enriched uranium

Success with Iran requires moves towards disarmament

I have recently reflected that my youthful passion for disarmament originated from a black and white sense of justice, and that I have retained it through the insight that acts of logical self-interest often lead to immense risk and could ultimately lead to the destruction of civilisation. While climate change and other environmental threats arise from our corporate materialistic lifestyles, the threat of nuclear proliferation and Armageddon comes from fear, competition and the quest for power amongst elites. The injustice feels more carnal, the universal threat more outrageous.

Iran update: number 113

Summary

  • P5+1 agree new wave of sanctions on Iran
  • Iran predicts it will be using nuclear power by next year
  • A Chinese military base in Iran: the geo-political consequences
  • US Iranians oppose military action
  • Congress discusses normalizing relations with Iran and assessing the effectiveness of sanctions and the policy of isolation

After meeting on January 22, the P5+1 were reported to have agreed a draft for strengthening the existing economic sanctions against Iran.

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Iran update: number 111

Summary

  • US heat turned down on Iran, in spite of the President
  • Outstanding IAEA questions to Iran
  • US statement: Iran no longer assisting Iraqi insurgents
  • Pentagon says US ships harassed by Iran
  • Congress passes Iran democracy bill
  • Iran's changing regional relationships
  • Russia begins delivery of nuclear fuel to Bushehr
  • Iran produces first nuclear fuel pellets

The New Year marked a dramatic turn-around in the mood music towards Iran in Washington, and attention focused almost entirely upon Pa

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Getting to Zero Update

The P[b(j)] of Proliferation

The September 2006 issue of The Annals of The American Academy of Political and Social Science published, naturally, by The American Academy of Political and Social Science, had a special issue CONFRONTING THE SPECTER OF NUCLEAR TERRORISM (Oh dear, all caps; be afraid, be very afraid).

Anyway, one article, 'A Mathematical Model of the Risk of Nuclear Terrorism', by Matthew Bunn, ran the numbers, literally, for measuring the global risk of nuclear theft and terrorism. Warning, you may want to reach for your former algebra books before reading further.

Syria and Dr Khan

It almost slipped by me but you will be happy to note that Dr Khan is an issue in the US presidential election; at least he is to one Republican candidate.

Consider this exchange during the October 9, 2007 Republican Debate on economic issues.

MS BARTIROMO: Mayor Giuliani, foreign acquisitions in the United States are headed for a record in 2007.

And yet some money is still turned away. A Dubai company could not acquire our ports. A Chinese company could not acquire Unocal.

Singing about Dr Khan in South Africa

As everybody should know by now Pakistan has long made it clear that the West has much chance of questioning Dr Khan about his network as a snowball has of remaining frozen in hell. But that does not mean additional information about the doctor's network can't be obtained. I and others have noted in the past that there have been some, if sporadic and fitful, attempts to prosecute some of Dr Khan's former colleagues and suppliers.

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