British American Security Information Council: Transatlantic Strategies For A More Secure World

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TRANSCRIPT OF MEETING WITH MEMBERS
OF THE
WEU ASSEMBLY DEFENCE COMMITTEE AND
INTERPARLIAMENTARY EUROPEAN SECURITY AND DEFENCE ASSEMBLY

JUNE 29, 2005 9:00-11:00 am
at the Stewart Mott House in Washington, D.C.

On 29 June, BASIC hosted Members of the WEU Assembly Defence Committee and Interparliamentary European Security and Defence Assembly and two guest experts. BASIC staff in Washington and guests discussed a range of transatlantic security topics. The Members, who are parliamentarians in their home European countries, were on a fact finding mission in the United States. The following is a transcript of the entire meeting.

Introduction

Dr. Chantal de Jonge Oudraat, Center for Transatlantic Relations: NATO, UN and peace operations

Alistair Millar, Fourth Freedom Forum: tactical nuclear weapons and transatlantic security

Matt Martin, BASIC: missile defense, nuclear security

David Isenberg, BASIC: biological weapons security

Discussion, including WEU Assembly Defence Committee

Select Reports, Assembly of the WEU/The Interparliamentary European Security and Defence Assembly

Chris Lindborg: Hello, I'm Chris Lindborg, an Analyst with the British American Security Information Council's Washington office. I would like to welcome all of you to what I hope will be an enjoyable and fruitful discussion. Thank you to all of you for coming. I especially want to thank Paulo Brito of the WEU [Western European Union] for helping to organize this visit.

I want to point out that we have some special guest experts with us. First we have Dr. Chantal de Jonge Oudraat with the Center for Transatlantic Relations and she is also Vice President of Women in International Security. She is with several other important international security organizations here in Washington, DC, and there is more information on those organizations and brief biographies in your packets. We also have Alistair Millar with us, who is Vice President and Director of the Fourth Freedom Forum's Washington office.

We have two BASIC Board Members with us in the back, Dr. Joanna Spear and Ambassador James Leonard. All of our BASIC Washington staff are here with us today. We have BASIC's Deputy Director and Senior Analyst, Matt Martin, and David Isenberg who also is a Senior Analyst with our office, and our two summer interns, Ola Torson Lindberg and Wilson Co. All of the people I mentioned have really helped with this program, so I would like to thank all of them. Also if you would like more information on our Washington participants, again, please see the list of brief biographies in your packets. Next I would like to give you a little bit of background on BASIC.

As many of you know, BASIC is an independent, non-profit, research organization with offices in Washington, of course, but also in London. BASIC, for almost two decades, has had a broad remit. BASIC has covered nuclear, biological and conventional weapons control issues, missile defense and multilateral institutions as they pertain to preventing conflict and more general security issues. BASIC's mission is to bring awareness to the public, policymakers and the media about critical security issues. Our goal is to develop new ideas for policymakers to adopt more effective foreign policies that will hopefully lead to more peaceful international relations.

BASIC's Executive Director is Dr. Ian Davis and he is based out of our London office. BASIC's recent funders include the Ploughshares Fund, the Joseph Rowntrees Charitable Trust, Scurrah Wainwright, the Kirsch Foundation, the Educational Foundation of America, and the Canadian Government. I want to make sure all of them get credit because they help make this work possible.

We will have two of our BASIC staff give presentations today as well as our two expert guests. They will all speak for about five to ten minutes. First we will have Dr. Chantal de Jonge Oudraat discuss NATO and UN relations, particularly as they pertain to peacekeeping operations. Then, we will have Alistair Millar discuss tactical nuclear weapons. Third, Matt Martin will talk about missile defense and he may want to talk about nuclear security more broadly. David Isenberg will discuss biological weapons security issues. Then, after that briefing session, we will open up the session to questions and interventions from everyone. So I would like to get started. Thank you for your time here. Chantal, I will allow you to start.

