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NATO

Felix Rohatyn on U.S.-European Defense Industry Issues

( Reprinted from the USIA website)

15 April 1999

Paris - Improved cooperation among the defense industries of NATO countries should be one of the top priorities of the NATO alliance as it looks to its future, according to U.S. Ambassador to France Felix Rohatyn.

Rohatyn discussed the issue in an April 15 Paris speech at the Les Echos Defense Industry Conference.

While there are important restraints on defense industry cooperation, such as the desire to protect sensitive national defense technologies, there also are strong motives for cooperation and for there structuring that will accompany it, he said. He noted recent warnings that U.S. and European forces might not be able to fight alongside each other in the future because of a rapidly expanding technology gap.

The United States currently is spending three times as much as its NATO allies in Europe on military research and development, and twice as much on defense procurement, Rohatyn said. He said the United States encourages NATO members to increase defense spending to meet the Alliance's common goals.

The United States, Rohatyn said, sees both economic and political advantages to European defense restructuring and transatlantic cooperation: maintaining price competition and technological innovation in the arms market, and maintaining "public support for a European defense identity, based on jobs and a strong industrial base." Restructuring also would help to limit weapons proliferation by reducing pressures to ship arms to "questionable destinations," he argued.

Following is the prepared text of Ambassador Rohatyn's remarks:

(begin text)

EUROPEAN DEFENSE INDUSTRY RESTRUCTURING AND TRANSATLANTIC COOPERATION

Remarks by Ambassador Felix Rohatyn

Les Echos Defense Industry Conference

Paris, France, April 15, 1999

Next week in Washington Presidents Chirac and Clinton will sit down with 17 other Heads of State to commemorate the signing of the North Atlantic Treaty, which founded NATO nearly 50 years ago to the day.

Europe was a very different place in those days. Berlin was under blockade, and Europe was devastated by war. But the winds of change were blowing. The Marshall Plan to rebuild Europe was already underway, and two visionary Frenchmen, Jean Monnet and Robert Schumann, formulated a far-reaching proposal to pool the steel and coal industries of Europe into a single economic community.

Today, the launch of the Euro, the war in Kosovo, and the Asian financial crisis all have shown how critical it is for the Transatlantic Partnership of Europe and the United States to provide a stable platform for security in the world as well as a stable platform for the global economy. We are reminded every day, whether in the Balkans or in the Persian Gulf, in Southeast Asia or in Northeast Asia, that peace and prosperity come at a price and that the United States and Europe must share that burden.

The cooperation among NATO allies in the operations in Kosovo, following our joint actions in Bosnia, bodes well for the capacity of the Alliance to do what is necessary to maintain peace on the continent and to defend our fundamental values of freedom and human rights, without which democracies cannot survive. In this regard, I must acknowledge France's firm commitments in Kosovo, including political, diplomatic, military, and humanitarian initiatives. These commitments are both profoundly European and profoundly oriented toward our Atlantic Alliance. The recent statements by the French President and Prime Minister on Kosovo have resonated deeply in my country.

This is also the reason why the U.S. welcomes the St. Malo accords as the first step towards a European Security and Defense Identity, firmly anchored within NATO, just as we welcome the launch of the Euro, firmly anchored to the global financial system. Both of these initiatives will strengthen the identity and cohesion of the new Europe and make our transatlantic partnership more effective and more balanced.

Ten years ago, when the Berlin Wall fell, my country made a strategic decision to remain engaged in the world economically, politically, and militarily, and not to retreat again into a new form of isolationism.

We took that decision because we were convinced that an open U.S. economy in an open world economy would generate greater prosperity for Americans and our trading partners. At the same time, we adjusted our security posture to reflect the new post-Cold War security environment. We reduced the overall size of our forces, but retained a substantial forward presence, and the capability to rapidly deploy new forces if necessary. Similarly, we have reassessed and adjusted our export control and industrial security policies to focus on keeping essential military technologies from a core group states which do not share our democratic values and principles. The new post-Cold War environment is not without risks, but the remarkable economic growth we have experienced has demonstrated the soundness of the fundamental strategic choices we made.

