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Timeline of Key Events
in the European NMD Debate
1997
| 1998 | 1999 | 2000
| 2001 | 2002
2002
Spring ALASKA
Additional NMD Test Bed is planned for construction in Fort Greely,
Alaska. If this goes ahead it could well bring the US into violation of
the ABM Treaty.
Record
of Decision for Site Preparation
June 13 WASHINGTON
US withdrawal from the ABM Treaty formally becomes effective.
April 8 -19 NEW
YORK First PrepCom for 2005 Non Proliferation Treaty (NPT)
Review conference. US pressure to abrogate/renegotiate the ABM Treaty
could well be raised as threatening the health of the NPT.
2001
December
31 WASHINGTON Completion date for the US Nuclear Posture
Review (NPR).
Union
of Concerned Scientists Nuclear Posture Review Campaign
U.S.
Department of Defense Summary of 1993 Nuclear Posture Review
December
18-19 BRUSSELS NATO Defense Ministers Meeting
NATO
Background to the Meeting
December
13 WASHINGTON and MOSCOW The United States provides
formal notification of its withdrawal from the ABM Treaty. President Bush
argues that there is a growing threat from terrorist groups and rogue
states and that "under the terms of the ABM Treaty, the United States
is prohibited from defending its homeland against ballistic missile
attack." The decision provokes reaction across the globe as the
latest sign of US unilateralism. Under the terms of the Treaty the US
withdrawal will become effective six months after notification on 13 June
2002.
White
House Statement on the withdrawal
Scrapping
ABM Treaty Highlights Unilateralist
Arms Control Agenda BASIC
Press Release, 13 December 2001
International
Reactions to the US Decision to Withdraw from the ABM Treaty Last
Updated 18 December 2001
December 6-7
BRUSSELS NATO Foreign Ministers Meeting
NATO
Background to the Meeting
November 12-14
WASHINGTON and TEXAS Presidents Bush and Putin meet to
discuss a renegotiation of the 1972 ABM Treaty to allow for the
development of a NMD system. The two Presidents also discuss making
deep cuts in strategic nuclear arsenals. Despite the optimism of
reaching an historic agreement that surrounded the talks, no deal was
codified with a written treaty.
October
21 SHANGHAI During a summit of the Asia Pacific Economic
Cooperation Forum (APEC) Presidents Bush and Putin meet to discuss arms
control and the future of the ABM Treaty. September 11 has clearly
reinforced Bush's belief in NMD, he states the terrorist attacks
"make it clearer than ever that a cold war ABM treaty that prevents
us from defending our people is outdated, and I believe dangerous."
In response
the Russian stance towards NMD appears to be softening as President Putin
tells journalist that "I believe we do have understanding that we can
reach agreements, taking into account national interests of Russia,
the United States, and taking into account the necessity to strengthen
international security." These statements raise expectations that a
Russian-American deal on NMD and the ABM Treaty may be imminent. (22
October 2001, New York Times, "Bush and Putin Declare They can
Alter the ABM Pact" by David E. Sanger).
September
26-27 BRUSSELS Informal meeting of NATO Defense Ministers.
NATO
Background to the Meeting
September
11th NEW YORK and WASHINGTON Terrorists
unleash a hugely destructive attack on the United States. Thousands are
killed as hijacked planes are flown into the twin towers of the World
Trade Center and one wing of the Pentagon. The ramifications of these
attacks on the NMD debate are, as yet, difficult to perceive with both
camps presenting them as proof of their point. On
the one hand it is argued that missile defense would have done nothing to
stop the terrorists, on the other that the attacks vividly illustrate the
threat to the US and that fundamentalist group would not hesitate to use
ballistic missiles if they could develop them.
BASIC
Site on Transatlantic Responses to Terrorism
Straws
in the Wind US Quotes on the Terrorist Attacks and Missile Defense.
