlds first satellite; the launch technology provides the
basis for long-range ballistic missile development. January 16, 1958
– The US Army, which had been working on
the Nike-Zeus anti-ballistic missile (ABM) system since 1955, is designated lead service
for the development of a ballistic missile defense.
Continue to the
1960s
NMD
History Referenced Material
1940
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2000
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