As I have indicated many times, we wish the Euro to succeed because what is good for Europe is good for the U.S., and vice-versa. Overall, despite sharp disputes over specific commercial issues, there is little disagreement either in my country or in Europe that the world's prosperity depends on prosperity both in Europe and in the U.S. The same argument holds, in the security area, for mutual support of NATO, for a European defense identity and capability which reinforces our mutual security. I have heard a great deal of concern here about American hegemony and unilateralism, as well as about American tendencies toward isolationism and protectionism. These are understandable, but exaggerated, concerns. A strong sentiment exists in America for the idea that "shared leadership" with a strong, stable and democratic Europe, is in the greater interest of the United States. While there are certainly voices in the U.S. somewhat nervous about a future European Security and Defense Identity, most of our leaders and opinion makers support the idea, provided it strengthens rather than weakens NATO. Like the Euro, your success will be in our interest.

To many in Europe, the consolidation and restructuring of European defense industries is the next big step in building a unified Europe, with the tools needed for a Common Foreign and Security Policy. Today Europe has over 750 defense companies, compared to about 250 in the United States, and with defense expenditures only one-half as large. For defense companies on both sides of the Atlantic, the end of the Cold War and greater openness to transnational defense trade and investment are bringing new opportunities and risks.

In the United States, our Pentagon has worked hard to break out of the old Cold-War model wherein defense companies were tied to the government, inefficiencies were legendary, and innovation was slowed. As you know, approximately 40 companies were merged into Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Raytheon and Northrop Grumman. In this decade alone the restructuring of the American defense industry has reduced employment by nearly 2 million jobs. This was an extraordinarily painful experience for these employees, which took place over a period of years. Fortunately our economy has been strong enough to absorb this job loss.

U.S. defense companies managed the transition by diversifying from defense to civilian activities. Lockheed, for instance, had 80% of its activities centered on the defense sector in 1980; that figure is only 50% today, and will decline to 25% in ten years, as Lockheed makes the transition to a diversified technology company. U.S. defense companies benefited from the synergies with high technology commercial sectors, such as civilian satellite telecommunications and information technologies, including the Internet.

America's defense industry needed restructuring. Our defense budget has fallen dramatically since 1985 both in real terms and as a percentage of GDP. As a percentage of GDP it is now about 3%, the lowest level in half a century. This year the Clinton Administration reversed this trend and proposed an increase in the defense procurement budget, which will rise to about $60 billion next year, and to about $75 billion by 2005.

Even though the cooperation among NATO members in the Kosovo crisis is outstanding, some military specialists warn that these signs may be misleading. German General Klaus Neumann, who heads NATO's Military Committee, warned in a recent interview that "the day may soon be coming" when Europeans and Americans may no longer be able to fight alongside each other on the same battlefield because of the rapidly expanding gap in the their combat capabilities. Europe's defense budgets have gradually shrunk to what some defense experts believe to be dangerously low levels. And, since most European governments are struggling to balance their budgets, there is very little popular inducement for political leaders to raise defense spending. However, the political will for a European Defense Identity will likely require greater investments in defense. We encourage Alliance member efforts to strengthen individual national defense structures by increasing defense spending to levels necessary to meet our common goals.

Reconciling budget constraints and military ambition will require a combination of European Defense Industry restructuring as well as transatlantic cooperation between European and American defense industries. Defense restructuring in France has followed a clear strategy first articulated in 1995. Until very recently it appeared that European defense industry restructuring would follow the French model, built around two groups, one involving British Aeropsace, DASA and Aerospatiale, and another involving Thomson, GEC/Marconi and other European and possibly American partners.

The recent proposed merger of BAe and GEC/Marconi has reshuffled the deck and highlights the challenges for effective European defense restructuring. British industry is gearing up for a single defense company, with activities in both aerospace and electronics. The BAe/Marconi merger means that for all practical intents and purposes 90-95% of all British defense procurement will be from a single company. The potential competitive impact of this merger has aroused concern in the United States as well as on the continent. The reaction of Daimler Benz was particularly negative. Time will tell whether the British merger will form the basis for one big European Defense Company, in which the British would play the leading role, or, on the other hand, if it accelerates the creation of other combinations of European companies and possibly opens up opportunities for transatlantic alliances.

Unlike American defense companies, European firms must reconcile widely different shareholding structures which reflect fundamentally different concepts of the roles of the state and the market in the defense sector. BAe/Marconi's shareholding is highly diffuse, while Germany's Daimler Benz Group tightly holds all shares of DASA. Shares of Thomson-CSF and Aerospatiale/Matra are -- or will soon be -- publicly traded, but the French government still holds substantial stakes of both companies. The U.S. Government, on the other hand, holds no shares in any of our defense companies, and shareholding is highly diffuse. Different tax and accounting systems will also make defense industry restructuring more complex in Europe than it was in the United States.