From the Council for a Livable World
July
20-22 GENOA During a G-8 Summit overshadowed by street battles
between Italian police and anti-globalization demonstrators, President
Bush has a second round of bilateral meetings with Russian President
Vladimir Putin. Their joint statement promises further debate on NMD and
the future of the ABM Treaty "We agreed that major changes in the
world require concrete discussions of both offensive and defensive
systems. We already have some strong and tangible points of agreement. We
will shortly begin intensive consultations on the interrelated subjects of
offensive and defensive systems."
Full
Text of Bush-Putin Joint Statement
July 14
KWAJALEIN ATOLL The fourth NMD intercept trial ends in apparent
success as the target ICBM is destroyed. According to Air Force Lt. Gen.
Ronald Kadish, Director of the Ballistic Missile Defense Organization
"We believe we have a successful test in all aspects... the kill
intercept was confirmed by all of our sensors." However, he does
caution that it will take around two months to fully analyze the results
of the test.
In response,
Russian Foreign Ministry Spokesman Alexander Yakovenko declares on July 15
"A logical question again arises: why take matters to the point of
placing under threat the entire internationally-agreed structure of
nuclear disarmament and non-proliferation including its core, the 1972
ABM Treaty?" (15 July 2001, BBC News Website, "Russia
Condemns US Missile Test")
It later
emerges that a beacon on the target ICBM had signaled its location to the
interceptor missile during the test. When questioned on this the Pentagon
spokesman Navy Rear Adm. Craig Quigley states that "we have made no
secret of this" but concedes that real warheads in an attack would
not carry such beacons. (27 July 2001, Reuters, "Officials Say
Beacon Aids Anti-Missile Test")
June 16
LJUBLIJANA President Bush meets Russian President Vladimir Putin
for the first time at a summit in the Slovenian capital. No deal on
the ABM Treaty is reached between the two leaders. President Putin
declares: The official position of the Russian Government is known. We
proceed from the idea that the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty is the
cornerstone of the modern architecture of international security. The
leaders agree to further dialogue on the issue.
June
15-16 GOTEBORG EU Summit. The Rapid Reaction Force
dominates the agenda for this meeting. Undoubtedly, disagreements
over missile defense proposals also factor into discussions.
June 14
STOCKHOLM and GOTEBORG EU-US Summit.
June 13
BRUSSELS NATO 'special meeting.' President Bush attends this
meeting, in advance of the EU-US summit the following day. Missile
defense is high on the agenda, as is the question of the EU's proposed
Rapid Reaction Force. President Bush makes the following remarks to the
North Atlantic Council concerning NMD: "I ask for your trust when I
pledge to consult you at every stage. I ask you to help me persuade
Vladimir Putin to think differently and to join us in meeting this deadly
new threat [ballistic missile and WMD proliferation]. We have a common
interest in making a smooth transition from the ABM Treaty to a new
security framework for a new century...I am firmly committed to missile
defense as part of this new framework, Missile defense adds to deterrence
in the contemporary world."
Statement
to the Press by NATO Secretary General, Lord Robertson
NATO
Background to the Meeting
June 12
MADRID President Bush begins his first major overseas trip as
President with a visit to Spain. The Prime Minister of Spain, Jose Maria
Aznar, responds positively to Bush's NMD ideas, declaring "What I'm
surprised by is the fact that there are people who, from the start,
disqualified this initiative [NMD]...what we're dealing with here is an
attempt to provide greater security for everyone. And from that point of
view, that initiative, to share and discuss and dialogue and reach common
ground with the President of the United States, is something that I
greatly appreciate."
Text
of Bush-Aznar Joint Press Conference
June
12 FREIBURG Seventy-Seventh Franco-German Summit. On the eve
of President Bush's arrival in Europe, President Chirac of France and
Chancellor Shroeder of Germany issue a joint declaration underlining
European support for the principals of multilateral arms control. In
particular item seven of the declaration states: "France and Germany
consider that the risks of ballistic proliferation necessitate a
strengthening of the multilateral non-proliferation instruments."
