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NATO

No Leadership in NATO's Confused Concept

Minor Changes, Recognition of Alliance Limits

24 April 1999

"If this were a college term paper, it would get 'five out of ten - must do better,'" said Martin Butcher, senior Visiting Fellow at BASIC.

By recognizing the primacy of the UN and limits to its geographical reach, NATO's new Strategic Concept shows that the Allies have begun to learn the lessons of the mishandling of the Kosovo crisis and reasserted the Alliance's traditional relationship to the UN enshrined in the NATO Treaty.

At the same time, the Alliance is continuing its military attacks against Milosevic and his military apparatus. On the other hand, despite NATO's claim to defend freedom, the Alliance was noticeably silent on NATO member Turkey's ongoing military action and forced resettlement of Kurds in SE Turkey. NATO has also initiated a program of military support for the authoritarian regime in Croatia, which has previously been refused assistance because of its undemocratic nature.

NATO began the process of updating the Concept, last revised in 1991, at its 1997 Summit in Madrid. The 1991 version was badly outdated. For example, it still included references to the Soviet Union. Last fall, Germany led a public debate on NATO's nuclear policy in the Concept. German Foreign Minister Joschka Fischer promoted the idea that NATO adopt a no first use policy for nuclear weapons. The United States adamantly opposed such a change, and attempted to prevent even debate on the issue. However, other countries, particularly Canada, soon joined Germany in calling for a debate on NATO's nuclear policies.

In its final version, over strong US opposition, the Concept's description of the circumstances in which NATO would use nuclear weapons was slightly changed. It now says that the circumstances in which NATO might have to consider using nuclear weapons are "extremely remote." Yet nuclear weapons are still considered the "supreme guarantee" of Alliance security, and are still fulfill an "essential role".

Because these changes were so modest, Germany demanded and got agreement to a study on nuclear policy. This study will also include the development by NATO of a new process for arms control, disarmament and non-proliferation, to replace the concept dating from 1989. Proposals for this study will be laid out in December.

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