European companies also have widely different relationships with U.S. defense firms. GEC/Marconi is itself a major investor in the U.S. defense industry, through its recent acquisition of Tracor. BAe is allied with Lockheed Martin in a project for the next generation Joint Strike Fighter. On the other hand, Thomson-CSF's planned merger with U.S. defense company LTV in the early 1990's failed because both sides disagreed on the appropriate level of foreign management control over a U.S. defense company.

As you know, the fundamental issue for the United States is protecting sensitive national defense technologies as we proceed with transnational mergers. This is not an insurmountable obstacle, but it cannot be glossed over. In fact, France has sensitive technologies of its own which it must protect as French companies move ahead with transnational mergers. This is one area where France and the United States agree: the need to protect their sensitive national defense technologies, such as nuclear or ballistic missile programs, which will remain strictly national preserves for the foreseeable future. Each government will require accountability and protection for sensitive technologies to control dissemination to other nationalities. In many cases we will be able to find NATO solutions to this dilemma, but in many others we will have to work on a case-by-case basis, assessing the risks and imposing appropriate controls on a bilateral basis.

Despite the challenges, the U.S. has strong interests in European success in defense restructuring. The first is economic, and consists of maintaining price competition and technological innovation in the arms market. The second is political; it is critical to maintain public support for a European defense identity, based on jobs and a strong industrial base, if our European allies are to maintain support for the Atlantic Alliance. Finally, rationalization within the European defense industry may reduce pressures to export to questionable destinations.

As we saw in the Gulf War and in Bosnia, future warfare will of necessity be coalition warfare, and it will increasingly involve the use of high technology weapons and weapon systems. The so-called technology gap between the U.S. and NATO allies raises the question of the future capability of our armed forces to fight together on the battlefield. The U.S. is currently outspending its NATO allies in Europe by a factor of three to one in defense R&D and two to one in defense procurement. Moreover, limited European defense budgets are spread thin across a wide range of national defense production requirements, which cost Europe dearly in terms of economic efficiency.

Let me also be clear about what the technology gap is not. It is not a new "Buy American" scheme. It does not imply that U.S. technologies are inherently superior to European technologies. Transatlantic technology exchange is clearly a two way street. Europe and France produce innovative technologies which are equal to or superior to U.S. technologies in many important areas, such as manufacturing processes and composite materials. I had the pleasure of seeing many of France's best space and defense technologies first hand during recent trips to Aerospatiale in Bordeaux and Alcatel in Toulouse.

We stand today at the crossroads for transatlantic defense cooperation. What are the alternatives? Without a transatlantic component, European defense restructuring could lead to a fortress Europe, closed to U.S. defense companies. The American market, which is now slowly opening up to European defense trade and investment, would likely close. This could accentuate competition for exports to third country arms bazaars, and aggravate arms proliferation. The lack of industrial cooperation, trade and investment could erode the common security posture which has made NATO strong and has secured a half-century of peace and prosperity in Europe.

Transatlantic defense cooperation, on the other hand, can help our firms increase their production runs despite shrinking national markets, and provide cost savings to national governments. More importantly, transatlantic defense cooperation will strengthen the ability of the NATO Alliance to act together in defense of our shared values, as we are doing today in the Balkans, and as we will surely be called upon again to do in some future conflict. To get there, both sides will need to understand and accommodate each other's priorities. On the European side, the top priority is clearly market access and building European defense companies that can compete -- and cooperate -- on an equal footing with the leading U.S. defense contractors. On the U.S. side, the top priority is controlling global weapons proliferation. Both sides share legitimate concerns about defense industry security and the protection of sensitive national military programs and technologies. We must work together to encourage stronger transatlantic ties by identifying the risks and resolving the political obstacles to defense trade, mergers and acquisitions.

The need for transatlantic cooperation will become even clearer after the Kosovo conflict. How do we get there from here? The NATO Summit Meeting in Washington next week is a good starting point. We will need the transatlantic vision which marked the birth of NATO and the European Community 50 years ago. Promoting transatlantic defense industry cooperation should be one of our top priorities as we look ahead to the future of the NATO alliance. It is certainly one of my top priorities as the American Ambassador to France.

(end text)

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