Franco-German
Defense and Security Council Freiburg Declaration
June
7-8 BRUSSELS
NATO Defense Ministers meeting. US Secretary of Defense, Donald
Rumsfeld, argues that lack of ballistic missile defense "give future
adversaries the ability to hold our populations hostage to terror and
blackmail" and "creates incentives for missile
proliferation." However, he also stresses that "We're going to
keep talking to our allies." (8 June 2001, The Independent,
"'Star Wars' Vital to Curb Power of Rogue States, says Rumsfeld")
NATO
Background to the Meeting
May 29-30 BUDAPEST NATO
Foreign Ministers meeting. The communiquι, which makes no reference
to the ABM Treaty, states the allies "intend to pursue ...
consultations vigorously, and welcome the United States assurance that
the views of the Allies will be taken into account as it considers its
plans further" on missile defense and other issues.
NATO
Communiquι
NATO
Background to the Meeting
On
the Road to Budapest A series of articles profiling key nuclear policy
issues facing NATO
May 24
WASHINGTON Senator James Jeffords of Vermont announces he is
leaving the Republican Party to stand as an independent. The shift hands
control of the Senate to the Democrats who are highly skeptical of the way
in which President Bush is pursuing missile defense. Tom Daschle, the new
Senate majority leader, declares on national television "If you're
asking should we violate the ABM Treaty; if you're asking should we
alienate every ally, and Russia and China besides; if you're asking should
we commit to something, deploy something that still hasn't been shown to
work, I'd say no." (28 May 2001, BBC News Website,
"Democrats Threaten Bush's Missile Shield").
May 11
MOSCOW US officials visit Moscow for talks with the Russian
government on missile defense. Alexander Yakovenko, Russian Foreign
Ministry spokesman declares: "The United States has been
unable to give us arguments to convince us that they see clearly how to
solve the problems of international security without damaging disarmament
agreements which have stood for 30 years." (12 May 2001, Financial
Times, "Russia Resists US Charm Offensive on Missiles")
May 10
ROME US officials visit Rome for talks with the Italian government
on missile defense.
May 10
BERLIN US officials visit Berlin for talks with the German
government on missile defense. Michael Steiner, foreign policy
adviser to Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder declares: "We have a number
of questions to which we need answers and we don't have them yet. This is
why the German position is that we say neither 'yes' nor 'no" ("Factbox
- What They Said on US Missile Defense Plans", Reuters, 11 May
2001)
May 9
PARIS US officials visit Paris for talks with the French
government on missile defense. Francois Rivasseau, French Foreign
Ministry spokesman declares: "Our position and our questions are well
known. We had the opportunity of reminding the American delegation about
them." (11 May 2001, Reuters, "Factbox What They Said
on U.S. Missile Defense Plans")
May 9
COPENHAGEN US officials visit Copenhagen for talks with the Danish
government on missile defense. At the subsequent press conference
Danish and US officials insist that the possible use of Thule in a missile
defense system was not discussed.
May 9
THE HAGUE US officials visit The Hague for consultations with the
Dutch government on missile defense.
May 8
BRUSSELS US officials make a series of presentations to the North
Atlantic Council on the Bush administration's ideas about missile defense.
May 8
LONDON US Officials visit London for talks with the UK government
on missile defense, as part of a series of visits designed to weaken
global opposition. No press conference is held but subsequent press
reports indicated that UK officials focused on means of strengthening
non-proliferation agreements. Discussing NMD, a UK Foreign Office
Spokesman says: "We would be happy as long as it is in an agreed
framework between the United States and Russia". ("Factbox
What They Said on US Missile Defense Plans", Reuters, 11 May
2001)
May
3 COPENHAGEN The Danish Parliament holds a debate on NMD.
During the debate, Foreign
Minister Mogens Lykketoft repeatedly stresses the crucial significance of
the Chinese reaction to a US missile defense if a new arms race is to be
avoided.