Dr. Chantal de Jonge Oudraat: Thank you Chris. We talk a lot about NATO and the EU, we also talk a lot about the EU and the UN, but I think there is a more interesting relationship, namely the one between NATO and the UN. I think there is a great future for NATO/UN relations, actually a greater future than for NATO-EU relations or EU-UN relations.

The relationship between NATO and the UN has seen considerable change and one could say it has transformed in a fundamental way since the end of the Cold War.

During the Cold War, NATO and the UN mostly ignored each other. Within the UN, NATO was considered a dirty word. Similarly within NATO, the UN was considered an evil institution-a hotbed of Soviet spies-with whom it was better not to engage.

Since the end of the Cold War, both NATO and the UN have taken on new conflict management, conflict resolution and peacekeeping tasks. NATO's scope of operations has also become more global. Since their security tasks and areas of intervention increasingly overlap, it was inevitable and natural that NATO and the UN would start working more closely together. And after a rocky start in the early 1990s they do so very well, particularly in the field.

The problem with the NATO-UN relationship is that these organizations have not yet developed the regular institutional ties that reflect this reality and that would facilitate inter-organizational cooperation. The reason why the NATO-UN relationship remains under-- or undeveloped has to do with the fact that there is no consensus on the role and the future of NATO.

In very schematic terms, I would argue that there are three schools of thought with respect to the future of NATO.

First there is the Realist, or the "NATO will disappear" school of thought. Second, there is the Maximalist or the "NATO should go global" school of thought and third there is the Minimalist or the "NATO should focus on its core mission" school of thought.

The Realists argue that the end of the Cold War has fundamentally changed the strategic landscape; that the US and Europe no longer face shared threats to their survival and therefore they no longer need to stick together. They also argue that the US and Europe have increasingly divergent interest and different ways of looking at the world.

The Maximalists or the Globalists agree that the strategic landscape has changed, but they contend the US and Europe still face many common security threats. They point to the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, terrorism and failing states. For NATO to continue to be relevant it needs to respond to these challenges. Globalists insist that NATO is and should continue to be the centerpiece of US-European relations. They see NATO as a collective security type of security organization and point to the 2004 expansion as proof of the vitality of the institution. This school has one mantra: "out of area or out of business."

Finally, the Minimalists argue that threats to European security may resurface. They consider the relationship with Russia uncertain. Many new NATO members in particular value the collective defense aspect of NATO. They believe in the importance of keeping the US engaged in Europe as an offshore balancer against a possible resurgent Russia or as a balancer against a too domineering set of old Europe countries. They believe that NATO should focus on its core functions and should not get entangled in global crisis management operations outside of Europe. Many of these operations do not involve vital interests and hence will not enjoy large and active support. NATO should be careful not to raise expectations and make promises that it cannot deliver. Undeliverable promises will affect NATO's credibility.

I think that all three of these schools are slightly off-target. I agree with the Minimalists that Europe continues to need US engagement for many of the reasons that the Minimalist put forward, but politically it is very difficult to make this case and hence it is difficult to muster support for the organization. In sum, minimalism is too weak a foundation to keep NATO alive.

Realists are correct in saying that NATO has lost its raison d'être with the end of the Cold War but I think they underestimate the continuing European security problems and they overstate the diverging interests between Europe and the US.

Maximalists and Globalists point to the 2004 expansion as proof of the vitality of NATO. Yet they fail to admit that the attraction of NATO in Central and Eastern Europe is based on old 'balance of power' type of reasons and not because of NATO's success in tackling new global security problems. Globalists also fail to recognize the collective action type of problems that are raised by the global 'out-of-Europe' threats and that many of these new threats, such as the proliferation of WMD and terrorism are actually best fought with non-military instruments. NATO's role in fighting WMD is limited to consequence management. Preventive or preemptive action either in terms of intelligence sharing or in terms of military operations are very difficult to undertake in a multilateral [setting], including within NATO. As to NATO's contribution to the fight against terrorism-again its contribution is minimal. The brunt of the effort here has to come from police and other law enforcement cooperation efforts.