"Denmark
Leaders Warn US on Chinese Reaction to Missile
Defense,"
by Jorgen
Dragsdahl, BASIC Reports #78
May
1 WASHINGTON In a speech delivered at the National Defense
University in Washington, US President George W. Bush reaffirms his
administration's commitment to building a 'layered' missile defense system
and declares his readiness to leave behind the constraints of the
ABM Treaty. To
soften opposition to the announcement Bush promises heavy reductions in
U.S. strategic nuclear arms and real consultations with Russia,
China and the European allies.
Bush
Proclaims Nuclear Anarchy, BASIC Press Advisory, 30 April 2001
Full
Text of Bush's May 1 Speech
April
25 COPENHAGEN Danish Parliament Foreign Affairs Committee
holds a public hearing on NMD. Danish MPs hear evidence from a
variety of NMD experts, many of which urge the government to take a
stronger line and oppose Washington's plans.
"Denmark
Leaders Warn US on Chinese Reaction to Missile
Defense,"
by Jorgen
Dragsdahl, BASIC Reports #78
March
6 WASHINGTON EU-US Foreign Ministers meeting. EU
delegation is headed by Swedish Prime Minister, Anna Lindh, and includes
Secretary General of EU Council, Javier Solana, and European Commissioner,
Chris Patten.
March
5-6 WASHINGTON Danish Foreign Minister, Mogens Lykkestoft,
visits the United States for talks with President Bush.
March
2-4 MUNICH
US Defense Secretary, Donald Rumsfeld, travels to Europe to attend the
annual Munich Conference on Security Policy. During
the conference Rumsfeld describes NMD as a "moral imperative"
for any American president. (4 February 2001, BBC News Online,
Russia condemns US 'Star Wars')
February
27 BRUSSELS NATO Foreign Ministers meeting. During the
meeting, visiting US Secretary of State Colin Powell states: "We
believe it is our responsibility to create a missile defense that protects
the United States, our allies and friends, all, against the threat of
missile proliferation that could deliver weapons of mass destruction to
any of our countries."
NATO
Information on the Meeting
February
23-24 WASHINGTON UK Prime Minister Tony Blair visits the US
for talks with President Bush. NMD, and the possible use of UK
facilities in a proposed US system, are believed to be high on the agenda.
Blair
Must Represent Not Just Britain, But Europe on NMD BASIC Press
Advisory, 20 February 2001 US
Version UK
Version
Joint
Statement by President George W. Bush and Prime Minister Tony Blair
January
20 WASHINGTON George W. Bush is inaugurated as the 43rd
president of the United States. Bush declares in his inaugural
speech, "We will build our defenses beyond challenge, lest weakness
invite challenge."
January 13 LONDON William
Hague, leader of the Conservative Party in the United Kingdom, challenges
Prime Minister Tony Blair to provide a firm commitment of support for US
plans for NMD. Hague states, "I think the United States should be
supported in pushing forward this project and in pursuing the necessary
research." Hague stresses he is in favor of seeing any potential
shield extended to protect Europe. (13 January 2001, The Times,
"Blair Plays Long Game to Avoid Star Wars Split")
The
Conservative
Missile Defense Plan: At What Cost
BASIC Press Advisory,
9
February 2001
2000
November
20-22 MOSCOW UK Prime
Minister Tony Blair visits Moscow for talks with Russian President
Vladimir Putin. Blair states that he believes there should be
"a proper dialogue" between the United States and Russia on the
subject of NMD. He also tells Putin that US concerns are primarily with
"rogue states," and should not be seen as an attempt to revive
the arms race. (21 November 2000, The Times, "Beer-Cellar
Blair Keeps Options Open")
October
24 LONDON The UK
Government's Foreign and Commonwealth Office releases its response
to the Foreign Affairs Committee's August 2 report (see
below)
September
22 LONDON At their yearly
conference, the Liberal Democrats,
the third largest UK political party, approve an emergency motion calling
on the United States to abandon its plans for a NMD system. It also calls
on the UK government to reject any formal demand from the United States
for the use of UK sites in the proposed system.
September
1 EUROPE US President Bill
Clinton's decision to delay deployment of the NMD system is broadly
welcomed by all major European governments. French President Jacques
Chirac says the project "risks jeopardizing the strategic balance and
restarting the arms race." Meanwhile, German Chancellor Gerhard
Schroeder is reported to have urged Clinton "not to make a hasty
decision." (2 September 2000, AP, "Global: World
Leaders Weigh in on National Defense Decision")
August
22 NUUK John Holum, US
undersecretary of state for arms control and international security
affairs, meets with officials from the home-rule government during a visit
to Greenland. The visit is seen as an attempt by the United States to
secure support for the use of Thule Air Base in its planned NMD system.
(22 August 2000, Reuters, "US, Greenland Discuss Missile
Shield Radar")
August 2 LONDON
The influential Foreign Affairs Select Committee of the House of
Commons releases its report on "Weapons of Mass Destruction."
The wide-ranging report strongly criticizes the wisdom of the proposed NMD
network. The Committee states; We are not convinced that the US
plans to deploy NMD represent an appropriate response to the proliferation
problems faced by the international community.
"Weapons
of Mass Destruction" Official House of Commons Foreign Affairs
Committee Report
"UK
Committee Slams NMD" BASIC Press Release
July
8 KWAJALEIN ATOLL
The
third NMD intercept test ends in failure as the exoatmospheric
kill vehicle fails to separate from its booster, preventing an attempt at
intercepting the incoming missile. This is the last test before President
Bill Clinton is to make his decision on deployment.
April
14 MOSCOW
The Duma finally ratifies START II, but with provisions crucial to the
future of the ABM treaty and plans for NMD. Under Article II of the
Dumas ratifying legislation, deputies approve motions allowing Russia
to abandon START II if the United States violates the ABM Treaty through
the deployment of a national missile defense system. Putin goes even
further in his speech to the Duma prior to the vote, saying if the
United States decides to destroy the 1972 ABM Treaty
we will withdraw
not only from the START II treaty but also the whole system of treaties on
limitation and control of strategic and conventional weapons.
March 21
LONDON UK Foreign and
Commonwealth Minister Peter Hain tells BBC's Newsnight program that he
does "not like the idea of a Star Wars program, limited or
unlimited." On the same evening, UK Defense Secretary Geoff Hoon
tells Channel 4 News that if the United States were to ask Britain to use
Fylingdales, "the history of our close friendship ... is that we are
sympathetic such requests." (22 March 2000, The Guardian,
"Ministers Split Over British Role in US Defense Shield")
January
18 KWAJALEIN ATOLL Two
malfunctioning infrared sensors on the exoatmospheric kill vehicle are
blamed for the failure of the second NMD intercept trial. This is the
first test in which the interceptor is not pre-programmed with the
incoming trajectory of the ICBM.
1999
October
2 KWAJALEIN ATOLL
The
NMD testing program conducts its first intercept trial. After an apparent
intercept success, later data reveals complications. It becomes
apparent that the interceptor's exoatmospheric kill vehicle first targets
on the tests decoy balloon before subsequently targeting and hitting
the Inter Continental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) itself.
August 20
COPENHAGEN The
Danish High Court of the Eastern Circuit states that the original
population of the area around Thule Air Base in Greenland were relocated
by force in 1953, and awarded compensation. The plaintiffs are now
appealing both the amount awarded and the refusal to grant a right to
return to the area.
"The
Danish Dilemma" by Jorgen
Dragsdahl, Bulletin of Atomic Scientists.
1998
1997
March 20 LONDON Permission
is granted by the UK government for the deployment by the United States of
the new European Ground Relay Station for the new Space-Based Infra-Red
System (SBIRS-High) at RAF Menwith Hill. Within the proposed NMD
system, SBIRS-High is designed to pick up the fact that a booster has been
launched and provide some initial trajectory information.
Campaign
for the Accountability of American Bases (CAAB) Provide
information on new developments at Fylingdales and Menwith Hill.
.
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