What role for NATO? I would like to argue for a fourth approach, and that is the Instrumentalist approach or the "NATO as a toolbox is okay" approach. NATO is no longer the strategic forum where the US and Europe decide on key strategic issues. That function ended with the end of the Cold War. Many people have recognized this, including the current Secretary General and the German Chancellor.

The U.S. and Europe no longer have one single forum to discuss political-strategic issues. What they have is an interlocking set of bi-lateral relations and competing fora such as the UN, the G-8, and the EU-U.S. summits in which they can discuss these issues. The disappearance of the strategic political dimension of NATO doesn't mean that NATO becomes irrelevant or has to disappear. It means that the organization needs to change and become a different type of organization. NATO is and will increasingly become a more technical and functional organization, a toolbox if you like, and there is nothing wrong with being a good toolbox.

Now if we look what is inside that NATO toolbox, there is one set of tools that NATO has developed and made effective. NATO has proven to be an excellent peacekeeper and a provider of stability. Since the early 1990s, NATO has steadily developed this capacity and has taken on new tasks in conflict management and conflict resolution and it has been very effective. That said, NATO needs a partner. It cannot do these types of operations alone. The UN is a very good partner for NATO in these types of operations and I would argue NATO's best partner. NATO and the UN are natural allies in this domain and there is a natural division of labor between these two organizations. Unlike the EU-UN relationship, there is no inter-institutional security dilemma between NATO and the UN. Unlike the EU-UN relationship, there is no competition over competencies and capabilities.

It is very important to recognize that both the UN and NATO are toolboxes. International organizations like the UN and NATO are not cathedrals or houses of worship. The Romanian Minister of Defense, Ioan Pascu, once put it very nicely when he observed that: "international organizations are the plastic we play with." Jaap de Hoop Scheffer, the current Secretary General of NATO, made his debut at the UN Security Council in November 2004, and I hope that this will become the beginning of a more robust institutional relationship. I would urge you parliamentarians to support these efforts.

More specifically, I have four recommendations: ·

  • First, NATO should focus on what it does best, and it should focus on peace and conflict operations.

    The development of the NATO Response Force or the development of stabilization forces will be critical as will the partnership with the UN.
  • Second, NATO and the UN should develop a robust institutional relationship. They should establish liaison offices in Brussels and New York. They should also establish working groups on specific issues such as command and control; planning; and intelligence sharing. Right now NATO has one person sitting in the Department of Peacekeeping Operations in New York. The UN in Brussels has a bigger office, but it's mostly focused on the EU. I think the UN is gradually realizing that the more interesting relationship is with NATO and I would suspect that they are very open to expanding this relationship.

  • Thirdly, I would urge member states to entrust NATO and the UN with the implementation of the G-8 African peacekeeping initiative. The UN and NATO should become the coordinator of peacekeeping training activities around the world. The fact that NATO is starting to get involved in Sudan is a positive development, but it is a very tiny development that should be developed. ·

  • Fourthly, it is very important when NATO and the UN strengthen their operational and institutional ties, that they do this in a transparent way. This relationship needs to be open to participation of others-it needs to be inclusive. NATO has been very inclusive in many of its peace operations. It includes many non-NATO members and it should continue on this path. Within the UN a large part of the membership, particularly the developing countries, feel excluded from the decision-making process. The development of the NATO-UN relationship should not strengthen this feeling. And so openness and transparency are going to be extremely important.

Chris Lindborg: Thank you Chantal. Alistair, I'll have you go next.

Next:

Alistair Millar, Fourth Freedom Forum: tactical nuclear weapons and transatlantic security

Matt Martin, BASIC: missile defense, nuclear security

David Isenberg, BASIC: biological weapons security

Discussion, including WEU Assembly Defence Committee

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